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527 Riverview Rd
D- Composite 39.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

527 Riverview Rd · Southmont, NC 27292
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 934 sqft · Manufactured · 6 Days on market
Built 1979 1.70 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2.28 acres across from High Rock Lake with single wide mobile home. Single wide offers 2 bedroom/1 bath - all appliances including washer & dryer convey. Storage building and detached carport. Selling "As Is". Home is clean and would be great for that weekend getaway. Purchase includes both parcels of land totaling 2.28 acres. Listed below total tax value of both parcels. Call today for more information.

Key facts

  • High rock lake
  • Power box
  • Septic approval

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYHIGH ROCK LAKETHREE ADJOINING PARCELSEXISTING MANUFACTURED HOMESEPTIC APPROVALPOWER BOX

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential - Manufactured Home
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Riverview

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport (2 covered spaces); Carport
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Manufactured home (manufactured house); One level; Built in 1979; Existing structure
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: 1.7-acre lot; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-215/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (2.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (14.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 1.6% in Southmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#516 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Davidson County Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #62 of 178 in NC (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 400 active listings in the ZIP; 990 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Davidson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $130k implies a 213% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,449 (14.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.59%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-23,991
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-29,438
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27292

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
400
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$-18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $127,402
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 484-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $130,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2025-09-04
    listed $149,000 Active
  8. 2017-05-22
    soldstatus $41,500 Sold 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    2.28 acres across from High Rock Lake with single wide mobile home. Single wide offers 2 bedroom/1 bath - all appliances including washer & dryer convey. Storage building and detached carport. Selling "As Is". Home is clean and would be great for that weekend getaway. Purchase includes both parcels of land totaling 2.28 acres. Listed below total tax value of both parcels. Call today for more information.

  9. 2017-04-11
    status Due Diligence Period 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    2.28 acres across from High Rock Lake with single wide mobile home. Single wide offers 2 bedroom/1 bath - all appliances including washer & dryer convey. Storage building and detached carport. Selling "As Is". Home is clean and would be great for that weekend getaway. Purchase includes both parcels of land totaling 2.28 acres. Listed below total tax value of both parcels. Call today for more information.

  10. 2017-03-16
    listed $49,000 Active 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    2.28 acres across from High Rock Lake with single wide mobile home. Single wide offers 2 bedroom/1 bath - all appliances including washer & dryer convey. Storage building and detached carport. Selling "As Is". Home is clean and would be great for that weekend getaway. Purchase includes both parcels of land totaling 2.28 acres. Listed below total tax value of both parcels. Call today for more information.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,374
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,070
− Management
−$1,070
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$2,430
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$583
After-tax cash flow
$368/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davidson County Schools
NCES district ID
3701140
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$49,696
Composite
42.76/100
National rank
#3157
State rank
#62 of 178 in NC

Livability — Southmont

Score
60/100
State rank
#516
US rank
#18904

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Davidson County · 129,088 people
City population
143
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
Population (ZIP)
40,311
Household income
$57,264
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (Davidson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
167,156 people
By 2030
167,216 · +0.0%
By 2040
164,524 · -1.6%
By 2050
157,229 · -5.9%
By 2075
138,084 · -17.4%
By 2100
112,729 · -32.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Davidson

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.79%
Current HPI
267.074
Rent YoY
▲ 1.37%
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+204.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-04 Listed $149,000 Triad MLS
  • 2017-05-22 Sold (MLS) $41,500 Triad MLS
  • 2017-04-11 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2017-03-16 Listed $49,000 Triad MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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