131 Cainwalker Dr · Charleston, SC 29450

$469,990

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,601 sqft · SingleFamily · 135 Days on market

Built 2026 8,712 sqft lot Est $423k · 11% over $75/mo HOA · 1% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.0/30.0
• DSCR +8.2/10.0
• 1% rule +6.7/10.0
• Appreciation +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• ARV discount +2.5/15.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• 8,712 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2026

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: No other structures on the property
• HOA & community: Annual association fee of $900; Community walk/jog trails

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Water and sewer: BCW & SA; Electric: Berkeley Electric Co-Op
• Home design: Single-family detached home; One story; Ground-level entry; Located in Cainhoy Preserve subdivision
• Construction: Residential construction
• Exterior features: Architectural roof; Covered porch; Walk/jog trails in the community

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Kitchen island (open plan to family room and dinette)
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; primary bedroom on the lower level
• Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating
• Interior features: Smooth ceilings; High ceilings; Kitchen island; Walk-in closets

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $470k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $470k).
• Recommended offer: $414k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.4% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#22 in SC, #3,336 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, commute F, cost of living D-.
• Berkeley 01 (suburban): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #30 of 80 in SC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Cainhoy Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #594 of 597 statewide, top 100%, 154 students, 100% FRL); Philip Simmons Middle (math 31% / reading 48%, grade F, #82 of 229 statewide, top 37%, 428 students, 35% FRL); Philip Simmons High (math 42% / reading 92%, grade B, #73 of 196 statewide, top 41%, 771 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 3,183 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (580 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Berkeley County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $132k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($414k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $413,591 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.17% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.35%
• DSCR: 1.42
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $422,664
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
117 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.41mi	3/2.0	1,702 (+6%)	3mo	$502,500	$295	68
116 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,702 (+6%)	9mo	$419,740	$247	64
152 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.40mi	3/2.0	1,702 (+6%)	8mo	$399,090	$234	64
158 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,702 (+6%)	11mo	$473,940	$278	63
155 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.41mi	3/2.0	1,702 (+6%)	10mo	$497,990	$293	62
112 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,702 (+6%)	15mo	$444,840	$261	59
111 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.41mi	3/2.0	1,702 (+6%)	15mo	$449,940	$264	58
122 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.39mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,702 (+6%)	7mo	$398,740	$234	56
1070 French Quarter Creek Rd	0.66mi	3/2.0	1,632 (+2%)	12mo	$275,000	$169	56
143 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,702 (+6%)	15mo	$468,740	$275	55
135 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.46mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,702 (+6%)	7mo	$439,140	$258	53
126 Royal Cainhoy Way	0.40mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,702 (+6%)	15mo	$464,140	$273	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.21×
• Total profit: $27,576
• Equity at exit: $110,833

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.10×
• Total profit: $144,373
• Equity at exit: $114,167

Cash invested: $131,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29450

• Home prices YoY: -0.2%
• Active inventory: 69
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,504 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,465
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$587 /mo · $7,050/yr
• Insurance: −$196
• HOA: −$75
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,156
• Net cashflow: $1,025

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,206

Max offer price $469,990

Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $117,498
• Closing costs: $14,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $75 · $900/yr

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $469,990 Active 135 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $469,990 Active 134 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $469,990 Active 133 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $469,990 Active 132 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $469,990 Active 130 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $469,990 Active 129 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $469,990 Active 127 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $469,990 Active 126 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $469,990 Active 125 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $469,990 Active 124 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $469,990 Active 121 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $469,990 Active 120 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $469,990 Active 119 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $469,990 Active 118 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $469,990 Active 117 DOM
16. 2026-03-10
    price $469,990
17. 2026-02-26
    price $454,990
18. 2026-02-03
    listed $449,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $66,048
• − Mortgage interest: −$26,327
• − Property taxes: −$7,050
• − Insurance: −$2,350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,284
• − Management: −$5,284
• − HOA: −$900
• − Depreciation: −$13,672
• Taxable income: $5,182
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,244
• After-tax cash flow: $11,059/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Berkeley 01
• NCES district ID: 4501170
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $52,724
• Composite: 35.95/100
• National rank: #4799
• State rank: #30 of 80 in SC

Livability — Charleston

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #22
• US rank: #3336

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living D- Crime D+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 200,573
• Population (ZIP): 3,124

Population outlook (Berkeley County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 254,184 people
• By 2030: 279,677 · +10.0%
• By 2040: 329,379 · +29.6%
• By 2050: 375,557 · +47.8%
• By 2075: 476,740 · +87.6%
• By 2100: 535,945 · +110.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 64% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 7% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Berkeley

• 2024 margin: R (+16.3) · D 41.1% · R 57.4% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -16.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.3 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+18.9 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.12%
• Current HPI: 462.4619
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+4.4% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-10 Price Changed $469,990 Charleston Trident MLS
• 2026-02-26 Price Changed $454,990 Charleston Trident MLS
• 2026-02-03 Listed $449,990 Charleston Trident MLS