CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1711 Welsh Ave
D- Composite 39.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

1711 Welsh Ave · College Station, TX 77840
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,152 sqft · Townhouse public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1970 2,971 sqft lot $152/sqft · at area comps Est $178k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom townhome offers everything you need in a prime location for under $200K! Located just 1.5 miles from Kyle Field and situated on the bus route, it’s perfect for game days, students, or families. The home features a covered patio and fully fenced yard, along with a backyard shed for extra storage. Additional highlights include a 2-car carport, all electric utilities, and the washer, dryer, and refrigerator will convey. The roof features TPO over 1.5” insulation (approximately 8 years old), and the water heater is about 2 years old. Inside, you’ll find ceiling fans in every bedroom and an updated hall bath with a new countertop and tiled shower. Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a prime location!

Key facts

  • 2 car carport
  • Covered patio
  • Updated hall bath

Tags

COVERED PATIOFULLY FENCED YARDBACKYARD SHED2 CAR CARPORTCEILING FANS IN EVERY BEDROOMUPDATED HALL BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller disclosure available
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (detached), 2 carport spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential single-story home; Built in 1970; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Private yard; Fenced yard; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven/range; Disposal; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-123 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (12.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in College Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in TX, #994 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-.
  • College Station ISD (urban): math 58% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #113 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: South Knoll El (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,335 of 4,322 statewide, top 33%, 615 students, 67% FRL); Wellborn Middle (math 65% / reading 64%, grade A-, #105 of 1,662 statewide, top 7%, 841 students, 24% FRL); A & M Cons H S (math 65% / reading 66%, grade B, #193 of 1,632 statewide, top 12%, 2,139 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 24% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,471/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 8224% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,085 (16.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.45%
Cash-on-cash
-3.01%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,261
List price
$175,000
Delta
-1.83%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1711 Welsh Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,152 (0%) 1mo $175,000 $152 98
1725 Harvey Mitchell Pkwy S #1630 0.29mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,052 (-9%) 1mo $175,000 $166 62
529 Southwest Pkwy #304 0.16mi 4/4.0 (+1) 1,236 (+7%) 6mo $215,000 $174 60
1725 Harvey Mitchell Pkwy S #2112 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,080 (-6%) 11mo $194,800 $180 60
1725 Harvey Mitchell Pkwy S #1534 0.29mi 3/3.0 1,294 (+12%) 1mo $214,900 $166 59
517 Southwest Pkwy #104 0.14mi 4/4.0 (+1) 1,236 (+7%) 9mo $203,000 $164 58
1725 Harvey Mitchell Pkwy S #1328 0.29mi 3/3.0 1,294 (+12%) 5mo $217,500 $168 56
1725 Harvey Mitchell Pkwy S #2023 0.29mi 3/3.0 1,294 (+12%) 5mo $210,000 $162 56
1725 Harvey Mitchell Pkwy S #2433 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,001 (-13%) 3mo $189,500 $189 55
1725 Harvey Mitchell Pkwy S #2234 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,001 (-13%) 3mo $189,000 $189 55
1725 Harvey Mitchell Pkwy S #1311 0.29mi 3/3.0 1,324 (+15%) 2mo $230,000 $174 54
1725 Harvey Mitchell Pkwy S #2021 0.29mi 3/3.0 1,294 (+12%) 7mo $202,900 $157 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-31,178
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-15,251
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77840

Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
307
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,471 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$294 /mo · $3,533/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$-123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,627
Max offer price $153,255
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-24 -5% $-74 +0% $-123 +5% $-173 +10% $-222
Rent -10% $-239 -5% $-181 +0% $-123 +5% $-65 +10% $-7
Rate -1.0pp $-35 -0.5pp $-79 base $-123 +0.5pp $-168 +1.0pp $-215

