46 Hillard St · Wilkes-Barre, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!
Key facts
- Lovely foyer
- Fenced in rear yard
- Dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 5.7% in Wilkes-Barre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $120k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.55%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,587
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -31.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Hillard St | 0.02mi | 5/1.0 | 1,792 (-14%) | 4mo | $177,000 | $99 | 72 |
| 472 New Market St | 0.73mi | 5/2.0 | 2,184 (+5%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $46 | 52 |
| 134 Wyoming St | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,982 (-5%) | 20mo | $236,000 | $119 | 50 |
| 495 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.40mi | 5/1.0 | 1,848 (-11%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $89 | 49 |
| 32 Wyoming St | 0.52mi | 6/2.5 (+1) | 1,900 (-9%) | 18mo | $150,000 | $79 | 35 |
| 43 Wyoming St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (-14%) | 22mo | $105,000 | $58 | 27 |
| 584 Washington St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,836 (-12%) | 20mo | $230,000 | $125 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $26,268
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.12×
- Total profit
- $104,724
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18702
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,812 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $603
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $119,900 Pending 149 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 137 DOM
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2026-05-30statusdays on market $119,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Pending 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!
-
2026-04-21price $119,900 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!
-
2026-03-13price $134,900 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!
-
2026-02-06price $149,900 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!
-
2025-12-30$154,900 Active 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Affordable 3 story home, featuring a lovely foyer, spacious living room & dining room, eat-in kitchen, 1st floor laundry plus full bath & 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor. Additional 3 rooms in the attic that can easily be 2 more bedrooms & office space. Fenced in rear yard, plus off street parking in the rear. Close to all modern conveniences including major shopping area. Don't miss out, call today!
-
2009-07-17soldstatus $71,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,740
- − Management
- −$1,740
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $5,663
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,359
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226300
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,420
- Composite
- 21.22/100
- National rank
- #8409
- State rank
- #469 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wilkes-Barre
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilkes-Barre, PA
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- City population
- 73,981
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,970
- Household income
- $56,378
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1632.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.99%
- Current HPI
- 216.9373
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.84%
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+68.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $119,900 LCAR
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $134,900 LCAR
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $149,900 LCAR
- 2025-12-30 Listed $154,900 LCAR
- 2009-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.4%/yrLatest (2026): $12,251 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…