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1459 S Kellogg St
C- Composite 50.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,900

1459 S Kellogg St · Galesburg, IL 61401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Other public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1976

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Case #132-179481, Insured Status: IE Insured Value $38,600Evidence of possible mold. L/D 12/25/09www.hmbiweb.comTwo bedroom ranch with attached garage.

Key facts

  • Built 1976
  • Listed 31 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $106k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: King School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,371 of 2,056 statewide, top 68%, 531 students, 0% FRL); Galesburg Senior High School (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,762 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $732 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $106k implies a 324% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $102,723 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
5.99%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-7,705
Equity at exit
$15,790
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$5,555
Equity at exit
$9,156

Cash invested: $29,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61401

Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,145 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$555
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,884/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $958
Max offer price $105,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $208 -5% $178 +0% $148 +5% $118 +10% $88
Rent -10% $58 -5% $103 +0% $148 +5% $193 +10% $238
Rate -1.0pp $201 -0.5pp $175 base $148 +0.5pp $121 +1.0pp $93

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,475
Closing costs
$3,177
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,900 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,900 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,900 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,900 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,900 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,900 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,900 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,900 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,900 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,900 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,900 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,900 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,900 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,900 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,900 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,900 Active 11 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,900 Active 10 DOM
  18. 2026-05-21
    listed $105,900 Active
  19. 2010-02-03
    soldstatus $25,000 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Case #132-179481, Insured Status: IE Insured Value $38,600Evidence of possible mold. L/D 12/25/09www.hmbiweb.comTwo bedroom ranch with attached garage.

  20. 2009-11-20
    listed $33,750 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Case #132-179481, Insured Status: IE Insured Value $38,600Evidence of possible mold. L/D 12/25/09www.hmbiweb.comTwo bedroom ranch with attached garage.

  21. 1999-12-16
    soldstatus $45,000 58-char remark
    Show marketing remark (58 chars)

    WELL-KEPT WITH RECENT IMPROVEMENTS. LARGE LOT. QUIET AREA.

  22. 1999-10-04
    listed $48,500 58-char remark
    Show marketing remark (58 chars)

    WELL-KEPT WITH RECENT IMPROVEMENTS. LARGE LOT. QUIET AREA.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,884 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,144 · $179/mo
Expected delta
+$260/yr (+$22/mo · 13.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,738
− Mortgage interest
−$5,932
− Property taxes
−$1,884
− Insurance
−$530
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,099
− Management
−$1,099
− Depreciation
−$3,081
Taxable income
$114
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$27
After-tax cash flow
$1,748/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galesburg CUSD 205
NCES district ID
1716080
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,901
Composite
14.46/100
National rank
#9427
State rank
#488 of 620 in IL

Livability — Galesburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#7601

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galesburg, IL
City population
32,318
Population (ZIP)
30,684

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,224 people
By 2030
46,333 · -3.9%
By 2040
42,424 · -12.0%
By 2050
38,929 · -19.3%
By 2075
31,523 · -34.6%
By 2100
24,092 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.48%
Current HPI
157.276
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $105,900 FSBO.com
  • 2010-02-03 Sold (MLS) $25,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-20 Listed $33,750 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-12-16 Sold (MLS) $45,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-10-04 Listed $48,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,884 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…