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1441 S 13th St
D+ Composite 48.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

1441 S 13th St · Harrisburg, PA 17104
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1959 1,307 sqft lot $126/sqft · 5% below area Est $169k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ready for a new investment, or want a home that's move in ready. Hardwood floors, spacious kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, newer water heater. Rear access leads to off-street parking for friends and family.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 50 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Below-grade finished area and unfinished area present (assessed/estimated); Assessed values available

Exterior

  • Parking: One total garage/parking space; One off-street parking space; On-street parking available; Free parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Above-grade and below-grade other structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Stove; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Basement with poured concrete; Property managed by a manager; Not located in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (6.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $160k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,532 (6.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.54%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$169,147
List price
$159,900
Delta
-5.47%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1525 S 13th St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,292 (+2%) 5mo $112,500 $87 84
1216 S 19th St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+2%) 4mo $198,000 $152 72
1523 S 13th St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,395 (+10%) 7mo $97,500 $70 69
1029 S 17th St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-8%) 9mo $170,000 $145 58
1725 Sycamore St 0.46mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,173 (-8%) 7mo $125,000 $107 53
1809 Sycamore St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,411 (+11%) 15mo $215,000 $152 44
1140 Hudson St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-9%) 22mo $192,000 $167 40
1511 Randolph St 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,420 (+12%) 21mo $195,000 $137 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-15,336
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$6,639
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17104

Home prices YoY
-6.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,495 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,730/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,328
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $222 -5% $177 +0% $132 +5% $87 +10% $41
Rent -10% $14 -5% $73 +0% $132 +5% $191 +10% $250
Rate -1.0pp $212 -0.5pp $173 base $132 +0.5pp $91 +1.0pp $48

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1728 Paxton St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 1320 $1,295 $0.98 14d 1 0.64mi
508 N 2nd St Steelton, PA 3.0 1.5 1360 $1,450 $1.07 14d 1 0.83mi
1429 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,400 $1.12 24d 1 0.93mi
1615 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,400 $1.22 44d 1 0.94mi
316 N 2nd St Steelton, PA 3.0 1.5 1524 $1,600 $1.05 14d 1 0.97mi
325 Lincoln St Steelton, PA 3.0 1.0 1186 $1,250 $1.05 14d 1 1.02mi
314 Lincoln St Steelton, PA 3.0 1.0 1264 $1,595 $1.26 14d 1 1.03mi
1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1776 $1,450 $0.82 24d 1 1.06mi
349 S 14th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1544 $1,450 $0.94 24d 1 1.11mi
337 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,195 $0.83 22d 1 1.12mi
331 Hummel St Unit B Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1590 $1,800 $1.13 44d 1 1.14mi
331 Hummel St Unit A Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1590 $1,400 $0.88 44d 1 1.14mi
649 S 23rd St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,465 $1.01 22d 1 1.17mi
649 S 23rd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,465 $1.01 44d 1 1.17mi
322 Pine St Unit 2 Steelton, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $995 $0.90 44d 1 1.22mi
2121 Kensington St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,450 $1.33 44d 1 1.23mi
2016 Swatara St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1380 $1,175 $0.85 44d 1 1.24mi
1139 Mulberry St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0 900 $1,185 $1.32 44d 1 1.31mi
200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 14d 14 1.31mi
420 7th St New Cumberland, PA 3.0 1.5 1800 $1,495 $0.83 24d 1 1.35mi
589 Yale St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 2.0 911 $1,549 $1.70 14d 1 1.35mi
425 7th St New Cumberland, PA 2.0 1.5 1050 $975 $0.93 22d 1 1.35mi
101 S 2nd St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 736 $1,749 $2.37 14d 32 1.39mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,097 $1.46 44d 1 1.41mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,525 $1.76 14d 10 1.41mi
2410 Kensington St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,495 $1.46 44d 1 1.47mi
1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1423 $1,995 $1.40 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-04-29
    listed $159,900 Active
  17. 2026-04-25
    historical $1,500
  18. 2026-04-09
    listed $1,500
  19. 2026-03-29
    historical $1,500
  20. 2026-03-03
    price $1,500
  21. 2026-02-11
    listed $1,600
  22. 2022-02-07
    soldstatus $86,000
  23. 2022-01-31
    soldstatus $86,000 Closed 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Ready for a new investment, or want a home that's move in ready. Hardwood floors, spacious kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, newer water heater. Rear access leads to off-street parking for friends and family.

  24. 2021-11-24
    status Pending 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Ready for a new investment, or want a home that's move in ready. Hardwood floors, spacious kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, newer water heater. Rear access leads to off-street parking for friends and family.

  25. 2021-11-10
    price $89,000 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Ready for a new investment, or want a home that's move in ready. Hardwood floors, spacious kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, newer water heater. Rear access leads to off-street parking for friends and family.

  26. 2021-10-27
    listed $95,000 Active 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    Ready for a new investment, or want a home that's move in ready. Hardwood floors, spacious kitchen, 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, newer water heater. Rear access leads to off-street parking for friends and family.

  27. 2016-01-07
    soldstatus $19,000
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Recently updated home in Harrisburg City. Property features 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, hardwood floors, replacement windows, central air, gas heat, full basement, off street parking, and over sized deck off the kitchen. Within the past 5 years the furnace/central air was replaced, kitchen, bathroom, windows and roof. This will make a great home for first time home buyers or as an investment property.

  28. 2015-11-06
    historical
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Recently updated home in Harrisburg City. Property features 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, hardwood floors, replacement windows, central air, gas heat, full basement, off street parking, and over sized deck off the kitchen. Within the past 5 years the furnace/central air was replaced, kitchen, bathroom, windows and roof. This will make a great home for first time home buyers or as an investment property.

  29. 2015-09-18
    listed $24,900
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Recently updated home in Harrisburg City. Property features 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, hardwood floors, replacement windows, central air, gas heat, full basement, off street parking, and over sized deck off the kitchen. Within the past 5 years the furnace/central air was replaced, kitchen, bathroom, windows and roof. This will make a great home for first time home buyers or as an investment property.

  30. 2009-01-23
    soldstatus $29,500
  31. 2008-12-05
    historical
  32. 2008-10-03
    listed $30,400
  33. 1983-12-16
    soldstatus $19,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,730 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,128 · $177/mo
Expected delta
+$398/yr (+$33/mo · 23.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,944
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,730
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,436
− Management
−$1,436
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$1,065
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$256
After-tax cash flow
$1,839/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,541
Household income
$46,510
Rent vs Own
54.4% rent · 45.6% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% Hispanic / Latino 29% White 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Polish 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.83%
Current HPI
340.2808
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+720.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-25 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-04-09 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-03-29 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $1,500 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-11 Listed for Rent $1,600 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2022-01-31 Sold (MLS) $86,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-11-24 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-11-10 Price Changed $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-27 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-01-07 Sold (MLS) $19,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-11-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-09-18 Listed $24,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-01-23 Sold (MLS) $29,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-12-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-10-03 Listed $30,400 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1983-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,730 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…