1943 Friendship Church Rd · Villa Rica, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$168,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to peaceful country living in Paulding County! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home sits on approximately 1 acre, offering plenty of outdoor space and privacy. Inside, you'll find a functional floor plan with a spacious living area, comfortable bedrooms, and a primary suite featuring its own private bath. The kitchen offers ample cabinet and counter space, making meal preparation and entertaining convenient and enjoyable. Step outside and enjoy the open acreage, providing endless possibilities for gardening, recreation, outdoor gatherings, or simply relaxing and taking in the surroundings. The property's quiet setting offers a tranquil retreat while still providing convenient access to shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways throughout Paulding County. Whether you're looking for your first home, downsizing, or seeking more space to enjoy the outdoors, this property presents a wonderful opportunity to own a home on acreage in a desirable Paulding County location.
Key facts
- Private bath
- Convenient access
- Quiet setting
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Four total parking spaces; Driveway with level access; Open parking available; On-site storage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 220 volt electric service; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Water available
- Home design: Double wide mobile home; One level; Resale condition; Slab foundation; Metal roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Storage; Covered front porch; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar; Laminate counters; Other surface counters
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Split bedroom plan
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One fireplace located in the family room; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows; No shared/common walls
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Connie Dugan Elementary School (math 43% / reading 31%, grade F, #485 of 1,228 statewide, top 41%, 662 students, 55% FRL); Irma C. Austin Middle School (math 38% / reading 45%, grade F, #132 of 470 statewide, top 28%, 792 students, 51% FRL); South Paulding High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,911 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 293 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.74%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-990
- Equity at exit
- $25,124
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $18,604
- Equity at exit
- $14,569
Cash invested: $47,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30134
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,899 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$884
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $547/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,125
- Closing costs
- $5,055
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338 Brookwood Xing Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,749 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 376 Dillon Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 376 Dillon Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $168,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $168,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$168,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $547 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,550 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,003/yr (+$84/mo · 183.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,789
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,439
- − Property taxes
- −$547
- − Insurance
- −$842
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,823
- − Management
- −$1,823
- − Depreciation
- −$4,902
- Taxable income
- $3,413
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$819
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,191/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paulding County
- NCES district ID
- 1304020
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,447
- Composite
- 36.0/100
- National rank
- #4784
- State rank
- #33 of 174 in GA
Livability — Villa Rica
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #13182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 43,013
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,580
- Household income
- $76,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1339.0
Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,714 people
- By 2030
- 186,082 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 204,414 · +16.3%
- By 2050
- 217,040 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 236,980 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 238,314 · +35.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Paulding
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -38.5pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+38.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.36%
- Current HPI
- 243.9426
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.03%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $168,500 GAMLS
- 2026-06-15 Listed $168,500 FMLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $547 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…