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6254 Us 40 #59
D Composite 41.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$26,700

6254 Us 40 #59 · Brandt, OH 45371
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · Manufactured · 62 Days on market
Built 1971 $36/sqft · 10% above area Est $24k · 10% over $350/mo HOA · 23% of rent ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Replaced roof
  • Convenient carport

Tags

NEWER FURNACEUPDATED ELECTRICAL PANELENERGY EFFICIENT WINDOWSREPLACED ROOFNEWER CONCRETE DRIVEWAYCONVENIENT CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $27k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $27k).
  • Recommended offer: $25k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bethel Local (rural): math 63% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #174 of 656 in OH (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 326 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $185 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $801 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Recommended offer $25,098 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.73%
Cap rate
36.59%
Cash-on-cash
108.22%
DSCR
5.81
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$24,331
List price
$26,700
Delta
9.74%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$38,851
Equity at exit
$3,981
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.05×
Total profit
$90,089
Equity at exit
$2,309

Cash invested: $7,476 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45371

Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,530 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$140
Tax est. 1.5%
$33 /mo · $400/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$350
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$674

Break-even live

Break-even rent $677
Max offer price $26,700
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,675
Closing costs
$801
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6225 Huber Hts Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0–2.0 918 $1,720 $1.87 2d 63 1.30mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$350 · $4,200/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $26,700 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $26,700 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $26,700 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $26,700 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $26,700 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $26,700 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $26,900 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $26,900 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $26,900 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $26,900 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $26,900 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $26,900 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $26,900 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $26,900 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    status Active 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.

  16. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.

  17. 2026-04-15
    price $34,000 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.

  18. 2026-04-10
    listed $38,000 Active 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,360
− Mortgage interest
−$1,496
− Property taxes
−$400
− Insurance
−$134
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,469
− Management
−$1,469
− HOA
−$4,200
− Depreciation
−$777
Taxable income
$8,416
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,020
After-tax cash flow
$6,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethel Local
NCES district ID
3904861
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$68,702
Composite
57.82/100
National rank
#1049
State rank
#174 of 656 in OH

Livability — Brandt

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Miami County · 85,667 people
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
22,865
Household income
$93,599
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
465.0

Population outlook (Miami County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
107,816 people
By 2030
108,896 · +1.0%
By 2040
109,581 · +1.6%
By 2050
108,110 · +0.3%
By 2075
101,523 · -5.8%
By 2100
85,787 · -20.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.3 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+35.6 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -178.63%
Current HPI
205.0064
Rent YoY
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $34,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $38,000 Dayton MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…