22 Union St · Greenville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors, flippers and buyers! This 5 bedroom 2 bathroom home on a corner lot, offers tons of space and potential for the right buyer. This listing has a spacious layout for a large single family home or a potential rental/investment property. A slate roof covers the main house with a newer rubber roof on the attached garage. Original hard wood floors can be found under the carpet throughout. Working furnace. 2016 Hot water tank. Gas lines/heat for both 3rd floor bedrooms. This home does need repairs and updates. Being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and tools to make this Greenville property shine again!
Key facts
- Working furnace
- Corner lot
- Slate roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#420 in PA, #3,829 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Greenville Area SD (town): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #342 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mercer County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 89.89%
- DSCR
- 5.00
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,563
- List price
- $39,000
- Delta
- -72.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 90.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.20×
- Total profit
- $45,839
- Equity at exit
- $5,815
- IRR
- 93.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.82×
- Total profit
- $107,244
- Equity at exit
- $3,372
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16125
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,454 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,319/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $818
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $840 | -5% $829 | +0% $818 | +5% $807 | +10% $796 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $703 | -5% $761 | +0% $818 | +5% $875 | +10% $933 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $838 | -0.5pp $828 | base $818 | +0.5pp $808 | +1.0pp $798 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $39,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $39,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $45,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Contingent 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Contingent 86 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Contingent 85 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Contingent 84 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $45,000 Contingent 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Contingent 80 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Contingent 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Contingent 78 DOM
-
2026-05-04historical Contingent 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Calling all investors, flippers and buyers! This 5 bedroom 2 bathroom home on a corner lot, offers tons of space and potential for the right buyer. This listing has a spacious layout for a large single family home or a potential rental/investment property. A slate roof covers the main house with a newer rubber roof on the attached garage. Original hard wood floors can be found under the carpet throughout. Working furnace. 2016 Hot water tank. Gas lines/heat for both 3rd floor bedrooms. This home does need repairs and updates. Being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and tools to make this Greenville property shine again!
-
2026-04-26price $45,000 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Calling all investors, flippers and buyers! This 5 bedroom 2 bathroom home on a corner lot, offers tons of space and potential for the right buyer. This listing has a spacious layout for a large single family home or a potential rental/investment property. A slate roof covers the main house with a newer rubber roof on the attached garage. Original hard wood floors can be found under the carpet throughout. Working furnace. 2016 Hot water tank. Gas lines/heat for both 3rd floor bedrooms. This home does need repairs and updates. Being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and tools to make this Greenville property shine again!
-
2026-04-19price $48,000 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Calling all investors, flippers and buyers! This 5 bedroom 2 bathroom home on a corner lot, offers tons of space and potential for the right buyer. This listing has a spacious layout for a large single family home or a potential rental/investment property. A slate roof covers the main house with a newer rubber roof on the attached garage. Original hard wood floors can be found under the carpet throughout. Working furnace. 2016 Hot water tank. Gas lines/heat for both 3rd floor bedrooms. This home does need repairs and updates. Being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and tools to make this Greenville property shine again!
-
2026-04-08price $50,000 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Calling all investors, flippers and buyers! This 5 bedroom 2 bathroom home on a corner lot, offers tons of space and potential for the right buyer. This listing has a spacious layout for a large single family home or a potential rental/investment property. A slate roof covers the main house with a newer rubber roof on the attached garage. Original hard wood floors can be found under the carpet throughout. Working furnace. 2016 Hot water tank. Gas lines/heat for both 3rd floor bedrooms. This home does need repairs and updates. Being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and tools to make this Greenville property shine again!
-
2026-04-02price $55,000 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Calling all investors, flippers and buyers! This 5 bedroom 2 bathroom home on a corner lot, offers tons of space and potential for the right buyer. This listing has a spacious layout for a large single family home or a potential rental/investment property. A slate roof covers the main house with a newer rubber roof on the attached garage. Original hard wood floors can be found under the carpet throughout. Working furnace. 2016 Hot water tank. Gas lines/heat for both 3rd floor bedrooms. This home does need repairs and updates. Being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and tools to make this Greenville property shine again!
-
2026-03-14$60,000 Active 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Calling all investors, flippers and buyers! This 5 bedroom 2 bathroom home on a corner lot, offers tons of space and potential for the right buyer. This listing has a spacious layout for a large single family home or a potential rental/investment property. A slate roof covers the main house with a newer rubber roof on the attached garage. Original hard wood floors can be found under the carpet throughout. Working furnace. 2016 Hot water tank. Gas lines/heat for both 3rd floor bedrooms. This home does need repairs and updates. Being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and tools to make this Greenville property shine again!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,319 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,319 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$1,319
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,396
- − Management
- −$1,396
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable income
- $9,824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,358
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,458/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211160
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,111
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5069
- State rank
- #342 of 539 in PA
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #420
- US rank
- #3829
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, PA
- County
- Mercer · 21,752 people
- City population
- 17,088
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,088
- Household income
- $56,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15.4
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 108,341 people
- By 2030
- 104,269 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 94,624 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 84,891 · -21.6%
- By 2075
- 65,094 · -39.9%
- By 2100
- 47,657 · -56.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.2) · D 34.5% · R 64.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: -30.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.2 2020: R+26.0 2016: R+25.0 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.97%
- Current HPI
- 156.3732
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-25.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $45,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $48,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $50,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-14 Listed $60,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,319 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…