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95 Wellesley St Duplex
C- Composite 51.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$780,000

95 Wellesley St · Hempstead, NY 11550
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1960 4,000 sqft lot Est $738k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Gorgeous Legal 2-Family Newly Renovated Duplex - $56K Rent Roll. Investor House Only. Tenants Lease Intact. Comes Tenant Occupied., Additional information: Appearance:Good,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

Key facts

  • 2 family property
  • Separate utilities
  • Newer windows

Tags

2 FAMILY PROPERTYSPACIOUS UNITSNEWER WINDOWSFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTSEPARATE UTILITIESNEWER HEATING SYSTEMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $780k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $620/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $780k).
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.1% in Hempstead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#123 in NY, #2,002 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, cost of living F.
  • Hempstead Union Free School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #567 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Prospect Elementary School (414 students, 73% FRL); Alverta B Gray Schultz Middle School (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #688 of 729 statewide, top 94%, 938 students, 73% FRL); Hempstead High School (math 50% / reading 69%, grade C+, #851 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 1,866 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $8,025/mo this rent would consume 104% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 2535% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $450k; list at $780k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $780,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.81%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$738,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
204-206 Cornell St 0.26mi 6/2.0 2,000 (0%) 7mo $737,500 $369 82

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-47,530
Equity at exit
$116,301
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$60,003
Equity at exit
$67,440

Cash invested: $218,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11550

Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
16.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,025 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,090
Tax from tax record
$685 /mo · $8,223/yr
Insurance
$325
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,685
Net cashflow
$1,239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,456
Max offer price $780,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,681 -5% $1,460 +0% $1,239 +5% $1,018 +10% $798
Rent -10% $605 -5% $922 +0% $1,239 +5% $1,556 +10% $1,873
Rate -1.0pp $1,632 -0.5pp $1,438 base $1,239 +0.5pp $1,037 +1.0pp $831

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $8,025

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$195,000
Closing costs
$23,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
168 Lenox Ave Uniondale, NY 5.0 2.0 1837 $5,900 $3.21 0d 1 1.08mi
363 Clarendon Rd Uniondale, NY 7.0 3.0 1434 $5,500 $3.84 46d 1 1.12mi
1077 Gerald St Uniondale, NY 6.0 3.0 1680 $5,950 $3.54 0d 1 1.30mi
54 Kane Ave Hempstead, NY 5.0 2.0 1750 $4,800 $2.74 46d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $780,000 Active
  3. 2019-05-20
    soldstatus $450,000
  4. 2019-04-23
    soldstatus $450,000 Closed 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Gorgeous Legal 2-Family Newly Renovated Duplex - $56K Rent Roll. Investor House Only. Tenants Lease Intact. Comes Tenant Occupied., Additional information: Appearance:Good,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

  5. 2019-02-27
    status Under Contract 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Gorgeous Legal 2-Family Newly Renovated Duplex - $56K Rent Roll. Investor House Only. Tenants Lease Intact. Comes Tenant Occupied., Additional information: Appearance:Good,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

  6. 2019-01-23
    listed $469,000 New 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    Gorgeous Legal 2-Family Newly Renovated Duplex - $56K Rent Roll. Investor House Only. Tenants Lease Intact. Comes Tenant Occupied., Additional information: Appearance:Good,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes

  7. 2019-01-21
    historical
  8. 2018-10-10
    price $459,000
  9. 2018-04-22
    listed $475,000 New
  10. 2007-05-14
    soldstatus $514,100
  11. 2006-07-07
    soldstatus $406,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,223 · $685/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,702 · $892/mo
Expected delta
+$2,480/yr (+$207/mo · 30.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$96,300
− Mortgage interest
−$43,692
− Property taxes
−$8,223
− Insurance
−$3,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,704
− Management
−$7,704
− Depreciation
−$22,691
Taxable income
$2,386
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$573
After-tax cash flow
$14,297/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hempstead Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3614130
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$48,774
Composite
28.12/100
National rank
#6821
State rank
#567 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hempstead

Score
79/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#2002

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A- Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hempstead, NY
County
Nassau County · 653,051 people
City population
60,960
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
60,960
Household income
$92,677
Rent vs Own
50.3% rent · 49.7% own
Severe rent burden
2535.0

Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,409,302 people
By 2030
1,431,482 · +1.6%
By 2040
1,471,607 · +4.4%
By 2050
1,502,845 · +6.6%
By 2075
1,575,403 · +11.8%
By 2100
1,554,356 · +10.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% Black 43% Two or more races 14% White 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4%
Foreign-born
37% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 40% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nassau

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -297.72%
Current HPI
339.055
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $780,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
  • 2019-04-23 Sold (MLS) $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-27 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-01-23 Listed $469,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-01-21 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-10 Price Changed $459,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-22 Listed $475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $514,100 Public Records
  • 2006-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $406,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $8,223 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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