2510 S 11th St · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTOR’S DELIGHT!!!! With some time and TLC this home will be ready for a family to love and grow in. Priced to sell quickly. Vacant and easy to show.
Key facts
- 4,554 sq ft lot
- Built 1885
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bancroft Elementary School (math 10% / reading 17%, grade F, #486 of 502 statewide, top 97%, 496 students, 0% FRL); Norris Middle School (math 11% / reading 16%, grade F, #126 of 128 statewide, top 98%, 1,187 students, 0% FRL); South High School (math 11% / reading 13%, grade F, #254 of 261 statewide, top 98%, 2,686 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 73 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $125k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.35%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $8,460
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $35,049
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68108
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,654 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $506
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2612 S 12th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| S 9th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1409 Vinton St Apt 2 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2219 S 14th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,380 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1912 S 12th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,275 | $0.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1618 Martha St Unit 2 (Top) Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1910 1/2 S 8th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1919 Dahlman Rows Plz Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1800 | $2,800 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1517 S 8th St Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $2,000 | $2.31 | 2d | 90 | 0.61mi |
| 1323 S 12th St Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,100 | $2.19 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1416 S 16th St Unit 101 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 913 Forest Ave Unit 913-1 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1322 S 6th St Unit 1322 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,270 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3124 S 21st St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,745 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 925 Pierce St Unit 112 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,795 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 925 Pierce St Apt 414 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $2,995 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 925 Pierce St Unit 123 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,895 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 925 Pierce St Unit 223 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1116 S 9th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1102 S 20th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1570 | $2,395 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 905 S 10th Ct Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $2,200 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 415 Leavenworth St Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $2,395 | $2.72 | 2d | 38 | 1.21mi |
| 1323 Jackson St Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1169 | $1,545 | $1.32 | 3d | 3 | 1.26mi |
| 1501 Jackson St Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,799 | $1.84 | 3d | 9 | 1.28mi |
| 1012 S 24th St Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,150 | $1.25 | 3d | 5 | 1.30mi |
| 629 S 19th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,350 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1119 Howard St Unit 302 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2212 F St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,450 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 907 S 25th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,360 | $1.46 | 14d | 6 | 1.38mi |
| 405 S 16th St Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,350 | $1.62 | 12d | 11 | 1.42mi |
| 1142 S 29th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 312 S 16th St #201 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 312 S 16th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 3d | 2 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-02-07status Pending
-
2026-02-05$125,000 New
-
2011-07-13soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,162 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,051/yr (+$88/mo · 94.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,112
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,587
- − Management
- −$1,587
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $4,293
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,030
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,043/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,578
- Household income
- $53,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 511.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 45% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 40% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.17%
- Current HPI
- 320.3596
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+78.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-07 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $125,000 GPRMLS
- 2011-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,112 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…