8249 N 127th EastAvenue · Owasso, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell - ready for you cosmetic updates. Newer AC. Split bedroom plan. Fully fenced. Mostly brick. Enclosed sun porch.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- Enclosed patio
- 7,605 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks; Gutters (community feature)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors; No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer; Fiber optic available; Satellite internet available
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces west; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built using brick, Masonite, wood siding, and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rain gutters; Enclosed patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Oven; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Multiple first-floor bedrooms including a master bedroom with private bath and walk-in closet; Additional bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood veneer
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the first floor including a master bath and a hall bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fans; Laminate counters; Vinyl windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside utility room with washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($59/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (20.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in Owasso — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#5 in OK, #2,368 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Owasso (suburban): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #25 of 270 in OK (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 495 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $230k implies a 187% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.09%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8207 N 128th EastAvenue | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,262 (-8%) | 1mo | $227,800 | $181 | 81 |
| 8214 N 122nd East Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-6%) | 3mo | $217,900 | $170 | 68 |
| 8708 N 124th East Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-2%) | 8mo | $234,000 | $175 | 66 |
| 12105 E 79th Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-5%) | 2mo | $230,025 | $177 | 63 |
| 11829 E 80th Pl | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (+4%) | 1mo | $198,000 | $139 | 63 |
| 8709 N 124th EastAvenue W | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,259 (-8%) | 4mo | $202,000 | $160 | 61 |
| 12306 E 77th St N | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,410 (+3%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $188 | 56 |
| 12106 E 89th St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (+3%) | 8mo | $219,999 | $157 | 56 |
| 12022 E 85th St N | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (+12%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $153 | 55 |
| 8102 N 121st EastAvenue | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (-9%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $149 | 53 |
| 8509 N 121st EastAvenue | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,542 (+13%) | 9mo | $232,000 | $150 | 49 |
| 8418 N 117th EastAvenue | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (+15%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $89 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-38,970
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-41,682
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74055
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 495
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,828 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,649/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13600 E 84th St N Owasso, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $2,210 | $2.80 | 1d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 12003 E 85th St N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,595 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 11697 E 83rd St N Owasso, OK | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $1,450 | $1.56 | 1d | 12 | 0.79mi |
| 13116 E 76th St N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1561 | $2,272 | $1.46 | 1d | 6 | 0.81mi |
| 8220 N 116th East Ave Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8309 N 144th E Ave Owasso, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,215 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 802 N Birch St Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,623 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 14700 E 88th Pl N Owasso, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $1,685 | $1.77 | 1d | 19 | 1.33mi |
| 11506 E 94th Pl N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $2,195 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 11502 E 94th Pl N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,195 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9306 N 114th East Ave Owasso, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1813 | $2,350 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 103 N Atlanta St Unit B Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-20$229,900 Active
-
2013-09-20soldstatus $80,000 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Priced to sell - ready for you cosmetic updates. Newer AC. Split bedroom plan. Fully fenced. Mostly brick. Enclosed sun porch.
-
2013-07-29historical 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Priced to sell - ready for you cosmetic updates. Newer AC. Split bedroom plan. Fully fenced. Mostly brick. Enclosed sun porch.
-
2013-07-18$73,000 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Priced to sell - ready for you cosmetic updates. Newer AC. Split bedroom plan. Fully fenced. Mostly brick. Enclosed sun porch.
-
2009-03-12soldstatus $124,500
-
2009-03-06soldstatus $124,400 24-char remark
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
Sold at time of listing.
-
2009-02-12historical 24-char remark
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
Sold at time of listing.
-
2009-02-10$124,400 24-char remark
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
Sold at time of listing.
-
2007-05-18soldstatus $121,000
-
2007-05-15soldstatus $121,000
-
2007-04-18historical
-
2007-02-02$125,500
-
1991-08-01soldstatus $14,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,649 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,069 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$420/yr (+$35/mo · 25.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,930
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$1,649
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,754
- − Management
- −$1,754
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$3,943
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$946
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Owasso
- NCES district ID
- 4023280
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,759
- Composite
- 32.24/100
- National rank
- #5771
- State rank
- #25 of 270 in OK
Livability — Owasso
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #2368
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Owasso, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 51,381
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,381
- Household income
- $87,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.44%
- Current HPI
- 207.781
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+1485.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $229,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2013-09-20 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2013-07-29 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2013-07-18 Listed $73,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2009-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $124,500 Public Records
- 2009-03-06 Sold (MLS) $124,400 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2009-02-12 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2009-02-10 Listed $124,400 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-15 Sold (MLS) $121,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-04-18 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-02-02 Listed $125,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1991-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,649 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…