100 Boulevard Ave · Celoron, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.3/15.0
$147,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect place for your summer getaways, airbnb, first time buyers, or looking to downsize. This 2bdrm 1 bath home has a lot to offer with its location. Take a short stroll to Lucille Ball Park, Chautauqua Harbor Hotel or Chautauqua Lake at the end of the street. Detached 2 car garage is the perfect size to store your kayaks, boat, bikes, and/or car. This property offers cheap taxes, BPU utilities, and Southwestern school district. First floor laundry and completely remodeled bathroom. The possibilities for this adorable home are endless.
Key facts
- New siding
- New flooring
- New gutters
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#320 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Southwestern Central School District At Jamestown (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #373 of 590 in NY (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.3%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $147k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.66%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $126,620
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 E Duquesne | 0.19mi | 2/1.5 | 1,042 (+7%) | 13mo | $111,300 | $107 | 67 |
| 66 Waverly Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (-14%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $132 | 62 |
| 3418 Park St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 960 (-1%) | 23mo | $125,000 | $130 | 56 |
| 86 Louisa Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-1%) | 6mo | $144,900 | $151 | 54 |
| 53 E Livingston Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 848 (-13%) | 21mo | $115,000 | $136 | 49 |
| 41 Butler Ave Unit WE | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,080 (+11%) | 15mo | $116,000 | $107 | 48 |
| 3331 Old Fluvanna Rd | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,098 (+13%) | 4mo | $185,500 | $169 | 47 |
| 114 Merlin Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 910 (-7%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $126 | 44 |
| 71 W Duquesne St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 866 (-11%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $58 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $6,169
- Equity at exit
- $26,709
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $42,165
- Equity at exit
- $21,095
Cash invested: $41,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14720
- Home prices YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,750 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$771
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,804/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $483 | -5% $442 | +0% $400 | +5% $358 | +10% $317 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $262 | -5% $331 | +0% $400 | +5% $469 | +10% $538 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $474 | -0.5pp $437 | base $400 | +0.5pp $362 | +1.0pp $323 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,750
- Closing costs
- $4,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2887 Fluvanna Townline Rd Jamestown, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,750 | $2.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-23$147,000 Active
-
2021-01-25soldstatus $76,500 Closed Sale or Rented 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Perfect place for your summer getaways, airbnb, first time buyers, or looking to downsize. This 2bdrm 1 bath home has a lot to offer with its location. Take a short stroll to Lucille Ball Park, Chautauqua Harbor Hotel or Chautauqua Lake at the end of the street. Detached 2 car garage is the perfect size to store your kayaks, boat, bikes, and/or car. This property offers cheap taxes, BPU utilities, and Southwestern school district. First floor laundry and completely remodeled bathroom. The possibilities for this adorable home are endless.
-
2021-01-22soldstatus $76,500
-
2020-09-30status Pending Sale 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Perfect place for your summer getaways, airbnb, first time buyers, or looking to downsize. This 2bdrm 1 bath home has a lot to offer with its location. Take a short stroll to Lucille Ball Park, Chautauqua Harbor Hotel or Chautauqua Lake at the end of the street. Detached 2 car garage is the perfect size to store your kayaks, boat, bikes, and/or car. This property offers cheap taxes, BPU utilities, and Southwestern school district. First floor laundry and completely remodeled bathroom. The possibilities for this adorable home are endless.
-
2020-09-27status Under Contract- Do Not Show 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Perfect place for your summer getaways, airbnb, first time buyers, or looking to downsize. This 2bdrm 1 bath home has a lot to offer with its location. Take a short stroll to Lucille Ball Park, Chautauqua Harbor Hotel or Chautauqua Lake at the end of the street. Detached 2 car garage is the perfect size to store your kayaks, boat, bikes, and/or car. This property offers cheap taxes, BPU utilities, and Southwestern school district. First floor laundry and completely remodeled bathroom. The possibilities for this adorable home are endless.
-
2020-09-17historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Perfect place for your summer getaways, airbnb, first time buyers, or looking to downsize. This 2bdrm 1 bath home has a lot to offer with its location. Take a short stroll to Lucille Ball Park, Chautauqua Harbor Hotel or Chautauqua Lake at the end of the street. Detached 2 car garage is the perfect size to store your kayaks, boat, bikes, and/or car. This property offers cheap taxes, BPU utilities, and Southwestern school district. First floor laundry and completely remodeled bathroom. The possibilities for this adorable home are endless.
-
2020-09-09$79,900 Active 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Perfect place for your summer getaways, airbnb, first time buyers, or looking to downsize. This 2bdrm 1 bath home has a lot to offer with its location. Take a short stroll to Lucille Ball Park, Chautauqua Harbor Hotel or Chautauqua Lake at the end of the street. Detached 2 car garage is the perfect size to store your kayaks, boat, bikes, and/or car. This property offers cheap taxes, BPU utilities, and Southwestern school district. First floor laundry and completely remodeled bathroom. The possibilities for this adorable home are endless.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,804 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,144 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- +$340/yr (+$28/mo · 18.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,234
- − Property taxes
- −$1,804
- − Insurance
- −$735
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,680
- − Management
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$4,276
- Taxable income
- $2,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$622
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,179/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southwestern Central School District At Jamestown
- NCES district ID
- 3627660
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,567
- Composite
- 43.21/100
- National rank
- #3062
- State rank
- #373 of 590 in NY
Livability — Celoron
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #320
- US rank
- #5307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Celoron, NY
- City population
- 853
- Population (ZIP)
- 853
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.27%
- Current HPI
- 249.0282
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+84.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $147,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-01-25 Sold (MLS) $76,500 UNYREIS
- 2021-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
- 2020-09-30 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-09-27 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-09-17 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2020-09-09 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+13.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,804 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…