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2305 W Ruthrauff Rd Unit F3
D+ Composite 47.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

2305 W Ruthrauff Rd Unit F3 · Flowing Wells, AZ 85705
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily · 396 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition $139/sqft · 40% above area Est $100k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1008 square foot manufactured home in the Bella Capri 55+ community of Tucson, AZ was built in 2025 by Cavco/Durango. Boasting a cozy layout with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home is perfect. The interior features include a spacious living room, and an eat in kitchen with stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom. The home also has a laundry room with washer/dryer hookups. Outside, there is a carport, shed, and covered porch for outdoor enjoyment. Located in the beautiful 55+ Bella Capri community in Tucson, residents can enjoy a variety of amenities and activities. The community offers a clubhouse, swimming pool, and fitness center for recreation and relaxation. With well-maintained grounds and walking paths, residents can take in the beautiful desert scenery. Bella Capri is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, making it a great place to call home. With a friendly and welcoming atmosphere, this community is the perfect place to settle down and enjoy all that Tucson has to offer.

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 396 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.1% in Flowing Wells — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#21 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Flowing Wells Unified District (4405) (suburban): math 23% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #143 of 249 in AZ (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 177 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,490/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 4240% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 396 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 396 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.44%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,900
List price
$139,900
Delta
40.04%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2155 W Calle Cusco 0.18mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,107 (+10%) 2mo $272,000 $246 67
4971 N Mathews Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+8%) 6mo $160,000 $147 65
1853 W Southbrooke Cir 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,039 (+3%) 20mo $278,000 $268 51
1844 Bel Aire Ct 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,151 (+14%) 2mo $270,000 $235 47
4639 N Courtney Dr 0.48mi 2/2.0 1,151 (+14%) 17mo $280,000 $243 40
1865 Bel Aire Ct 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,151 (+14%) 14mo $278,000 $242 39
1983 W La Osa Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,154 (+14%) 1mo $290,000 $251 39
1971 W La Osa Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+8%) 20mo $290,000 $266 33
2438 W Rau River Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,145 (+14%) 20mo $320,000 $279 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-13,205
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-9,495
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85705

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,490 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4861 N River Vista Dr Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1144 $1,500 $1.31 3d 1 0.36mi
4957 N Sunrise Ave Unit 2 Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 803 $1,075 $1.34 15d 1 0.66mi
1925 W River Rd Tucson, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1049 $1,856 $1.77 2d 32 0.73mi
5132 Prairie Clover Trl Tucson, AZ 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1604 $1,897 $1.18 2d 13 0.75mi
1865 W La Osa St Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 821 $1,450 $1.77 44d 1 0.76mi
5077 N Fortune Teller Way Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.5 1370 $1,875 $1.37 17d 1 0.86mi
5416 N Bramble Brook Ln Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1483 $1,850 $1.25 3d 1 0.87mi
4213 N Romero Rd Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 825 $1,045 $1.27 44d 5 0.94mi
5021 N Kevy Pl Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,650 $1.22 44d 1 0.95mi
4751 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ 3.0 3.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 44d 1 1.08mi
5100 N La Canada Dr Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 938 $1,408 $1.50 44d 1 1.21mi
5750 N La Cholla Blvd Tucson, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1453 $1,765 $1.21 2d 11 1.26mi
2531 W Glenbrook Way Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,795 $1.68 44d 1 1.31mi
1326 W Hadley St Tucson, AZ 1.0 1.0 900 $725 $0.81 3d 1 1.35mi
2774 W Firebrook Rd Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,550 $1.45 3d 1 1.36mi
4111 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.0–2.5 1131 $1,625 $1.44 24d 3 1.37mi
1100 W River Rd Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.5 1187 $2,250 $1.90 2d 1 1.41mi
1100 W River Rd Unit 7 Tucson, AZ 2.0 2.5 1026 $2,200 $2.14 20d 1 1.41mi
1501 W Roger Rd Tucson, AZ 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 44d 1 1.41mi
1100 W River Rd Unit 14 Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.5 1187 $2,450 $2.06 2d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 396 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 395 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 394 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 393 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 391 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 388 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 387 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 386 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 385 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 382 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 381 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 380 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 379 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 378 DOM
  15. 2025-11-12
    status Active 1085-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1085 chars)

    This 1008 square foot manufactured home in the Bella Capri 55+ community of Tucson, AZ was built in 2025 by Cavco/Durango. Boasting a cozy layout with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home is perfect. The interior features include a spacious living room, and an eat in kitchen with stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom. The home also has a laundry room with washer/dryer hookups. Outside, there is a carport, shed, and covered porch for outdoor enjoyment. Located in the beautiful 55+ Bella Capri community in Tucson, residents can enjoy a variety of amenities and activities. The community offers a clubhouse, swimming pool, and fitness center for recreation and relaxation. With well-maintained grounds and walking paths, residents can take in the beautiful desert scenery. Bella Capri is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, making it a great place to call home. With a friendly and welcoming atmosphere, this community is the perfect place to settle down and enjoy all that Tucson has to offer.

