3113 Fairfield Ave SW · Holden Beach, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Start living the vacation lifestyle everyday. This affordable single-wide home in North Tanglewood puts you minutes from the sand and surf of Holden Beach. Offering the ultimate flexibility, this property features a rare optional HOA which would give you access to a boat ramp and pier. This is the perfect opportunity for a budget friendly home or someone looking for a fixer upper. There is an unpermitted addition to the home which is not included in the heated square footage which features an additional bathroom and a generous amount of square footage. This home is connected to county water but also features a well, 2 storage buildings and a detached carport. Schedule your private showing t
Key facts
- County water
- Pier
- Detached carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 0.31 acres (lot dimensions: 114' x 121' x 113' x 120'); Paved road access; Zoned Co-R-6000; Located in the North Tanglewood subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Has a 1-space carport; Unpaved parking
- Utilities: Water connected; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One level; Raised foundation
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Raised foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s) and storage; Has a view; No fencing noted
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Accessible full bath
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump cooling; Heat pump and electric heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window coverings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.1% in Holden Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#334 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: cost of living D, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Supply Elementary (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #625 of 1,410 statewide, top 45%, 539 students, 99% FRL); Cedar Grove Middle (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 434 students, 99% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 506 active listings in the ZIP; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.95%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $161,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2057 N Tanglewood Dr SW | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-12%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $169 | 70 |
| 2354 Lake Paula Dr SW | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 900 (-1%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $178 | 70 |
| 2361 Lake Paula Dr SW | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+2%) | 11mo | $188,000 | $203 | 69 |
| 2356 W Tanglewood Dr SW | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 896 (-2%) | 0mo | $243,000 | $271 | 69 |
| 2378 Summer Place Dr SW | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 875 (-4%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $229 | 66 |
| 2219 Ontario St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 968 (+6%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 2387 Jolly Roger Dr SW | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (+3%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 2903 Vinton St SW | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-8%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $155 | 56 |
| 3206 Waterview Dr SW | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 923 (+1%) | 20mo | $224,100 | $243 | 52 |
| 2312 N Bluebeard Trl SW | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 858 (-6%) | 6mo | $128,500 | $150 | 51 |
| 3074 Seashore Rd SW | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 824 (-10%) | 15mo | $165,000 | $200 | 50 |
| 2325 Blackbeard Dr SW | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 954 (+5%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $152 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,986
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $35,798
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28462
- Active inventory
- 506
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,635 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $393
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-02-04$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,615
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,569
- − Management
- −$1,569
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $2,813
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$675
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,040/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brunswick County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700420
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,494
- Composite
- 39.23/100
- National rank
- #4011
- State rank
- #82 of 178 in NC
Livability — Holden Beach
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #334
- US rank
- #13586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Brunswick County · 131,536 people
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,340
- Household income
- $60,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 269.0
Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,111 people
- By 2030
- 165,705 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 188,494 · +23.9%
- By 2050
- 206,228 · +35.6%
- By 2075
- 237,876 · +56.4%
- By 2100
- 251,451 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.44%
- Current HPI
- 144.2462
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-04 Listed $130,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $127 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…