2711 Josephine St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$79,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property is located in central city of uptown New Orleans. The property needs some work and has some termite damage throughout the property.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 40 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1900; Single-family property
- Construction: Original construction from 1900
- Exterior features: Located in the Central City subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elem. Math And Science (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 747 students, 98% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 68% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($550 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $80k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.98%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $125,160
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2317 Seminole Pl | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (-1%) | 0mo | $97,000 | $117 | 80 |
| 2124 Second St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (0%) | 20mo | $132,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 2618 S Miro St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-7%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 3420 Willow St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 808 (-4%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $149 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $76,363
- Equity at exit
- $71,620
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 10.52×
- Total profit
- $211,885
- Equity at exit
- $154,451
Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70113
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $453
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $508 | -5% $480 | +0% $453 | +5% $425 | +10% $398 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $346 | -5% $399 | +0% $453 | +5% $506 | +10% $559 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $493 | -0.5pp $473 | base $453 | +0.5pp $432 | +1.0pp $411 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,875
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2818 Saint Andrew St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2814 Josephine St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,149 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2822 Martin L King Bl New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,190 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2528 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,200 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2213 Clara St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2329 Felicity St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $1,175 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2429 Josephine St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1527 Reverend John Raphael Junior Way Unit A New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,175 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1527 Reverend John Raphael Junior Way Unit A New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,175 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2809 First St Unit C New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,050 | $1.54 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1614 Rev John Raphael Jr Way New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2003 Rev John Raphael Jr Way New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,175 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2001 Reverend John Raphael Junior Way Unit 2003 New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,175 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2515 Erato St Unit 102 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2503 First St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2503 First St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2013 S Liberty St Unit 304 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 16d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2013 S Liberty St Apt 202 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2429 Freret St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 4d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2223 Saint Andrew St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2127 Simon Bolivar Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,800 | $2.88 | 18d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2341 S Roman St Unit U New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,850 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2119 Josephine St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $950 | $0.93 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3204 2nd St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,295 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2225 2nd St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2032 Saint Andrew St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,830 | $1.77 | 18d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2227 Second St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2628 S Derbigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2135 2nd St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $1,200 | $2.07 | 4d | 3 | 0.47mi |
| 2222 Fourth St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 937 | $1,550 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3322 Third St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2220 4th St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,650 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1848 Felicity St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 18d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1824 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,400 | $2.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1824 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,400 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2103 Baronne St Apt 1D New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $1,450 | $2.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1827 Baronne St Unit C New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2620 S Galvez St Apt 2B New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2605 Danneel St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,350 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3632 First St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.63mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$79,500 Active 145-char remark
-
1979-06-08soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,230
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$1,192
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $4,480
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,075
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,356/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,387
- Household income
- $39,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 714.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 61% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 65.92%
- Current HPI
- 229.3968
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.98%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+174.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $79,500 FSBO.com
- 1979-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2026): $124 · -25.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…