11350 Sarah Jane Ln #59 · Prescott Valley, AZ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$207,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to effortless living in one of the Prescott areas most inviting 55+ active adult communities, just minutes from downtown Prescott and all the dining, events, and charm of the historic courthouse square. If you've been searching for an easy-living 2 bedroom, 2 bath home, this one absolutely hits the mark.Inside, you'll find an upgraded kitchen with solid-surface countertops, shaker cabinets, and stainless steel appliances, all opening seamlessly into the bright living and dining area--ideal for hosting friends or simply enjoying quiet, comfortable days at home. This truly is a move-in-ready Prescott area home with modern upgrades.Outdoor spaces are what make this home stand out. Start your mornings on the covered front porch, unwind on your private screened-in patio for year-round enjoyment, or take advantage of the white picket-fenced yard and pavered area--a perfect, low-maintenance space for pets or light outdoor living. The full-length carport shading protects your vehicles from the Arizona sun, giving you practical comfort every day.This home sits atop the pet friendly 55+ community with resort-style amenities including a clubhouse, pickleball courts, pool, and fitness room--a perfect fit for anyone seeking an active adult lifestyle. Whether you're downsizing, relocating for a simpler pace, or looking for a lock-and-leave second home, this community delivers connection, convenience, and the joy of easy living.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Upgraded kitchen
- Shaker cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $208k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-529/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (3.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.0% in Prescott Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#126 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Humboldt Unified District (4469) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #94 of 249 in AZ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Traditional School (math 56% / reading 53%, grade C, #208 of 1,109 statewide, top 19%, 785 students, 39% FRL); Bradshaw Mountain Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #78 of 218 statewide, top 36%, 280 students, 55% FRL); Bradshaw Mountain High School (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #222 of 381 statewide, top 59%, 1,697 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.91%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,500
- List price
- $207,500
- Delta
- -11.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11250 E State Route 69 #1125 | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+3%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $104 | 74 |
| 11250 E State Route 69 Unit 1128-2 | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,174 (-3%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 11250 E State Route 69 1152 | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,180 (-3%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $110 | 66 |
| 11250 E State Route 69 #2123 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+11%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $141 | 66 |
| 11350 Sarah Jane Ln #65 | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,228 (+1%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $175 | 63 |
| 2142 Jackrabbit Dr | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,380 (+14%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $134 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-36,404
- Equity at exit
- $30,939
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-35,206
- Equity at exit
- $17,941
Cash invested: $58,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $213,900 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 107 d
- This list price
- 30% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +16.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 86327
- Home prices YoY
- -11.8%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,759 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,088
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$259 /mo · $3,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$86
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $-44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $99 | -5% $28 | +0% $-44 | +5% $-116 | +10% $-187 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-183 | -5% $-114 | +0% $-44 | +5% $25 | +10% $95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $60 | -0.5pp $9 | base $-44 | +0.5pp $-98 | +1.0pp $-153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,875
- Closing costs
- $6,225
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1298 Tapadero Dr Unit A Dewey, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,750 | $1.54 | 70d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 11501 E Wingfoot Ct Dewey, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 93d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1251 Barzona Ave #2 Dewey, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,745 | $1.39 | 93d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 959 N Old Chisholm Trl Apt 01 Dewey, AZ | 1.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,175 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 873 N Old Chisholm Trl Unit A Dewey, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 93d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $207,500 Active 267 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $207,500 Active 266 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $207,500 Active 265 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $207,500 Active 264 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $207,500 Active 263 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $207,500 Active 262 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $207,500 Active 259 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $207,500 Active 258 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $207,500 Active 257 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $207,500 Active 255 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $207,500 Active 253 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $207,500 Active 252 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $207,500 Active 251 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $207,500 Active 250 DOM
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2026-07-21pricedays on market $207,500 Active 249 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $209,900 Active 246 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $209,900 Active 244 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $209,900 Active 243 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $209,900 Active 242 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $209,900 Active 241 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $209,900 Active 240 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $209,900 Active 239 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $209,900 Active 238 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $209,900 Active 237 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $209,900 Active 236 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $209,900 Active 235 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $209,900 Active 234 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $209,900 Active 233 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $209,900 Active 232 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $209,900 Active 231 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $209,900 Active 230 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $209,900 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $209,900 Active 228 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $209,900 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $209,900 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $209,900 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $209,900 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $209,900 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $209,900 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $209,900 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $209,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $209,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $209,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $209,900 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $209,900 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $209,900 Active 207 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $209,900 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $209,900 Active 205 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,113
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,623
- − Property taxes
- −$3,112
- − Insurance
- −$1,038
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,689
- − Management
- −$1,689
- − Depreciation
- −$6,036
- Taxable loss
- −$4,075
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$978
- After-tax cash flow
- $449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready home in a desirable 55+ community offers modern upgrades and a well-maintained exterior, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home ↑
- Both Upgrading the appliances in the kitchen — Newer appliances can increase the home's value and appeal to potential buyers ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Humboldt Unified District (4469)
- NCES district ID
- 0403870
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,326
- Composite
- 29.06/100
- National rank
- #6605
- State rank
- #94 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Prescott Valley
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #16160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prescott Valley, AZ
- County
- Yavapai County · 241,389 people
- City population
- 63,155
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,154
- Household income
- $71,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.08%
- Current HPI
- 320.6301
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-4.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $209,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-14 Listed $219,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…