302 Neubert St · Kittanning, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step Inside this beautifully updated home featuring newly refreshed interiors and a smooth layout The Kitchen is a showstopper with stunning green cupboards and elegant gold accent handles, adding a touch of modern sophistication. Enjoy your morning coffee or evening relaxation on the small covered porch. Low manteniente backyard with minimal upkeep. Conveniently Located in Kittanning everything you need is just minutes away. This 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home is ideal for anyone looking for a cozy stylish home with character.
Key facts
- Smooth layout
- Updated home
- Gold accent handles
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($378/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#736 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.18%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,920
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- 36.92%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1502 N Grant St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (+10%) | 13mo | $117,000 | $102 | 64 |
| 1016 Wilson Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $125 | 56 |
| 309 Smith St | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 936 (-10%) | 24mo | $139,000 | $149 | 53 |
| 903 Wilson Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,146 (+10%) | 23mo | $35,000 | $31 | 41 |
| 543 Highland Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,174 (+13%) | 11mo | $22,900 | $20 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $64,597
- Equity at exit
- $103,511
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.86×
- Total profit
- $188,677
- Equity at exit
- $223,225
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16201
- Home prices YoY
- 10.0%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,040 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,677/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $114,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $114,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $114,900 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Step Inside this beautifully updated home featuring newly refreshed interiors and a smooth layout The Kitchen is a showstopper with stunning green cupboards and elegant gold accent handles, adding a touch of modern sophistication. Enjoy your morning coffee or evening relaxation on the small covered porch. Low manteniente backyard with minimal upkeep. Conveniently Located in Kittanning everything you need is just minutes away. This 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home is ideal for anyone looking for a cozy stylish home with character.
-
2026-03-11price $119,999 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Step Inside this beautifully updated home featuring newly refreshed interiors and a smooth layout The Kitchen is a showstopper with stunning green cupboards and elegant gold accent handles, adding a touch of modern sophistication. Enjoy your morning coffee or evening relaxation on the small covered porch. Low manteniente backyard with minimal upkeep. Conveniently Located in Kittanning everything you need is just minutes away. This 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home is ideal for anyone looking for a cozy stylish home with character.
-
2026-02-26$125,000 Active 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Step Inside this beautifully updated home featuring newly refreshed interiors and a smooth layout The Kitchen is a showstopper with stunning green cupboards and elegant gold accent handles, adding a touch of modern sophistication. Enjoy your morning coffee or evening relaxation on the small covered porch. Low manteniente backyard with minimal upkeep. Conveniently Located in Kittanning everything you need is just minutes away. This 2 Bedroom 1 Bath home is ideal for anyone looking for a cozy stylish home with character.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,677 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,746 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$69/yr (+$6/mo · 4.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,677
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$998
- − Management
- −$998
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable loss
- −$1,546
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$371
- After-tax cash flow
- $749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Armstrong SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202590
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,333
- Composite
- 40.41/100
- National rank
- #3729
- State rank
- #233 of 539 in PA
Livability — Kittanning
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #736
- US rank
- #7354
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kittanning, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,734
Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,513 people
- By 2030
- 59,579 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 52,890 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 45,904 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 32,023 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 20,415 · -67.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 24.52%
- Current HPI
- 270.2649
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-8.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $114,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $119,999 West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $125,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,677 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…