Duplex
1029 Wheeler Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Cash flow +3.4/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$699,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
* * Available * * * Legal brick 2-family in the Bronx, delivered vacant. Upper unit: 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, living room, dining room, kitchen. First-floor unit: 1 bedroom, 1 full bathroom which gives strong rental income potential. 2,026 sq ft house. Hardwood floors throughout, brand new boiler. The roof and windows in good condition. Private 1-car driveway and a finished shed in the backyard for storage, workshop, or studio space. Solid brick construction. 0.5 miles to the Morrison Av-Soundview 6 train for a direct ride to Manhattan. Quick access to the Bruckner and Cross Bronx Expressways. 0.5 miles to Bruckner Plaza and ShopRite, with Concrete Plant Park, Starlight Park, and
Key facts
- Brand new boiler
- Finished shed
- Brick 2-family
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Con-Edison electric service; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Primary bathroom; Storage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $700k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-26k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-1k/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $311k (55.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $281k (59.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $281k (59.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($679k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 60% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.40% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.07%
- DSCR
- 0.42
- GRM
- 20.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $849,186
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1239 Evergreen Ave | 0.38mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-3%) | 15mo | $825,000 | $573 | 56 |
| 1449 Longfellow Ave | 0.63mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+13%) | 15mo | $700,000 | $417 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-15,120
- Equity at exit
- $358,315
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $94,165
- Equity at exit
- $588,786
Cash invested: $196,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10472
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 41.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,810 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,671
- Tax from tax record
- −$392 /mo · $4,703/yr
- Insurance
- −$292
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$590
- Net cashflow
- $-2,201
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $2,810 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,405 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,405 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,810 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $175,000
- Closing costs
- $21,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 Rosedale Ave Bronx, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $3,643 | $3.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $699,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $699,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $699,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $699,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $699,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $699,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $720,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $720,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $720,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $720,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $720,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$720,000 Active
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-03-03$750,000 Active
-
2025-05-29historical
-
2025-04-26price $690,000
-
2025-02-25price $730,000
-
2025-01-20$760,000 Active
-
2025-01-01historical
-
2024-10-31price $749,995
-
2024-09-13price $769,995
-
2024-08-22price $799,999
-
2024-05-01$819,999 Active
-
2024-04-29historical
-
2022-09-02soldstatus $660,000
-
2022-08-23soldstatus $660,000 Closed
-
2022-05-20status Pending
-
2022-05-04price $649,900
-
2022-04-07$699,000 Active
-
2002-07-30soldstatus $190,000
-
1991-12-24soldstatus $115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,703 · $392/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,266 · $689/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,564/yr (+$297/mo · 75.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,211
- − Property taxes
- −$4,703
- − Insurance
- −$4,297
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,698
- − Management
- −$2,698
- − Depreciation
- −$20,364
- Taxable loss
- −$40,250
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$9,660
- After-tax cash flow
- $-16,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,820
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% White 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 20% Cuban 1% Dominican 20%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 52% Other Indo-European 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Current HPI
- 236.8002
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+526.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $720,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-26 Price Changed $690,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-25 Price Changed $730,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-20 Listed $760,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-31 Price Changed $749,995 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-13 Price Changed $769,995 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-22 Price Changed $799,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-01 Listed $819,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-29 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $660,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-23 Sold (MLS) $660,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-20 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-04 Price Changed $649,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-07 Listed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 1991-12-24 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,703 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…