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1220 232nd Ln W
C+ Composite 64.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.8/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,900

1220 232nd Ln W · Ocean Park, WA 98640
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1978 6,098 sqft lot Est $195k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!

Key facts

  • Cozy firepit
  • Steps from the beach
  • Covered hot tub

Tags

PRIVATE BEACH GETAWAYFULLY FENCED OUTDOOR SPACECOVERED HOT TUBCOZY FIREPITSEPARATE RECREATION AREASTEPS FROM THE BEACH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space, 1 uncovered space)
  • Security: Fully fenced
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric and wood energy sources; Water heater in closet (electric); Power service by PUD #2; Internet service: Spectrum
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Manufactured on land; One story; Main entry; Faces west; Has view; Good condition
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation; Effective year built 1978 (manufactured house)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fully fenced yard; Outbuildings; Hot tub / spa; Level topography; Dead-end street lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove / Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level); 2 bathtubs
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Forced air cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace (wood burning); Hot tub / spa; Water heater (electric)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $211k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $984 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $211k).
  • Recommended offer: $208k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#216 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: commute D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ocean Park Elementary (196 students, 76% FRL); Ilwaco High School (296 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 311 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $211k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $207,736 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.89%
Cash-on-cash
19.99%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,880
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2007 222nd Pl 0.66mi 2/1.0 924 (+10%) 14mo $214,000 $232 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$28,444
Equity at exit
$31,446
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$105,265
Equity at exit
$18,235

Cash invested: $59,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98640

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,106
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,358/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$609
Net cashflow
$984

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,655
Max offer price $210,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,725
Closing costs
$6,327
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24904 J Pl Ocean Park, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,900 $3.22 43d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,900 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $210,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,900 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $210,900 Active
  17. 2016-07-20
    soldstatus $89,500 Sold 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!

  18. 2016-07-20
    soldstatus $89,500 Sold
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!

  19. 2016-07-20
    soldstatus $89,500
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!

  20. 2016-06-25
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!

  21. 2016-06-25
    status Pending 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!

  22. 2016-06-16
    listed $94,900 Active 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!

  23. 2016-06-15
    listed $94,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,358 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,067 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$708/yr (+$59/mo · 52.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥74°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,800
− Mortgage interest
−$11,814
− Property taxes
−$1,358
− Insurance
−$1,054
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,784
− Management
−$2,784
− Depreciation
−$6,135
Taxable income
$8,870
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,129
After-tax cash flow
$9,678/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean Beach School District
NCES district ID
5306060
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,549
Composite
37.37/100
National rank
#8929
State rank
#212 of 291 in WA

Livability — Ocean Park

Score
72/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#6161

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A- Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,107

Population outlook (Pacific County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,636 people
By 2030
20,137 · -2.4%
By 2040
19,041 · -7.7%
By 2050
18,504 · -10.3%
By 2075
17,403 · -15.7%
By 2100
16,241 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pacific

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 49.4% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+6.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+14.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.15%
Current HPI
222.8758
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $210,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
  • 2016-07-20 Sold (MLS) $89,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-20 Sold (MLS) $89,500 RMLS
  • 2016-06-25 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-25 Pending RMLS
  • 2016-06-16 Listed $94,900 RMLS
  • 2016-06-15 Listed $94,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,358 · -11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…