1023 State Route 31 · East Huntingdon, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer upper in Tarrs. Property is in need of complete rehab. Cash sale only, strictly as-is.
Key facts
- Solid footprint
- Classic character
- Mature trees
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story frame home; Asphalt roof; Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Public transportation nearby
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $15k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Southmoreland SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #359 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $293 of equity ($104 loan paydown + $189 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 50.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 156.60%
- DSCR
- 7.97
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,280
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 789 Ruffsdale Alverton Rd | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,255 (+8%) | 15mo | $24,900 | $20 | 50 |
| 1146 Route 31 | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,266 (+9%) | 23mo | $105,000 | $83 | 49 |
| 735 Leighty Hollow Ln | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,234 (+6%) | 20mo | $230,500 | $187 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.43×
- Total profit
- $35,393
- Equity at exit
- $5,325
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.78×
- Total profit
- $78,876
- Equity at exit
- $7,237
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15688
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $825 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$19 /mo · $225/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $548
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Valley Hi Ln Ruffs Dale, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $825 | $0.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $15,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $15,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 500-char remark
-
2026-06-16$15,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$225
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$792
- − Management
- −$792
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $6,739
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,617
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,960/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southmoreland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222410
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,274
- Composite
- 33.76/100
- National rank
- #5368
- State rank
- #359 of 539 in PA
Livability — East Huntingdon
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 666
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Romanian 5% Polish 4%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.26%
- Current HPI
- 104.841
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+0.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $15,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-07-01 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2024-06-17 Listed $14,900 West Penn MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…