1031 Highland Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$142,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- First-floor bedroom
- Unique sunroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property listed for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Attached two-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Public water; Sewer available; Storm sewer
- Home design: Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Residential zoning; Lot dimensions approximately 138 x 32
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: Second-level bedroom (15 x 11); Second-level bedroom (11 x 9); Second-level bedroom (11 x 15)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Unfinished basement; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (1.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.4%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $988 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.25%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,017
- List price
- $142,900
- Delta
- -10.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1031 Highland Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,828 (0%) | 0mo | $148,000 | $81 | 100 |
| 55 Virginia Ave | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,757 (-4%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $122 | 81 |
| 2222 Wayne Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,878 (+3%) | 1mo | $59,500 | $32 | 74 |
| 307 Gunckel Ave | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,803 (-1%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $94 | 72 |
| 2127 Wayne Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,648 (-10%) | 2mo | $125,164 | $76 | 60 |
| 156 Edgar Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,620 (-11%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $96 | 58 |
| 700 Bowen St | 0.39mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,664 (-9%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $144 | 58 |
| 112 Missouri Ave | 0.32mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,581 (-14%) | 3mo | $150,500 | $95 | 51 |
| 1105 Pursell Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,080 (+14%) | 3mo | $102,000 | $49 | 48 |
| 736 Hodapp Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,560 (-15%) | 4mo | $101,005 | $65 | 46 |
| 284 Mcclure St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 2,064 (+13%) | 1mo | $164,900 | $80 | 43 |
| 1116 Linden Ave | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-12%) | 3mo | $157,000 | $98 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-6,657
- Equity at exit
- $21,307
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $39,829
- Equity at exit
- $12,355
Cash invested: $40,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45410
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Rents YoY
- 11.4%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,412 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$749
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,973/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,725
- Closing costs
- $4,287
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1515 Wyoming St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1411 Wyoming St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,095 | $0.87 | 2d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1101 Phillips Ave Unit 1101 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 20 Lucerne Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1378 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 511 Parrot St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1618 | $1,100 | $0.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 32 Gebhart St Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2114 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1723 | $1,595 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2132 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $1,350 | $0.91 | 2d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1038 Walnut Hill Pl Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,095 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 31 Bidleman St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1568 | $1,100 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2600 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 836 Wellmeier Ave Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2148 | $1,500 | $0.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 920 E Stewart St Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1322 | $1,425 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 534 Beckman St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,400 | $0.96 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1603 Manette Pl Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,695 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 438 Clover St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2156 | $1,025 | $0.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 519 Wyoming St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 320 Park Dr Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 244 Quitman St Unit A Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1987 | $1,325 | $0.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 115 Livingston Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,450 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1112 Irving Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2041 | $4,500 | $2.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 229 James St Unit 228 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 227 James St Unit 1 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 228 James St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1520 S Smithville Rd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,345 | $0.91 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 314 Sheridan Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 201 Pleasant Ave Unit 203 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $975 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 319 Wyoming St Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2064 | $2,000 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2212 Fauver Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,795 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 25 Garret St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1364 | $1,750 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 243 Oak St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,600 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4249 Pleasant View Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4253 Pleasant View Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 906 Nordale Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $2,200 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 213 Burns Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1388 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 213 Burns Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1388 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 117 Clay St Unit 117 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1632 | $1,950 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 23 Jasper St Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1490 | $3,600 | $2.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 218 Brown St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $3,200 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 218 Brown St Unit 218 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1789 | $2,200 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-10historical ActiveUnderContract 1255-char remark
-
2026-05-07$142,900 Active 1255-char remark
-
2015-07-07soldstatus $28,100 Closed 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003
-
2015-07-07soldstatus $28,100 Sold 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003
-
2015-06-17historical Active/Pending 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003
-
2015-06-04$24,000 Active 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Incredible opportunity! 4bed/2bath home with original oak hardwood floors; Plenty of space for everyone and a full attic that could be finished. This property is owned by HUD and being sold 100% as-is HUD case# 411-467003
-
2013-11-29historical
-
2013-06-20$60,000
-
2010-04-13soldstatus $72,900
-
2010-04-08soldstatus $72,900 Closed
-
2010-04-08soldstatus $72,900
-
2010-03-06historical
-
2010-02-05$72,900
-
2005-02-18soldstatus $72,000
-
2005-01-31soldstatus $72,000
-
1989-04-05soldstatus $25,500
-
1987-07-31soldstatus $26,500
-
1985-06-03soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,973 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,101 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$128/yr (+$11/mo · 6.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,938
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,005
- − Property taxes
- −$1,973
- − Insurance
- −$714
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,355
- − Management
- −$1,355
- − Depreciation
- −$4,157
- Taxable loss
- −$621
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$149
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,850/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,694
- Household income
- $46,651
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 961.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.61%
- Current HPI
- 369.3938
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.37%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+700.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) $148,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-29 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-10 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $142,900 Dayton MLS
- 2015-07-07 Sold (MLS) $28,100 Dayton MLS
- 2015-07-07 Sold (MLS) $28,100 Dayton MLS
- 2015-06-17 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2015-06-04 Listed $24,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-11-29 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2013-06-20 Listed $60,000 Dayton MLS
- 2010-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $72,900 Public Records
- 2010-04-08 Sold (MLS) $72,900 Dayton MLS
- 2010-04-08 Sold (MLS) $72,900 Dayton MLS
- 2010-03-06 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2010-02-05 Listed $72,900 Dayton MLS
- 2005-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2005-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 1989-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
- 1987-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
- 1985-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,973 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…