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2320 Michael St Duplex
C- Composite 54.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$387,000

2320 Michael St · Bakersfield, CA 93307
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,148 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1980 7,405 sqft lot $180/sqft · 14% below area Est $450k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity in the heart of Bakersfield! This duplex at 2320 Michael St offers two spacious units, each featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, perfect for generating strong rental income or accommodating multi-generational living. Each unit provides a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and convenient in-unit laundry hookups for added tenant appeal. The property offers separate living areas, making it ideal for owner-occupants looking to live in one unit while renting out the other, or for investors seeking a solid addition to their portfolio. Situated in an established neighborhood with easy access to schools, shopping, and major roadways, this duplex combines convenience and long-term value. Don't miss your chance to own a versatile income-producing property in a growing market!

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 70 days

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYSEPARATE LIVING AREASIN-UNIT LAUNDRY HOOKUPSESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODEASY ACCESS TO SCHOOLSEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $387k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $171/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $366k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $364k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.6% in Bakersfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#716 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Kern High (urban): math 21% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #860 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,657/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 3246% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 35y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $387k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $363,780 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.78%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$449,964
List price
$387,000
Delta
-13.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-30,754
Equity at exit
$57,703
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$45,547
Equity at exit
$33,461

Cash invested: $108,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93307

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
17.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,657 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,029
Tax from tax record
$357 /mo · $4,284/yr
Insurance
$161
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$768
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,225
Max offer price $387,000
Occupancy floor 86%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,657

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,750
Closing costs
$11,610
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
710 Chateau Ct Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1729 $2,200 $1.27 43d 1 0.83mi
715 Houchin Rd Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,150 $1.30 43d 1 1.35mi
4513 Barry St Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1492 $1,975 $1.32 2d 1 1.43mi
801 Oleander Ave Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1700 $2,480 $1.46 2d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $387,000 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $387,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $387,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $387,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $387,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $387,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $387,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $387,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $387,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $395,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $395,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $395,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $395,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $395,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-04-09
    listed $395,000 Active 823-char remark
    Show marketing remark (823 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in the heart of Bakersfield! This duplex at 2320 Michael St offers two spacious units, each featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, perfect for generating strong rental income or accommodating multi-generational living. Each unit provides a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and convenient in-unit laundry hookups for added tenant appeal. The property offers separate living areas, making it ideal for owner-occupants looking to live in one unit while renting out the other, or for investors seeking a solid addition to their portfolio. Situated in an established neighborhood with easy access to schools, shopping, and major roadways, this duplex combines convenience and long-term value. Don't miss your chance to own a versatile income-producing property in a growing market!

  16. 2026-04-02
    listed $399,000 Active
  17. 2015-08-28
    soldstatus $115,000
  18. 2015-08-10
    historical
  19. 2015-08-10
    price $129,900
  20. 2015-03-03
    listed $115,000
  21. 1994-10-31
    soldstatus $82,500
  22. 1992-04-06
    soldstatus $74,000
  23. 1992-03-10
    price $75,000
  24. 1992-03-10
    historical
  25. 1991-12-17
    listed $74,000
  26. 1989-03-22
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,284 · $357/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,284 · $357/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,884
− Mortgage interest
−$21,678
− Property taxes
−$4,284
− Insurance
−$1,935
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,511
− Management
−$3,511
− Depreciation
−$11,258
Taxable loss
−$2,293
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$550
After-tax cash flow
$4,646/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kern High
NCES district ID
0619540
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$49,686
Composite
33.68/100
National rank
#10443
State rank
#860 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Bakersfield

Score
58/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#21355

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kern County · 710,371 people
City population
499,124
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
Population (ZIP)
85,945
Household income
$56,446
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
3246.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 12% White 10% Black 6% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 73%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada
Languages at home
28% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -263.59%
Current HPI
447.1746
Rent YoY
▲ 5.71%
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+818.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $395,000 GEMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $399,000 GEMLS
  • 2015-08-28 Sold (MLS) $115,000 GEMLS
  • 2015-08-10 Price Changed $129,900 GEMLS
  • 2015-08-10 Delisted GEMLS
  • 2015-03-03 Listed $115,000 GEMLS
  • 1994-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
  • 1992-04-06 Sold (MLS) $74,000 GEMLS
  • 1992-03-10 Delisted GEMLS
  • 1992-03-10 Price Changed $75,000 GEMLS
  • 1991-12-17 Listed $74,000 GEMLS
  • 1989-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,284 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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