169 Marlyn Ln · Dublin, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$284,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rarely offered 3-4 bed townhome in beautiful Dublin Acres! Dublin Boro is BOOMING and here is your opportunity to enjoy all it has to offer. 3-4 Bed 2.5/bath townhome perfect for the beautiful Bucks County sunsets. Enjoy the tranquility of open space while being just a short walk away from downtown Dublin Boro. and comfort of classic Dublin Boro make this home a perfect option for all First Time Home Buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio. New Dublin Boro additions include - a new brewery, multiple artisan shops, and restaurants, as well as a new Weis and a new Super Wawa. Don't miss your chance to become a Dublin Boro resident and enjoy all the new community additions! Motivated Sellers - bring your offer today!
Key facts
- $150 HOA
- Built 1975
- Listed 356 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $150 per month
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric utilities
- Home design: End of row townhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 100; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (all upper levels); Two full bathrooms on the first upper level; One half bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: No basement; Living area per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $285k).
- Recommended offer: $251k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.3% in Dublin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,201 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pennridge SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #112 of 539 in PA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 357 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 357 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.56%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $507,885
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158 Bishop Way | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 2,088 (+1%) | 0mo | $512,000 | $245 | 84 |
| 116 Bishop Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 | 2,120 (+2%) | 6mo | $490,000 | $231 | 72 |
| 118 Bishop Way | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,120 (+2%) | 2mo | $547,000 | $258 | 69 |
| 232 Center Dr | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,120 (+2%) | 8mo | $512,000 | $242 | 67 |
| 172 Station Dr | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 | 2,320 (+12%) | 0mo | $510,000 | $220 | 65 |
| 135 Bishop Way | 0.38mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,120 (+2%) | 6mo | $499,900 | $236 | 65 |
| 316 Schadle Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 2,209 (+7%) | 0mo | $547,000 | $248 | 61 |
| Lot 10 Schadle Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 2,209 (+7%) | 2mo | $555,000 | $251 | 57 |
| 483 Buchanan Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,896 (-8%) | 0mo | $435,000 | $229 | 57 |
| Lot 14 Schadle Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 2,209 (+7%) | 3mo | $649,283 | $294 | 56 |
| Lot 9 Schadle Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 2,209 (+7%) | 3mo | $580,084 | $263 | 56 |
| 493 Buchanan Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,854 (-11%) | 2mo | $420,000 | $227 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-22,506
- Equity at exit
- $42,480
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $11,194
- Equity at exit
- $24,633
Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18917
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,106 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,494
- Tax from tax record
- −$321 /mo · $3,852/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$652
- Net cashflow
- $370
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,225
- Closing costs
- $8,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168 Bishop Way Dublin, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2120 | $3,500 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4 Stewer Ln Perkasie, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1459 | $2,400 | $1.64 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 310 Katie Ln Perkasie, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,900 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 108 Parkside Dr Dublin, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1886 | $3,600 | $1.91 | 1d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 53 Williams Dr Fountainville, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2016 | $3,100 | $1.54 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $284,900 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $284,900 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $284,900 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $284,900 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $284,900 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $284,900 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $284,900 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $284,900 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $284,900 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $284,900 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $284,900 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $284,900 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $284,900 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $284,900
-
2026-05-19status Active
-
2026-02-21historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-11-04price $250,000
-
2025-10-29price $275,000
-
2025-10-01price $299,900
-
2025-07-02status Active
-
2025-06-26historical
-
2025-04-11price $325,000
-
2025-03-27$339,900 Active
-
2025-03-23historical $339,900
-
2023-06-22soldstatus $300,000
-
2023-06-16soldstatus $300,000 Closed 737-char remark
Show marketing remark (737 chars)
Rarely offered 3-4 bed townhome in beautiful Dublin Acres! Dublin Boro is BOOMING and here is your opportunity to enjoy all it has to offer. 3-4 Bed 2.5/bath townhome perfect for the beautiful Bucks County sunsets. Enjoy the tranquility of open space while being just a short walk away from downtown Dublin Boro. and comfort of classic Dublin Boro make this home a perfect option for all First Time Home Buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio. New Dublin Boro additions include - a new brewery, multiple artisan shops, and restaurants, as well as a new Weis and a new Super Wawa. Don't miss your chance to become a Dublin Boro resident and enjoy all the new community additions! Motivated Sellers - bring your offer today!
-
2023-05-17status Pending 737-char remark
Show marketing remark (737 chars)
Rarely offered 3-4 bed townhome in beautiful Dublin Acres! Dublin Boro is BOOMING and here is your opportunity to enjoy all it has to offer. 3-4 Bed 2.5/bath townhome perfect for the beautiful Bucks County sunsets. Enjoy the tranquility of open space while being just a short walk away from downtown Dublin Boro. and comfort of classic Dublin Boro make this home a perfect option for all First Time Home Buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio. New Dublin Boro additions include - a new brewery, multiple artisan shops, and restaurants, as well as a new Weis and a new Super Wawa. Don't miss your chance to become a Dublin Boro resident and enjoy all the new community additions! Motivated Sellers - bring your offer today!
-
2023-05-12$295,900 Active 737-char remark
Show marketing remark (737 chars)
Rarely offered 3-4 bed townhome in beautiful Dublin Acres! Dublin Boro is BOOMING and here is your opportunity to enjoy all it has to offer. 3-4 Bed 2.5/bath townhome perfect for the beautiful Bucks County sunsets. Enjoy the tranquility of open space while being just a short walk away from downtown Dublin Boro. and comfort of classic Dublin Boro make this home a perfect option for all First Time Home Buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio. New Dublin Boro additions include - a new brewery, multiple artisan shops, and restaurants, as well as a new Weis and a new Super Wawa. Don't miss your chance to become a Dublin Boro resident and enjoy all the new community additions! Motivated Sellers - bring your offer today!
-
1991-08-08soldstatus $106,000
-
1986-08-20soldstatus $72,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,852 · $321/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,177 · $348/mo
- Expected delta
- +$325/yr (+$27/mo · 8.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,267
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,959
- − Property taxes
- −$3,852
- − Insurance
- −$1,424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,981
- − Management
- −$2,981
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$8,288
- Taxable loss
- −$19
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pennridge SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218750
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,770
- Composite
- 47.48/100
- National rank
- #2277
- State rank
- #112 of 539 in PA
Livability — Dublin
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #1201
- US rank
- #14126
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dublin, PA
- City population
- 2,176
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,176
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.66%
- Current HPI
- 296.6992
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+295.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $284,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-21 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-02 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-26 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-27 Listed $339,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-23 Coming Soon $339,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-16 Sold (MLS) $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-05-17 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-05-12 Listed $295,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1991-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
- 1986-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,852 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…