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1031 Highland Ave
C- Composite 53.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,900

1031 Highland Ave · Dayton, OH 45410
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,828 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1916 4,382 sqft lot $78/sqft · 10% below area Est $159k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • First-floor bedroom
  • Unique sunroom

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHEAT-IN KITCHENBUILT-IN BENCH SEATINGFIRST-FLOOR BEDROOMUNIQUE SUNROOMFINISHED THIRD-FLOOR AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property listed for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached two-car garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas available; Public water; Sewer available; Storm sewer
  • Home design: Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Residential zoning; Lot dimensions approximately 138 x 32

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Microwave; Range
  • Bedrooms: Second-level bedroom (15 x 11); Second-level bedroom (11 x 9); Second-level bedroom (11 x 15)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Vinyl windows; Unfinished basement; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (1.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.4%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $988 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,756 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.25%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,017
List price
$142,900
Delta
-10.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1031 Highland Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,828 (0%) 0mo $148,000 $81 100
55 Virginia Ave 0.07mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,757 (-4%) 2mo $215,000 $122 81
2222 Wayne Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,878 (+3%) 1mo $59,500 $32 74
307 Gunckel Ave 0.38mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,803 (-1%) 2mo $170,000 $94 72
2127 Wayne Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,648 (-10%) 2mo $125,164 $76 60
156 Edgar Ave 0.28mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,620 (-11%) 4mo $155,000 $96 58
700 Bowen St 0.39mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,664 (-9%) 3mo $240,000 $144 58
112 Missouri Ave 0.32mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,581 (-14%) 3mo $150,500 $95 51
1105 Pursell Ave 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,080 (+14%) 3mo $102,000 $49 48
736 Hodapp Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,560 (-15%) 4mo $101,005 $65 46
284 Mcclure St 0.74mi 3/2.0 2,064 (+13%) 1mo $164,900 $80 43
1116 Linden Ave 0.68mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,600 (-12%) 3mo $157,000 $98 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-6,657
Equity at exit
$21,307
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$39,829
Equity at exit
$12,355

Cash invested: $40,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45410

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Rents YoY
11.4%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,412 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$749
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,973/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,232
Max offer price $142,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,725
Closing costs
$4,287
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1515 Wyoming St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 44d 1 0.07mi
1411 Wyoming St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,095 $0.87 2d 1 0.13mi
1101 Phillips Ave Unit 1101 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 44d 1 0.18mi
20 Lucerne Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1378 $1,200 $0.87 44d 1 0.34mi
511 Parrot St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1618 $1,100 $0.68 14d 1 0.43mi
32 Gebhart St Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 14d 1 0.45mi
2114 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 2.0 1723 $1,595 $0.93 44d 1 0.45mi
2132 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1484 $1,350 $0.91 2d 1 0.45mi
1038 Walnut Hill Pl Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,095 $0.89 44d 1 0.46mi
31 Bidleman St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1568 $1,100 $0.70 44d 1 0.47mi
2600 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 1.5 1328 $1,500 $1.13 23d 1 0.48mi
836 Wellmeier Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 2148 $1,500 $0.70 3d 1 0.52mi
920 E Stewart St Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1322 $1,425 $1.08 44d 1 0.57mi
534 Beckman St Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1452 $1,400 $0.96 2d 1 0.64mi
1603 Manette Pl Dayton, OH 4.0 2.0 2000 $1,695 $0.85 14d 1 0.65mi
438 Clover St Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 2156 $1,025 $0.48 44d 1 0.66mi
519 Wyoming St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1240 $1,600 $1.29 44d 1 0.86mi
320 Park Dr Dayton, OH 4.0 3.0 2100 $2,400 $1.14 14d 1 0.87mi
244 Quitman St Unit A Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1987 $1,325 $0.67 23d 1 0.89mi
115 Livingston Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1624 $1,450 $0.89 44d 1 0.90mi
1112 Irving Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 4.0 2041 $4,500 $2.20 3d 1 0.98mi
229 James St Unit 228 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 23d 1 1.04mi
227 James St Unit 1 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 3d 1 1.04mi
228 James St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 44d 1 1.04mi
1520 S Smithville Rd Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,345 $0.91 2d 1 1.05mi
314 Sheridan Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1258 $1,150 $0.91 3d 1 1.06mi
201 Pleasant Ave Unit 203 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1250 $975 $0.78 23d 1 1.07mi
319 Wyoming St Dayton, OH 4.0 2.5 2064 $2,000 $0.97 2d 1 1.10mi
2212 Fauver Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,795 $1.38 44d 1 1.18mi
25 Garret St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1364 $1,750 $1.28 23d 1 1.22mi
243 Oak St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,600 $1.22 3d 1 1.22mi
4249 Pleasant View Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 44d 1 1.36mi
4253 Pleasant View Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 44d 1 1.36mi
906 Nordale Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1262 $2,200 $1.74 44d 1 1.37mi
213 Burns Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1388 $1,500 $1.08 14d 1 1.40mi
213 Burns Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1388 $1,500 $1.08 44d 1 1.40mi
117 Clay St Unit 117 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1632 $1,950 $1.19 23d 1 1.41mi
23 Jasper St Dayton, OH 4.0 4.0 1490 $3,600 $2.42 3d 1 1.47mi
218 Brown St Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1800 $3,200 $1.78 44d 1 1.48mi
218 Brown St Unit 218 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1789 $2,200 $1.23 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    historical ActiveUnderContract 1255-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $142,900 Active 1255-char remark
  3. 2015-07-07
    soldstatus $28,100 Closed 221-char remark
    Show marketing remark (221 chars)

    Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003

  4. 2015-07-07
    soldstatus $28,100 Sold 221-char remark
    Show marketing remark (221 chars)

    Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003

  5. 2015-06-17
    historical Active/Pending 221-char remark
    Show marketing remark (221 chars)

    Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003

  6. 2015-06-04
    listed $24,000 Active 221-char remark
    Show marketing remark (221 chars)

    Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003

  7. 2013-11-29
    historical
  8. 2013-06-20
    listed $60,000
  9. 2010-04-13
    soldstatus $72,900
  10. 2010-04-08
    soldstatus $72,900 Closed
  11. 2010-04-08
    soldstatus $72,900
  12. 2010-03-06
    historical
  13. 2010-02-05
    listed $72,900
  14. 2005-02-18
    soldstatus $72,000
  15. 2005-01-31
    soldstatus $72,000
  16. 1989-04-05
    soldstatus $25,500
  17. 1987-07-31
    soldstatus $26,500
  18. 1985-06-03
    soldstatus $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,973 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,101 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$128/yr (+$11/mo · 6.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,938
− Mortgage interest
−$8,005
− Property taxes
−$1,973
− Insurance
−$714
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,355
− Management
−$1,355
− Depreciation
−$4,157
Taxable loss
−$621
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$149
After-tax cash flow
$1,850/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
14,694
Household income
$46,651
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
961.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, United Kingdom
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.61%
Current HPI
369.3938
Rent YoY
▲ 11.37%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+700.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) $148,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-10 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $142,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2015-07-07 Sold (MLS) $28,100 Dayton MLS
  • 2015-07-07 Sold (MLS) $28,100 Dayton MLS
  • 2015-06-17 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2015-06-04 Listed $24,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2013-11-29 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2013-06-20 Listed $60,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2010-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $72,900 Public Records
  • 2010-04-08 Sold (MLS) $72,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2010-04-08 Sold (MLS) $72,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2010-03-06 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2010-02-05 Listed $72,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2005-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2005-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 1989-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
  • 1987-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
  • 1985-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,973 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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