931 Myrtle Rd · Martinsville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2bed/1bath house. Beautiful, original hardwood floors. Roof and mini-splits installed in 2021. Large backyard with outbuilding. Perfect one-level living.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- 0.45 acre lot
- Built 1947
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window unit cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Storm windows; Partial unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.9% in Martinsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#231 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Martinsville City Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #122 of 131 in VA (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5 units permitted in Martinsville city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martinsville County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.37%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,818
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -4.83%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-9,251
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-229
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24112
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $865 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $579/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$182
- Net cashflow
- $97
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $151 | -5% $124 | +0% $97 | +5% $70 | +10% $43 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $29 | -5% $63 | +0% $97 | +5% $131 | +10% $165 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $145 | -0.5pp $121 | base $97 | +0.5pp $72 | +1.0pp $47 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612 Church St E Apt 4 Martinsville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 509 Monroe St Unit 6 Martinsville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $875 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-17status Active 957-char remark
-
2026-05-09historical Active Under Contract 957-char remark
-
2026-05-05$100,000 Active 957-char remark
-
2023-12-11soldstatus $85,900 Closed 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Charming 2bed/1bath house. Beautiful, original hardwood floors. Roof and mini-splits installed in 2021. Large backyard with outbuilding. Perfect one-level living.
-
2023-12-06soldstatus $85,000
-
2023-11-01historical Active Under Contract 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Charming 2bed/1bath house. Beautiful, original hardwood floors. Roof and mini-splits installed in 2021. Large backyard with outbuilding. Perfect one-level living.
-
2023-09-08$99,500 Active 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Charming 2bed/1bath house. Beautiful, original hardwood floors. Roof and mini-splits installed in 2021. Large backyard with outbuilding. Perfect one-level living.
-
2002-08-05soldstatus $31,850
-
2002-08-02soldstatus $31,850
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
Kitchen/den combo, a doll house, cozy, nice backyard. Vacant, show anytime. Lockbox after 2/28/02. KEY # 197
-
2002-02-25$37,900
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
Kitchen/den combo, a doll house, cozy, nice backyard. Vacant, show anytime. Lockbox after 2/28/02. KEY # 197
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $579 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $779 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$200/yr (+$17/mo · 34.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,374
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$579
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$830
- − Management
- −$830
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$425
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$102
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,265/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martinsville City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102400
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -51.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,215
- Composite
- 33.43/100
- National rank
- #5467
- State rank
- #122 of 131 in VA
Livability — Martinsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #7826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Martinsville, VA
- County
- Martinsville City · 31,028 people
- City population
- 31,028
- Metro
- Martinsville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,028
- Household income
- $48,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 888.0
Population outlook (Martinsville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,026 people
- By 2030
- 12,673 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 11,933 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 11,136 · -14.5%
- By 2075
- 9,886 · -24.1%
- By 2100
- 8,334 · -36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martinsville
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.6) · D 60.7% · R 38.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: 28.0pp · 2024: 22.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.6 2020: D+26.6 2016: D+23.5 2012: D+24.6 2008: D+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.37%
- Current HPI
- 172.4393
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Martinsville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+150.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $95,000 MHPCAR
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $99,000 MHPCAR
- 2026-05-17 Relisted — MHPCAR
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — MHPCAR
- 2026-05-05 Listed $100,000 MHPCAR
- 2023-12-11 Sold (MLS) $85,900 MHPCAR
- 2023-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-01 Contingent — MHPCAR
- 2023-09-08 Listed $99,500 MHPCAR
- 2002-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $31,850 Public Records
- 2002-08-02 Sold (MLS) $31,850 MHPCAR
- 2002-02-25 Listed $37,900 MHPCAR
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $579 · +30.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…