1220 232nd Ln W · Ocean Park, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 74°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!
Key facts
- Cozy firepit
- Steps from the beach
- Covered hot tub
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space, 1 uncovered space)
- Security: Fully fenced
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric and wood energy sources; Water heater in closet (electric); Power service by PUD #2; Internet service: Spectrum
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Manufactured on land; One story; Main entry; Faces west; Has view; Good condition
- Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation; Effective year built 1978 (manufactured house)
- Exterior features: Deck; Fully fenced yard; Outbuildings; Hot tub / spa; Level topography; Dead-end street lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove / Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level); 2 bathtubs
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Forced air cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (wood burning); Hot tub / spa; Water heater (electric)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $211k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $984 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $211k).
- Recommended offer: $208k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#216 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: commute D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ocean Park Elementary (196 students, 76% FRL); Ilwaco High School (296 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 311 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $211k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.99%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,880
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 222nd Pl | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+10%) | 14mo | $214,000 | $232 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $28,444
- Equity at exit
- $31,446
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $105,265
- Equity at exit
- $18,235
Cash invested: $59,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98640
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,106
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,358/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $984
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,725
- Closing costs
- $6,327
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24904 J Pl Ocean Park, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,900 | $3.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $210,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$210,900 Active
-
2016-07-20soldstatus $89,500 Sold 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!
-
2016-07-20soldstatus $89,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!
-
2016-07-20soldstatus $89,500
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!
-
2016-06-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!
-
2016-06-25status Pending 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!
-
2016-06-16$94,900 Active 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
WEST SIDE ONE STORY 3 Parcels from the deeded beach path! Come take a look at this impeccable move in ready fully furnished 2 Bedroom 2 Bath 960 SF Home with attached carport all for under $100,000. Perfect beach getaway or FT residence. Pride of ownership with newer roof, hot water tank, refrigerator, dishwasher & power box. Outside enjoy a sunny deck, fire pit, and a multi purpose "Hoopy House" outbuilding. Room for RV. DON'T DELAY!!
-
2016-06-15$94,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,358 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,067 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$708/yr (+$59/mo · 52.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥74°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,814
- − Property taxes
- −$1,358
- − Insurance
- −$1,054
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,784
- − Management
- −$2,784
- − Depreciation
- −$6,135
- Taxable income
- $8,870
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,129
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,678/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ocean Beach School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306060
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,549
- Composite
- 37.37/100
- National rank
- #8929
- State rank
- #212 of 291 in WA
Livability — Ocean Park
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #216
- US rank
- #6161
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,107
Population outlook (Pacific County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,636 people
- By 2030
- 20,137 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 18,504 · -10.3%
- By 2075
- 17,403 · -15.7%
- By 2100
- 16,241 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pacific
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 49.4% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+6.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.15%
- Current HPI
- 222.8758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
+122.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $210,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
- 2016-07-20 Sold (MLS) $89,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-20 Sold (MLS) $89,500 RMLS
- 2016-06-25 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-25 Pending — RMLS
- 2016-06-16 Listed $94,900 RMLS
- 2016-06-15 Listed $94,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,358 · -11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…