  16. 2025-11-12
    historical 1085-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1085 chars)

    This 1008 square foot manufactured home in the Bella Capri 55+ community of Tucson, AZ was built in 2025 by Cavco/Durango. Boasting a cozy layout with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home is perfect. The interior features include a spacious living room, and an eat in kitchen with stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom. The home also has a laundry room with washer/dryer hookups. Outside, there is a carport, shed, and covered porch for outdoor enjoyment. Located in the beautiful 55+ Bella Capri community in Tucson, residents can enjoy a variety of amenities and activities. The community offers a clubhouse, swimming pool, and fitness center for recreation and relaxation. With well-maintained grounds and walking paths, residents can take in the beautiful desert scenery. Bella Capri is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, making it a great place to call home. With a friendly and welcoming atmosphere, this community is the perfect place to settle down and enjoy all that Tucson has to offer.

  17. 2025-08-28
    status Active 1085-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1085 chars)

    This 1008 square foot manufactured home in the Bella Capri 55+ community of Tucson, AZ was built in 2025 by Cavco/Durango. Boasting a cozy layout with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home is perfect. The interior features include a spacious living room, and an eat in kitchen with stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom. The home also has a laundry room with washer/dryer hookups. Outside, there is a carport, shed, and covered porch for outdoor enjoyment. Located in the beautiful 55+ Bella Capri community in Tucson, residents can enjoy a variety of amenities and activities. The community offers a clubhouse, swimming pool, and fitness center for recreation and relaxation. With well-maintained grounds and walking paths, residents can take in the beautiful desert scenery. Bella Capri is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, making it a great place to call home. With a friendly and welcoming atmosphere, this community is the perfect place to settle down and enjoy all that Tucson has to offer.

  18. 2025-08-27
    historical 1085-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1085 chars)

    This 1008 square foot manufactured home in the Bella Capri 55+ community of Tucson, AZ was built in 2025 by Cavco/Durango. Boasting a cozy layout with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home is perfect. The interior features include a spacious living room, and an eat in kitchen with stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom. The home also has a laundry room with washer/dryer hookups. Outside, there is a carport, shed, and covered porch for outdoor enjoyment. Located in the beautiful 55+ Bella Capri community in Tucson, residents can enjoy a variety of amenities and activities. The community offers a clubhouse, swimming pool, and fitness center for recreation and relaxation. With well-maintained grounds and walking paths, residents can take in the beautiful desert scenery. Bella Capri is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, making it a great place to call home. With a friendly and welcoming atmosphere, this community is the perfect place to settle down and enjoy all that Tucson has to offer.

  19. 2025-05-15
    listed $139,900 Active 1085-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1085 chars)

    This 1008 square foot manufactured home in the Bella Capri 55+ community of Tucson, AZ was built in 2025 by Cavco/Durango. Boasting a cozy layout with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home is perfect. The interior features include a spacious living room, and an eat in kitchen with stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom. The home also has a laundry room with washer/dryer hookups. Outside, there is a carport, shed, and covered porch for outdoor enjoyment. Located in the beautiful 55+ Bella Capri community in Tucson, residents can enjoy a variety of amenities and activities. The community offers a clubhouse, swimming pool, and fitness center for recreation and relaxation. With well-maintained grounds and walking paths, residents can take in the beautiful desert scenery. Bella Capri is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and entertainment options, making it a great place to call home. With a friendly and welcoming atmosphere, this community is the perfect place to settle down and enjoy all that Tucson has to offer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥107°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,878
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,098
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,430
− Management
−$1,430
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$75
After-tax cash flow
$2,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This 1008 square foot manufactured home in the Bella Capri 55+ community of Tucson, AZ is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The home is move-in ready and has a good ROI potential.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior siding and roof — Painting the exterior can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Landscaping improvements can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase both its resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the exterior siding and roof — Painting the exterior can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Landscaping improvements can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase both its resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flowing Wells Unified District (4405)
NCES district ID
0403010
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$33,361
Composite
21.69/100
National rank
#8271
State rank
#143 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Flowing Wells

Score
73/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#5288

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flowing Wells, AZ
County
Pima County · 1,012,107 people
Metro
Tucson, AZ
Population (ZIP)
54,700
Household income
$37,194
Rent vs Own
55.1% rent · 44.9% own
Severe rent burden
4240.0

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,066,056 people
By 2030
1,086,684 · +1.9%
By 2040
1,117,160 · +4.8%
By 2050
1,149,778 · +7.9%
By 2075
1,271,480 · +19.3%
By 2100
1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 30% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

2024 margin
D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.31%
Current HPI
283.0647
Rent YoY
▲ 0.30%
Metro
Tucson, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-12 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-11-12 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-08-28 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-08-27 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-05-15 Listed $139,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…