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4639 Hillside Rd SE Fourplex
B Composite 71.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,900

4639 Hillside Rd SE · Washington, DC 20019
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,520 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1943 3,874 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Great redevelopment opportunity in Fort Dupont Park, offering scale, flexibility, and compelling upside. Priced at $299,900, and sits on an 3,874 sf lot. This 4-Unit apartment building presents a rare chance to reimagine and reposition a multi-family property in a high-growth corridor. With no tenants in place, developers can move forward seamlessly with construction and leasing strategy. Located just minutes to downtown Washington, DC, —a transformative mixed-use development driving significant neighborhood investment and long-term appreciation. An exceptional opportunity for investors to create a high-performing, income-producing asset in one of Southeast DC’s most rapidly evo

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • 5-unit building
  • 3,874 sq ft lot

Tags

EXPANSIVE LOT5-UNIT BUILDINGFULL-SCALE RENOVATIONINCOME-PRODUCING ASSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Four total units (building); Five 2-bedroom units reported; Above-grade finished area recorded by assessor; Below-grade unfinished area recorded by assessor

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Natural gas available; Hot water: other
  • Home design: Detached property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built-up roof; Foundation: other; Year built recorded by assessor
  • Exterior features: Detached structure; No tidal water on the lot; Above-grade and below-grade other structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Five 2-bedroom units (multi-unit property)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Basement present (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($38k/yr) — positive. Per door: $791/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $290k).
  • Recommended offer: $281k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,477/mo this rent would consume 133% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 5115% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $290k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $281,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.23%
Cap rate
19.39%
Cash-on-cash
46.77%
DSCR
3.08
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$592,200
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5033 Hanna Pl SE 0.23mi 4/— 2,340 (-7%) 19mo $550,000 $235 62
5055 Bass Pl SE 0.66mi 4/4.0 2,442 (-3%) 21mo $445,000 $182 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.5%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$175,119
Equity at exit
$43,225
10-year hold
IRR
54.5%
Equity multiple
7.18×
Total profit
$502,006
Equity at exit
$25,065

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State District of Columbia
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
County
— inherits STATE
City Washington
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
Rent Stabilization Program; TOPA gives tenants right of first refusal.

ZIP-level market 20019

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
276
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,477 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax from tax record
$312 /mo · $3,749/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,360
Net cashflow
$3,163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,473
Max offer price $289,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3,327 -5% $3,245 +0% $3,163 +5% $3,081 +10% $2,999
Rent -10% $2,652 -5% $2,908 +0% $3,163 +5% $3,419 +10% $3,675
Rate -1.0pp $3,309 -0.5pp $3,237 base $3,163 +0.5pp $3,088 +1.0pp $3,012

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $6,477

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4630 Hillside Rd SE Washington, DC 5.0 2.0 3385 $5,999 $1.77 25d 1 0.07mi
4630 Hillside Rd SE Unit 3 & 4 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 3385 $2,599 $0.77 25d 1 0.07mi
5005 Call Pl SE Unit 9 Washington, DC 5.0 2.0 1800 $6,000 $3.33 25d 1 0.59mi
5115 Bass Pl SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 2000 $2,950 $1.48 20d 1 0.69mi
5115 Bass Pl SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 2832 $2,900 $1.02 25d 1 0.69mi
113 56th St SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1764 $3,000 $1.70 12d 1 0.97mi
2204 Gaylord Dr Suitland, MD 3.0 2.0 2016 $2,589 $1.28 19d 1 0.99mi
4262 Clay St NE Washington, DC 5.0 2.0 3000 $7,400 $2.47 15d 1 1.33mi
3422 Pennsylvania Ave SE Washington, DC 5.0 2.5 2520 $5,500 $2.18 21d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,900 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,900 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,900 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,900 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,900 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,900 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,900 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,900 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $289,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,900 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,900 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,900 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,900 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-04-24
    historical
  15. 2026-04-24
    listed $299,900 Active
  16. 2026-03-17
    listed $345,000 Active
  17. 2026-03-01
    historical
  18. 2026-01-30
    price $375,000
  19. 2026-01-03
    price $395,000
  20. 2025-11-11
    status Active
  21. 2025-10-17
    historical
  22. 2025-10-15
    listed $420,420 Active
  23. 2025-09-07
    historical
  24. 2024-05-06
    status Pending
  25. 2024-05-06
    historical
  26. 2024-04-10
    listed $300,000 Active
  27. 2020-03-30
    historical
  28. 2020-03-11
    listed $799,999 Active
  29. 1992-07-13
    soldstatus $79,950

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,749 · $312/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,749 · $312/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$77,724
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$3,749
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,218
− Management
−$6,218
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable income
$35,417
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,500
After-tax cash flow
$29,460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
District Of Columbia Public Schools
NCES district ID
1100030
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$67,671
Composite
35.84/100
National rank
#9606
State rank
#8 of 32 in DC

Livability — Washington

Score
73/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#5327

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Washington, DC
County
District of Columbia · 671,873 people
City population
671,873
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
63,380
Household income
$58,296
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
5115.0

Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
821,926 people
By 2030
899,517 · +9.4%
By 2040
1,061,162 · +29.1%
By 2050
1,231,493 · +49.8%
By 2075
1,603,312 · +95.1%
By 2100
1,847,141 · +124.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Dominican 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia

2024 margin
Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -416.91%
Current HPI
326.4481
Rent YoY
▲ 6.06%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.33%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+275.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $345,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-03 Price Changed $395,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-11 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $420,420 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-07 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-05-06 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-05-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-10 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-11 Listed $799,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1992-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $79,950 Public Records

Property tax history

-12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,749 · -91.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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