725 Elm Ave · Geary, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the inviting appeal of 725 N Elm AVE, Geary, OK 73040, a single-family brick single level residence built in 1979. This lovely home offers a comfortable rural Oklahoma living experience. This property provides three nice sized bedrooms, two bathrooms, two-car garage, and fenced yard. Recent exterior paint. Located on a culdesac street on the far North end of the City of Geary with expansive views. Move-in ready.
Key facts
- Expansive views
- Fenced yard
- Culdesac street
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,330 (assessor); Corner lot size approximately 0.241 acre; No storm shelter; Not homesteaded
- Financial info: Assumable loans: No
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; East-facing
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built (existing property)
- Exterior features: Open patio; Chain link fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: One living area; Masonry fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#652 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Geary (rural): math 25% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #405 of 513 in OK (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Geary Es (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 122 students, 0% FRL); Geary Hs (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #361 of 447 statewide, top 94%, 75 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 75% district-wide (75 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Blaine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Blaine County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.83%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $69,160
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 N Cheyenne Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,454 (+9%) | 9mo | $79,000 | $54 | 56 |
| 317 S Blaine Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,364 (+3%) | 12mo | $38,000 | $28 | 50 |
| 305 NW 2nd St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,136 (-15%) | 21mo | $59,000 | $52 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $46,601
- Equity at exit
- $46,446
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.23×
- Total profit
- $116,909
- Equity at exit
- $81,142
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73040
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,155 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $412/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $471 | -5% $448 | +0% $426 | +5% $403 | +10% $380 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $334 | -5% $380 | +0% $426 | +5% $471 | +10% $517 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $466 | -0.5pp $446 | base $426 | +0.5pp $405 | +1.0pp $384 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-08$79,900 Active
-
2019-09-20historical
-
2019-08-09$74,900
-
2019-07-23historical
-
2019-01-23$84,900
-
2014-07-15soldstatus $79,000
-
2008-05-19soldstatus $70,000
-
1999-11-05soldstatus $43,000
-
1999-06-25soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $412 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $719 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$307/yr (+$26/mo · 74.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,857
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$412
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,109
- − Management
- −$1,109
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $4,029
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$967
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Geary
- NCES district ID
- 4012570
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,156
- Composite
- 20.33/100
- National rank
- #13811
- State rank
- #405 of 513 in OK
Livability — Geary
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #652
- US rank
- #25185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Geary, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,334
Population outlook (Blaine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,545 people
- By 2030
- 10,898 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 11,795 · +11.9%
- By 2050
- 12,754 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 15,721 · +49.1%
- By 2100
- 16,043 · +52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Native American 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Blaine
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.0) · D 17.7% · R 80.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -50.8pp · 2024: -63.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.0 2020: R+62.8 2016: R+57.3 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.24%
- Current HPI
- 176.386
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+166.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-05-08 Listed $79,900 MLSOK
- 2019-09-20 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2019-08-09 Listed $74,900 MLSOK
- 2019-07-23 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2019-01-23 Listed $84,900 MLSOK
- 2014-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2008-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $412 · +25.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…