Duplex
678 Bronson St · Watertown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +1.6/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Don’t miss this incredible opportunity to own a fully updated two-family home that blends modern upgrades with comfortable living! Whether you’re looking to generate steady rental income or live in one unit while renting the other, this property offers flexibility and value. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities. Great investment potential with move-in-ready appeal! Schedule your showing today—this one won’t last long!
Key facts
- Modern upgrades
- Move-in-ready
- Two-family home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $301/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $178k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 6.2% in Watertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#540 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Watertown City School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #481 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.0%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,421/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1634% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.64%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,466
- List price
- $189,500
- Delta
- 13.16%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 N Rutland St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,610 (+1%) | 0mo | $121,600 | $76 | 92 |
| 678 Bronson St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,601 (0%) | 20mo | $169,900 | $106 | 83 |
| 314 Central St | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,616 (+1%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $62 | 81 |
| 203 Mechanic St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,718 (+7%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $70 | 65 |
| 250 Central St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,419 (-11%) | 16mo | $75,450 | $53 | 63 |
| 700 Lillian St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,596 (-0%) | 14mo | $148,400 | $93 | 62 |
| 356 N Colorado Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,665 (+4%) | 6mo | $149,900 | $90 | 57 |
| 629 Lillian St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,564 (-2%) | 21mo | $178,000 | $114 | 55 |
| 221 S Hamilton St | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,780 (+11%) | 6mo | $167,500 | $94 | 52 |
| 911 Salina St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,660 (+4%) | 24mo | $72,000 | $43 | 52 |
| 139 Wyoming Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,452 (-9%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $131 | 48 |
| 617 Hamlin St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,440 (-10%) | 24mo | $45,000 | $31 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $20,529
- Equity at exit
- $28,255
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $125,710
- Equity at exit
- $16,384
Cash invested: $53,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13601
- Home prices YoY
- -5.6%
- Rents YoY
- 10.0%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,421 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$994
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,842/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $603
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,422 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,211 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,211 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,421 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,375
- Closing costs
- $5,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 State Pl Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1029 Gill St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,950 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 911 State St Unit 3 Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 621 Academy St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $1,600 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 256 Michigan Ave Watertown, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1435 | $1,626 | $1.13 | 44d | 9 | 0.58mi |
| 328 Clay St Unit 3 Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 611 Cooper St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,495 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 377 W Main St Unit 1 Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1991 | $1,350 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1815 Olmstead Dr Watertown, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1380 | $1,676 | $1.21 | 44d | 6 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $189,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-30$189,500 Active 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Don’t miss this incredible opportunity to own a fully updated two-family home that blends modern upgrades with comfortable living! Whether you’re looking to generate steady rental income or live in one unit while renting the other, this property offers flexibility and value. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities. Great investment potential with move-in-ready appeal! Schedule your showing today—this one won’t last long!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,615
- − Property taxes
- −$2,842
- − Insurance
- −$948
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,324
- − Management
- −$2,324
- − Depreciation
- −$5,513
- Taxable income
- $4,486
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,077
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,159/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This fully updated two-family home is move-in ready with good condition throughout. It offers great investment potential with potential for further value increases through minor cosmetic upgrades.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase the property's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A modern, energy-efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce utility costs, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can improve the functionality and appeal of the kitchen, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern, energy-efficient fixtures can improve the functionality and appeal of the bathrooms, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase the property's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A modern, energy-efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce utility costs, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, energy-efficient appliances can improve the functionality and appeal of the kitchen, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern, energy-efficient fixtures can improve the functionality and appeal of the bathrooms, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Watertown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,919
- Composite
- 36.86/100
- National rank
- #4551
- State rank
- #481 of 590 in NY
Livability — Watertown
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #9700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Watertown, NY
- County
- Jefferson County · 47,417 people
- City population
- 36,839
- Metro
- Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,839
- Household income
- $58,791
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1634.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,748 people
- By 2030
- 109,370 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 103,828 · -7.1%
- By 2050
- 98,523 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 91,422 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 78,214 · -30.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.86%
- Current HPI
- 316.636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.96%
- Metro
- Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $189,500 CNYIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…