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46 Hillard St
B+ Composite 76.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

46 Hillard St · Wilkes-Barre, PA 18702
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,085 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1920 3,485 sqft lot $58/sqft · 31% below area Est $175k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!

Key facts

  • Lovely foyer
  • Fenced in rear yard
  • Dining room

Tags

LOVELY FOYERSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMDINING ROOMEAT-IN KITCHEN1ST FLOOR LAUNDRYFENCED IN REAR YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 5.7% in Wilkes-Barre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $71k; list at $120k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.33%
Cash-on-cash
21.55%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,587
List price
$119,900
Delta
-31.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39 Hillard St 0.02mi 5/1.0 1,792 (-14%) 4mo $177,000 $99 72
472 New Market St 0.73mi 5/2.0 2,184 (+5%) 2mo $99,900 $46 52
134 Wyoming St 0.44mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,982 (-5%) 20mo $236,000 $119 50
495 Pennsylvania Ave 0.40mi 5/1.0 1,848 (-11%) 16mo $165,000 $89 49
32 Wyoming St 0.52mi 6/2.5 (+1) 1,900 (-9%) 18mo $150,000 $79 35
43 Wyoming St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,800 (-14%) 22mo $105,000 $58 27
584 Washington St 0.64mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,836 (-12%) 20mo $230,000 $125 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$26,268
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
4.12×
Total profit
$104,724
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18702

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,812 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$603

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $119,900 Pending 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 147 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 146 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 139 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 137 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    statusdays on market $119,900 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!

  11. 2026-04-21
    price $119,900 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!

  12. 2026-03-13
    price $134,900 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!

  13. 2026-02-06
    price $149,900 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!

  14. 2025-12-30
    listed $154,900 Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!

  15. 2009-07-17
    soldstatus $71,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,744
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,798
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,740
− Management
−$1,740
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$5,663
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,359
After-tax cash flow
$5,876/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkes-Barre Area SD
NCES district ID
4226300
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$37,420
Composite
21.22/100
National rank
#8409
State rank
#469 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wilkes-Barre

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilkes-Barre, PA
County
Luzerne County · 118,885 people
City population
73,981
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Population (ZIP)
41,970
Household income
$56,378
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
1632.0

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.99%
Current HPI
216.9373
Rent YoY
▲ 6.84%
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending LCAR
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $119,900 LCAR
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $134,900 LCAR
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $149,900 LCAR
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $154,900 LCAR
  • 2009-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $12,251 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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