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1211 Rio Grande St
C Composite 58.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,500

1211 Rio Grande St · San Benito, TX 78586
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1986 6,250 sqft lot $95/sqft · 7% below area Est $67k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a prime investment opportunity in San Benito, TX! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a generous 6,250 sqft lot, offering endless potential—whether to remodel or rebuild. Conveniently located near the highway and local businesses, it's perfect for your next project. Don't miss out!

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Conveniently located
  • 6,250 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYGENEROUS LOTCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One story
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot approximately 0.14 acres

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-420/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $56k (9.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($737 rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.7% in San Benito — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#621 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • San Benito CISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #782 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Miller Jordan Middle (math 9% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,543 of 1,662 statewide, top 94%, 640 students, 91% FRL); San Benito H S (math 32% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,460 of 1,632 statewide, top 91%, 2,012 students, 80% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 441 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $56,322 (9.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
8.54%
Cash-on-cash
8.03%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,918
List price
$62,500
Delta
-6.60%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
335 Edwards St 0.62mi 1/1.0 (-1) 717 (+9%) 6mo $67,000 $93 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.0%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-12,230
Equity at exit
$9,319
10-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-13,010
Equity at exit
$5,404

Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78586

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
441
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$737 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$328
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,336/yr
Insurance
$26
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$155
Net cashflow
$-35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $781
Max offer price $56,322
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $0 -5% $-17 +0% $-35 +5% $-53 +10% $-70
Rent -10% $-93 -5% $-64 +0% $-35 +5% $-6 +10% $23
Rate -1.0pp $-3 -0.5pp $-19 base $-35 +0.5pp $-51 +1.0pp $-68

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,625
Closing costs
$1,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
150 Wild Olive Cir Unit D San Benito, TX 2.0 1.0 744 $899 $1.21 15d 1 0.89mi
130 Wild Olive Cir San Benito, TX 2.0 1.0 650 $600 $0.92 15d 1 0.92mi
1000 E US Highway 77 San Benito, TX 1.0 1.0 644 $775 $1.20 15d 1 1.05mi
243 Freddy Fender Ln San Benito, TX 2.0 1.0 680 $700 $1.03 22d 1 1.43mi
243 Freddy Fender Ln San Benito, TX 2.0 1.0 680 $700 $1.03 15d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,500 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,500 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,500 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $62,500 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $62,500 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $62,500 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,500 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,500 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,500 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $62,500 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,500 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,500 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,500 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $62,500 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    listed $62,500 Active 297-char remark
  16. 2022-11-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,336 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,336 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AH · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,844
− Mortgage interest
−$3,501
− Property taxes
−$1,336
− Insurance
−$2,137
− Repairs & maintenance
−$708
− Management
−$708
− Depreciation
−$1,818
Taxable loss
−$1,364
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$327
After-tax cash flow
$-92/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Benito CISD
NCES district ID
4838790
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$29,403
Composite
16.31/100
National rank
#9212
State rank
#782 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Benito

Score
66/100
State rank
#621
US rank
#11846

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Benito, TX
Population (ZIP)
49,103

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 42% White 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 90%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 70%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.37%
Current HPI
188.147
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $62,500 RGVMLS
  • 2022-11-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,336 · +20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…