6254 Us 40 #59 · Brandt, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$26,700
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Replaced roof
- Convenient carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $27k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $27k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bethel Local (rural): math 63% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #174 of 656 in OH (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 326 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $185 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $801 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 108.22%
- DSCR
- 5.81
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $24,331
- List price
- $26,700
- Delta
- 9.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.20×
- Total profit
- $38,851
- Equity at exit
- $3,981
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.05×
- Total profit
- $90,089
- Equity at exit
- $2,309
Cash invested: $7,476 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45371
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,530 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$140
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$33 /mo · $400/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $674
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,675
- Closing costs
- $801
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6225 Huber Hts Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $1,720 | $1.87 | 2d | 63 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $26,700 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $26,700 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $26,700 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $26,700 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $26,700 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $26,700 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $26,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $26,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $26,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $26,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $26,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $26,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $26,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $26,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-19status Active 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.
-
2026-05-12status Pending 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.
-
2026-04-15price $34,000 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.
-
2026-04-10$38,000 Active 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
Motivated Seller! Discover unparalleled comfort in this well-maintained mobile home, nestled within a 55 and up community. Recent upgrades ensure peace of mind, including a newer furnace (2022), an updated electrical panel, and energy-efficient windows. The roof was also replaced in 2022, providing lasting durability. A newer concrete driveway leads to a convenient carport. The remarkably clean interior means all you need to do is move in! Rely on your own measurements.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,496
- − Property taxes
- −$400
- − Insurance
- −$134
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,469
- − Management
- −$1,469
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$777
- Taxable income
- $8,416
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,020
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904861
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,702
- Composite
- 57.82/100
- National rank
- #1049
- State rank
- #174 of 656 in OH
Livability — Brandt
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Miami County · 85,667 people
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,865
- Household income
- $93,599
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 465.0
Population outlook (Miami County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,816 people
- By 2030
- 108,896 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 109,581 · +1.6%
- By 2050
- 108,110 · +0.3%
- By 2075
- 101,523 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 85,787 · -20.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.3 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+35.6 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -178.63%
- Current HPI
- 205.0064
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $34,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $38,000 Dayton MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…