1040 Highway 43 · Oak Vale, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$79,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for space, privacy, and opportunity? This 3-bedroom home situated on 3.2 beautiful acres offers the perfect combination of country living and investment potential. Much of the home has already been updated, providing a solid foundation for its next owner to make it their own. The primary bathroom has been gutted and is ready for finishing, giving you the chance to customize the space to your taste while adding immediate value. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking for an affordable starter home, someone ready to downsize and enjoy a peaceful setting, or an investor searching for your next project, this property offers plenty of possibilities. With acreage to enjoy, room for
Key facts
- Outdoor recreation
- Many improvements
- Room for hobbies
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on about 3.2 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with space for 2 cars
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Built (year source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Shed(s) on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Luxury vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Lawrence County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #85 of 130 in MS (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $709 of equity ($550 loan paydown + $159 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Lawrence County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $80k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.36%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $18,953
- Equity at exit
- $23,884
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $54,279
- Equity at exit
- $29,356
Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39656
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,112 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,875
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-21$79,500 Active
-
2022-07-22soldstatus $40,000
-
2010-04-01soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,275 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,275 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,067
- − Management
- −$1,067
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $2,767
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$664
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawrence County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802490
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,725
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8812
- State rank
- #85 of 130 in MS
Livability — Oak Vale
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 798
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,069 people
- By 2030
- 11,724 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 10,955 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 10,085 · -16.4%
- By 2075
- 7,870 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 5,614 · -53.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 24% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.6) · D 31.4% · R 68.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.4pp · 2024: -36.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.6 2020: R+30.6 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+26.7 2008: R+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Current HPI
- 87.2572
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+98.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $79,500 MLSU
- 2022-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2010-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,275 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…