Fourplex
4639 Hillside Rd SE · Washington, DC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $631 – $1,173
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great redevelopment opportunity in Fort Dupont Park, offering scale, flexibility, and compelling upside. Priced at $299,900, and sits on an 3,874 sf lot. This 4-Unit apartment building presents a rare chance to reimagine and reposition a multi-family property in a high-growth corridor. With no tenants in place, developers can move forward seamlessly with construction and leasing strategy. Located just minutes to downtown Washington, DC, —a transformative mixed-use development driving significant neighborhood investment and long-term appreciation. An exceptional opportunity for investors to create a high-performing, income-producing asset in one of Southeast DC’s most rapidly evo
Key facts
- Expansive lot
- 5-unit building
- 3,874 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Four total units (building); Five 2-bedroom units reported; Above-grade finished area recorded by assessor; Below-grade unfinished area recorded by assessor
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Natural gas available; Hot water: other
- Home design: Detached property
- Construction: Brick construction; Built-up roof; Foundation: other; Year built recorded by assessor
- Exterior features: Detached structure; No tidal water on the lot; Above-grade and below-grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Five 2-bedroom units (multi-unit property)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating
- Interior features: Basement present (other type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($38k/yr) — positive. Per door: $791/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $290k).
- Recommended offer: $281k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,477/mo this rent would consume 133% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 5115% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $290k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.77%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $592,200
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5033 Hanna Pl SE | 0.23mi | 4/— | 2,340 (-7%) | 19mo | $550,000 | $235 | 62 |
| 5055 Bass Pl SE | 0.66mi | 4/4.0 | 2,442 (-3%) | 21mo | $445,000 | $182 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $175,119
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- 54.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.18×
- Total profit
- $502,006
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State District of Columbia
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Washington
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
ZIP-level market 20019
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 276
- Price-to-rent
- 14.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,477 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$312 /mo · $3,749/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,360
- Net cashflow
- $3,163
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,327 | -5% $3,245 | +0% $3,163 | +5% $3,081 | +10% $2,999 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,652 | -5% $2,908 | +0% $3,163 | +5% $3,419 | +10% $3,675 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,309 | -0.5pp $3,237 | base $3,163 | +0.5pp $3,088 | +1.0pp $3,012 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | — | $6,476 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $1,619 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $1,619 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $1,619 |
| #4 | 2 | — | $1,619 |
| Total (4 units) | $6,477 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4630 Hillside Rd SE Washington, DC | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3385 | $5,999 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 4630 Hillside Rd SE Unit 3 & 4 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3385 | $2,599 | $0.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5005 Call Pl SE Unit 9 Washington, DC | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $6,000 | $3.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5115 Bass Pl SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,950 | $1.48 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5115 Bass Pl SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2832 | $2,900 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 113 56th St SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $3,000 | $1.70 | 12d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2204 Gaylord Dr Suitland, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2016 | $2,589 | $1.28 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4262 Clay St NE Washington, DC | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $7,400 | $2.47 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3422 Pennsylvania Ave SE Washington, DC | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2520 | $5,500 | $2.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $289,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24historical
-
2026-04-24$299,900 Active
-
2026-03-17$345,000 Active
-
2026-03-01historical
-
2026-01-30price $375,000
-
2026-01-03price $395,000
-
2025-11-11status Active
-
2025-10-17historical
-
2025-10-15$420,420 Active
-
2025-09-07historical
-
2024-05-06status Pending
-
2024-05-06historical
-
2024-04-10$300,000 Active
-
2020-03-30historical
-
2020-03-11$799,999 Active
-
1992-07-13soldstatus $79,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,749 · $312/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,749 · $312/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $77,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$3,749
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,218
- − Management
- −$6,218
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable income
- $35,417
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,500
- After-tax cash flow
- $29,460/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- District Of Columbia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1100030
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,671
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #8 of 32 in DC
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #5327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, DC
- County
- District of Columbia · 671,873 people
- City population
- 671,873
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,380
- Household income
- $58,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5115.0
Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 821,926 people
- By 2030
- 899,517 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 1,061,162 · +29.1%
- By 2050
- 1,231,493 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 1,603,312 · +95.1%
- By 2100
- 1,847,141 · +124.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Dominican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -416.91%
- Current HPI
- 326.4481
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $153B |
|
||
| Life Sciences / Industrials | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+275.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $345,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-03 Price Changed $395,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-11 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $420,420 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-07 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-05-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-05-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-04-10 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-11 Listed $799,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $79,950 Public Records
Property tax history
-12.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,749 · -91.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…