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12 Balfour St Fourplex
C- Composite 50.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,099,999

12 Balfour St · New York, NY 10305
16 bd · 16.0 ba · 3,245 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1931 3,200 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Exceptional legal 4 -family property consisting of two separate buildings, offering strong income potential in a prime South Beach location. The main building features three spacious units: a first-floor two-bedroom apartment, a second-floor one-bedroom, and a studio with the potential to be converted into a one-bedroom. One of the units has been recently renovated with a brand-new kitchen and appliances. The property also includes a large attic with high ceilings, providing additional usable space. The second building is a single-story ranch with a full basement and private yard, currently configured as a one-bedroom unit, ideal for additional rental income or owner occupancy. Conveniently

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • High ceilings
  • Large attic

Tags

STRONG INCOME POTENTIALPRIME SOUTH BEACH LOCATIONRECENTLY RENOVATED KITCHENLARGE ATTICHIGH CEILINGSFULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building total area reported as 3,245 (unit unspecified)
  • Financial info: Total of 1 unit for the listing (multifamily details included); Unit 1 reported rent: $2,000/month; Unit 3 reported rent: $1,800/month; Unit 4 reported rent: $2,000/month

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: 220 Volt electric
  • Home design: Stone construction; 2 stories; Property in excellent condition
  • Construction: Stone exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.07 acres (about 3,200 sq ft); Lot dimensions about 40.3 x 80.5; Zoned R3-X

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms (level 1); Unit 3: 1 bedroom (level 2); Unit 4: 1 bedroom (level 1)
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 three-quarter bathroom (total 4 bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Steam and oil heating; Unit cooling
  • Interior features: Unit-controlled air conditioning; Cable available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 3×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $1.10M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $798 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $200/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $999k (9.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $999k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,990/mo this rent would consume 144% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 1647% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.08M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $999,000 (9.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.37%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-80,283
Equity at exit
$164,013
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$207,846
Equity at exit
$95,108

Cash invested: $308,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10305

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
34.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,990 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,769
Tax from tax record
$800 /mo · $9,606/yr
Insurance
$458
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,098
Net cashflow
$798

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,980
Max offer price $1,099,999
Occupancy floor 87%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $2,665
Total (4 units) $9,990

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$275,000
Closing costs
$33,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-22
    listed $1,099,999 Active
  4. 2026-04-22
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,606 · $800/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,098 · $1,175/mo
Expected delta
+$4,492/yr (+$374/mo · 46.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$119,880
− Mortgage interest
−$61,617
− Property taxes
−$9,606
− Insurance
−$6,297
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,590
− Management
−$9,590
− Depreciation
−$32,000
Taxable loss
−$8,821
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,117
After-tax cash flow
$11,697/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Richmond County · 404,174 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
41,270
Household income
$83,413
Rent vs Own
35.1% rent · 64.9% own
Severe rent burden
1647.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
482,784 people
By 2030
481,831 · -0.2%
By 2040
473,159 · -2.0%
By 2050
457,242 · -5.3%
By 2075
408,029 · -15.5%
By 2100
341,459 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Asian 21% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
36% · China, Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
52% English-only · Chinese 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -487.06%
Current HPI
342.7938
Rent YoY
▲ 7.50%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending SIBORMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Relisted SIBORMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $1,099,999 SIBORMLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,606 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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