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1000-1002 Walnut St Triplex
B Composite 70.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

1000-1002 Walnut St · Williamsport, PA 17701
15 bd · None ba · 3,040 sqft · MultiFamily · 66 Days on market
Built 1910 Fair condition 9,147 sqft lot $99/sqft · 56% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This well maintained brick 3 unit is in the heart of the Vallamont neighborhood and on a corner lot. The property is close to UPMC, schools, downtown and Lycoming College. This property has 2 one bedroom units on the 1002 side, and one 3 bedroom unit on the 1000 side. It also has a garage out back that is rented. Both sides are fully occupied and need 24 notice for showings.

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2×1bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $300k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $480/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $282k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.6% in Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,447/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2178% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $281,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.06%
Cash-on-cash
20.59%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$191,896
List price
$299,900
Delta
56.28%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
10 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$49,711
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$189,123
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17701

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
16.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,447 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax est. 1.5%
$375 /mo · $4,498/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$934
Net cashflow
$1,441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,623
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 63%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 1 $1,477
Total (3 units) $4,447

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $299,900 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,900 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $299,900 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,900 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,900 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,900 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $299,900 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,900 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,900 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,900 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,900 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-04-14
    listed $299,900 Active 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    This well maintained brick 3 unit is in the heart of the Vallamont neighborhood and on a corner lot. The property is close to UPMC, schools, downtown and Lycoming College. This property has 2 one bedroom units on the 1002 side, and one 3 bedroom unit on the 1000 side. It also has a garage out back that is rented. Both sides are fully occupied and need 24 notice for showings.

  17. 2026-03-17
    price $299,900 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    This well maintained brick 3 unit is in the heart of the Vallamont neighborhood and on a corner lot. The property is close to UPMC, schools, downtown and Lycoming College. This property has 2 one bedroom units on the 1002 side, and one 3 bedroom unit on the 1000 side. It also has a garage out back that is rented. Both sides are fully occupied and need 24 notice for showings.

  18. 2026-01-26
    listed $309,900 Active 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    This well maintained brick 3 unit is in the heart of the Vallamont neighborhood and on a corner lot. The property is close to UPMC, schools, downtown and Lycoming College. This property has 2 one bedroom units on the 1002 side, and one 3 bedroom unit on the 1000 side. It also has a garage out back that is rented. Both sides are fully occupied and need 24 notice for showings.

  19. 2021-08-31
    soldstatus
  20. 2021-07-07
    listed $219,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$53,364
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$4,498
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,269
− Management
−$4,269
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable income
$13,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,193
After-tax cash flow
$14,094/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

A fair condition 3-unit property in a desirable location, requiring moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Landscaping — Minimal landscaping, needs improvement
  • Major Exterior paint — Brick facade shows discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Exterior paint — Improves home's appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Landscaping · Minimal landscaping, needs improvement Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior paint · Brick facade shows discoloration Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Exterior paint — Improves home's appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsport Area SD
NCES district ID
4226460
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$38,637
Composite
34.63/100
National rank
#5150
State rank
#349 of 539 in PA

Livability — Williamsport

Score
74/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#4841

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamsport, PA
County
Lycoming County · 43,104 people
City population
43,104
Metro
Williamsport, PA
Population (ZIP)
43,104
Household income
$53,237
Rent vs Own
45.4% rent · 54.6% own
Severe rent burden
2178.0

Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,164 people
By 2030
112,221 · -1.7%
By 2040
107,613 · -5.7%
By 2050
102,950 · -9.8%
By 2075
92,987 · -18.5%
By 2100
80,924 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.61%
Current HPI
216.7203
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Williamsport, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $299,900 WBVAR
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $309,900 WBVAR
  • 2021-08-31 Sold (MLS) WBVAR
  • 2021-07-07 Listed $219,900 WBVAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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