2340 Big Pine Ct · Panthersville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity in Conley! 2304 Big Pine Court offers strong value-add potential for flippers or buy-and-hold investors. Solid layout ready for renovation with upside in the area. Convenient to Atlanta, highways, and the airport. Sold as-is. Bring your vision and contractor!
Key facts
- 0.54 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1972
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.3% in Panthersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#180 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cedar Grove Elementary School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #873 of 1,228 statewide, top 71%, 565 students, 100% FRL); Cedar Grove Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #433 of 470 statewide, top 93%, 777 students, 100% FRL); Cedar Grove High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,123 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,059/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 213% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $169k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.84%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $219,780
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2340 Big Pine Ct | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (0%) | 0mo | $161,525 | $97 | 93 |
| 3840 Rolling Pl | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (-4%) | 3mo | $228,000 | $142 | 76 |
| 2365 Rock Hollow Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (-4%) | 6mo | $212,000 | $132 | 72 |
| 3694 Rolling Pl | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (-2%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $123 | 72 |
| 2413 Tolliver Hills Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,557 (-6%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $138 | 69 |
| 3779 Rolling Pl | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+1%) | 6mo | $232,000 | $138 | 63 |
| 3787 Rolling Pl | 0.40mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,680 (+1%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 4031 Cedar Grove Pl | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,433 (-14%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $115 | 47 |
| 4216 Connor Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (+8%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $39 | 46 |
| 4169 Cedar Valley Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (-9%) | 13mo | $265,000 | $175 | 45 |
| 2214 River Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,800 (+8%) | 11mo | $178,000 | $99 | 41 |
| 3791 River Lake Shr | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,792 (+8%) | 13mo | $235,000 | $131 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,074
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $24,585
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30288
- Home prices YoY
- -12.9%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,059 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$321 /mo · $3,851/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $349
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2327 Tolliver Pl Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1688 | $2,111 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3691 Connor Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3679 Bouldercrest Rd Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2616 Micah Dr Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2011 | $1,985 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4149 Connor Dr Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1288 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2419 Broad River Pl Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2056 | $2,511 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2424 Broad River Pl Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2056 | $2,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3784 River Lake Shr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1775 | $1,900 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2141 Silva Ct Conley, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2097 | $2,180 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4265 Loveless Pl Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,715 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3128 Bouldercrest Rd Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,728 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3060 Orbit Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1916 | $1,789 | $0.93 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3531 Weathered Wood Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2151 | $2,290 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2274 Silver Maple Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1952 Boulder Hills Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,875 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3763 Soapstone Rd Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2010 Redwood Trce Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2036 | $2,079 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4197 Grant Forest Cir Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2208 | $2,300 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4007 Moore Creek Dr Conley, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3912 Old Ivy Ct Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1718 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2882 Ward Lake Way Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1685 | $1,676 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1793 Cedar Walk Ln Conley, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2143 | $1,950 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4153 Ward Lake Trl Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,930 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4136 Moore Rd Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $1,981 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3581 Oakvale Falls Ct Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1998 | $2,080 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2945 Woody Ct Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-02status Under Contract 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Investor opportunity in Conley! 2304 Big Pine Court offers strong value-add potential for flippers or buy-and-hold investors. Solid layout ready for renovation with upside in the area. Convenient to Atlanta, highways, and the airport. Sold as-is. Bring your vision and contractor!
-
2026-04-02status Pending
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Investor opportunity in Conley! 2304 Big Pine Court offers strong value-add potential for flippers or buy-and-hold investors. Solid layout ready for renovation with upside in the area. Convenient to Atlanta, highways, and the airport. Sold as-is. Bring your vision and contractor!
-
2026-03-11price $169,000 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Investor opportunity in Conley! 2304 Big Pine Court offers strong value-add potential for flippers or buy-and-hold investors. Solid layout ready for renovation with upside in the area. Convenient to Atlanta, highways, and the airport. Sold as-is. Bring your vision and contractor!
-
2026-03-11price $169,000
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Investor opportunity in Conley! 2304 Big Pine Court offers strong value-add potential for flippers or buy-and-hold investors. Solid layout ready for renovation with upside in the area. Convenient to Atlanta, highways, and the airport. Sold as-is. Bring your vision and contractor!
-
2026-02-13$179,000 New 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Investor opportunity in Conley! 2304 Big Pine Court offers strong value-add potential for flippers or buy-and-hold investors. Solid layout ready for renovation with upside in the area. Convenient to Atlanta, highways, and the airport. Sold as-is. Bring your vision and contractor!
-
2026-02-13$179,000 Active
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Investor opportunity in Conley! 2304 Big Pine Court offers strong value-add potential for flippers or buy-and-hold investors. Solid layout ready for renovation with upside in the area. Convenient to Atlanta, highways, and the airport. Sold as-is. Bring your vision and contractor!
-
2026-01-06historical $1,799
-
2025-11-22$1,799
-
2016-02-01soldstatus $75,000
-
1997-12-04soldstatus $87,900
-
1985-02-13soldstatus $60,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,851 · $321/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,851 · $321/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$3,851
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,976
- − Management
- −$1,976
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable income
- $1,672
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$401
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,784/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Panthersville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #180
- US rank
- #11244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,116
- Household income
- $51,511
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 213.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.96%
- Current HPI
- 222.5766
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+181.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-02 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $169,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $169,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $179,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $179,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-06 Rental Removed $1,799 Tricon
- 2025-11-22 Listed for Rent $1,799 Tricon
- 2016-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1997-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $87,900 Public Records
- 1985-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,851 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…