2217 Locust Ave · Alton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 2 bed 1 bath home is a great investment opportunity! Currently Tenant Occupied with new lease. This home has been well taken care of and has plenty of updates and space! If you are looking for a great opportunity to own rental property, this is the home for you! Ask agent for more information about current rent amounts, etc.
Key facts
- 7,836 sq ft lot
- Built 1946
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered; Home warranty available
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable connected; Natural gas connected; Phone connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; One-level design
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Lot approximately 0.18 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with refrigerator, range, and dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Full, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.4% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#701 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities D-.
- Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Alton High School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 1,990 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $90k implies a 1536% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.82%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,160
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2112 Amelia St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-5%) | 17mo | $24,900 | $31 | 68 |
| 2623 Powhattan St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (+4%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $74 | 67 |
| 2309 Judson Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 818 (-3%) | 8mo | $14,500 | $18 | 66 |
| 1225 Fairway Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (-2%) | 16mo | $68,500 | $83 | 56 |
| 2004 Clawson St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+7%) | 16mo | $78,000 | $87 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $2,834
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $43,222
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62002
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,057 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,686/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $236 | -5% $211 | +0% $185 | +5% $160 | +10% $134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $102 | -5% $143 | +0% $185 | +5% $227 | +10% $269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $231 | -0.5pp $208 | base $185 | +0.5pp $162 | +1.0pp $138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 Salu St Alton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,100 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3303 Jackson St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1408 Willard St Alton, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 568 | $750 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2418 Sanford Ave Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $875 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-09$90,000 Active
-
2024-09-13soldstatus Closed 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
This charming 2 bed 1 bath home is a great investment opportunity! Currently Tenant Occupied with new lease. This home has been well taken care of and has plenty of updates and space! If you are looking for a great opportunity to own rental property, this is the home for you! Ask agent for more information about current rent amounts, etc.
-
2024-08-14status Pending 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
This charming 2 bed 1 bath home is a great investment opportunity! Currently Tenant Occupied with new lease. This home has been well taken care of and has plenty of updates and space! If you are looking for a great opportunity to own rental property, this is the home for you! Ask agent for more information about current rent amounts, etc.
-
2024-08-01$70,000 Active 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
This charming 2 bed 1 bath home is a great investment opportunity! Currently Tenant Occupied with new lease. This home has been well taken care of and has plenty of updates and space! If you are looking for a great opportunity to own rental property, this is the home for you! Ask agent for more information about current rent amounts, etc.
-
1997-08-20soldstatus $5,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,686 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,864 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- +$178/yr (+$15/mo · 10.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,687
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,686
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,015
- − Management
- −$1,015
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $861
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$207
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,016/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alton CUSD 11
- NCES district ID
- 1703600
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,257
- Composite
- 11.34/100
- National rank
- #9710
- State rank
- #544 of 620 in IL
Livability — Alton
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #14289
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alton, IL
- County
- Madison County · 189,064 people
- City population
- 29,543
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,543
- Household income
- $61,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.43%
- Current HPI
- 194.7313
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+1536.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Listed $90,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-13 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-14 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-01 Listed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $5,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,686 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…