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
603 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $939 $1.04 15d 4 0.06mi
1806 Yellowhouse Cir College Station, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 710 $1,050 $1.48 15d 7 0.13mi
808 Concho Pl College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 841 $1,150 $1.37 22d 1 0.16mi
515 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1236 $1,458 $1.18 22d 1 0.16mi
528 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 975 $1,060 $1.09 22d 1 0.18mi
528 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 975 $1,039 $1.07 45d 1 0.18mi
521 Southwest Pkwy #303 College Station, TX 4.0 4.0 1236 $460 $0.37 15d 1 0.18mi
529 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1218 $1,317 $1.08 15d 1 0.19mi
700 Chalet Ct College Station, TX 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,600 $1.43 45d 1 0.20mi
527 Southwest Pkwy #103 College Station, TX 4.0 4.0 1236 $2,800 $2.27 22d 1 0.20mi
527 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 4.0 4.0 1236 $1,625 $1.31 45d 2 0.21mi
502 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 660 $1,225 $1.86 15d 39 0.21mi
1101 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 2.0 1.5 1000 $979 $0.98 45d 1 0.22mi
1206 Georgia St College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 841 $1,000 $1.19 22d 1 0.27mi
602 Townplace Dr Unit 1328092P College Station, TX 3.0 3.0 1291 $3,348 $2.59 22d 1 0.33mi
1109 Phoenix St College Station, TX 3.0 1.5 1160 $1,650 $1.42 45d 1 0.41mi
1103 Phoenix St College Station, TX 2.0 2.0 928 $1,700 $1.83 45d 1 0.42mi
301 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 4.0 4.0–4.5 1538 $2,200 $1.43 45d 2 0.47mi
213 Holleman Dr Unit 304 College Station, TX 2.0 2.5 1000 $1,660 $1.66 45d 1 0.52mi
1302 Laura Ln College Station, TX 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,825 $1.25 22d 1 0.57mi
701 Balcones Dr Unit 51 College Station, TX 3.0 2.0 1235 $1,375 $1.11 45d 1 0.75mi
903 Balcones Dr Unit 3-B College Station, TX 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,250 $1.04 45d 1 0.76mi
1402 Holleman Dr College Station, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $795 $1.14 22d 13 0.78mi
1200 Village Dr College Station, TX 3.0 2.0 1443 $1,750 $1.21 22d 1 0.79mi
1200 Village Dr College Station, TX 3.0 2.0 1443 $1,750 $1.21 15d 1 0.79mi
2401 Welsh Ave College Station, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 761 $925 $1.21 0d 1 0.81mi
2400 Blanco Dr Unit D College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 777 $875 $1.13 22d 1 0.84mi
2403 Bosque Dr Unit B College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 778 $900 $1.16 45d 1 0.84mi
2406 Blanco Dr Unit B College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $995 $1.24 45d 1 0.88mi
2406 Blanco Dr Unit B College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $975 $1.22 22d 1 0.88mi
800 Marion Pugh Dr College Station, TX 1.0–5.0 1.0–5.5 1226 $1,060 $0.86 15d 20 0.89mi
1600 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1005 $1,500 $1.49 15d 21 0.90mi
1198 Jones-Butler Rd Unit 1 College Station, TX 3.0 3.0 1272 $2,100 $1.65 15d 1 0.90mi
1601 Anderson St College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 796 $938 $1.18 22d 5 0.91mi
1112 Airline Dr College Station, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,575 $1.57 15d 1 0.91mi
1112 Airline Dr College Station, TX 2.0 2.0 1256 $1,575 $1.25 22d 1 0.91mi
1613 Southwest Pkwy College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 798 $1,150 $1.44 15d 1 0.91mi
2001 Holleman Dr W College Station, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 981 $1,009 $1.03 22d 10 0.91mi
1524 Pine Ridge Dr College Station, TX 2.0 1.0 789 $950 $1.20 45d 1 0.93mi
2310 Pronghorn Ln College Station, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,550 $1.15 15d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 785-char remark
  2. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 785-char remark
  3. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    This adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom townhome offers everything you need in a prime location for under $200K! Located just 1.5 miles from Kyle Field and situated on the bus route, it’s perfect for game days, students, or families. The home features a covered patio and fully fenced yard, along with a backyard shed for extra storage. Additional highlights include a 2-car carport, all electric utilities, and the washer, dryer, and refrigerator will convey. The roof features TPO over 1.5” insulation (approximately 8 years old), and the water heater is about 2 years old. Inside, you’ll find ceiling fans in every bedroom and an updated hall bath with a new countertop and tiled shower. Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a prime location!

  4. 2026-05-09
    historical Active Under Contract 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    This adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom townhome offers everything you need in a prime location for under $200K! Located just 1.5 miles from Kyle Field and situated on the bus route, it’s perfect for game days, students, or families. The home features a covered patio and fully fenced yard, along with a backyard shed for extra storage. Additional highlights include a 2-car carport, all electric utilities, and the washer, dryer, and refrigerator will convey. The roof features TPO over 1.5” insulation (approximately 8 years old), and the water heater is about 2 years old. Inside, you’ll find ceiling fans in every bedroom and an updated hall bath with a new countertop and tiled shower. Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a prime location!

  5. 2026-04-30
    listed $175,000 Active 785-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    This adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom townhome offers everything you need in a prime location for under $200K! Located just 1.5 miles from Kyle Field and situated on the bus route, it’s perfect for game days, students, or families. The home features a covered patio and fully fenced yard, along with a backyard shed for extra storage. Additional highlights include a 2-car carport, all electric utilities, and the washer, dryer, and refrigerator will convey. The roof features TPO over 1.5” insulation (approximately 8 years old), and the water heater is about 2 years old. Inside, you’ll find ceiling fans in every bedroom and an updated hall bath with a new countertop and tiled shower. Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a prime location!

  6. 2026-04-30
    listed $175,000 Active 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    This adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom townhome offers everything you need in a prime location for under $200K! Located just 1.5 miles from Kyle Field and situated on the bus route, it’s perfect for game days, students, or families. The home features a covered patio and fully fenced yard, along with a backyard shed for extra storage. Additional highlights include a 2-car carport, all electric utilities, and the washer, dryer, and refrigerator will convey. The roof features TPO over 1.5” insulation (approximately 8 years old), and the water heater is about 2 years old. Inside, you’ll find ceiling fans in every bedroom and an updated hall bath with a new countertop and tiled shower. Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a prime location!

  7. 2012-07-02
    soldstatus
  8. 2004-04-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,533 · $294/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,533 · $294/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,650
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$3,533
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,412
− Management
−$1,412
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$4,476
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,074
After-tax cash flow
$-403/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
College Station ISD
NCES district ID
4807350
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,991
Composite
46.54/100
National rank
#2428
State rank
#113 of 826 in TX

Livability — College Station

Score
83/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#994

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety B User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
College Station, TX
County
Brazos County · 233,400 people
City population
131,628
Metro
College Station-Bryan, TX
Population (ZIP)
54,864
Household income
$30,377
Rent vs Own
89.7% rent · 10.3% own
Severe rent burden
8224.0

Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,942 people
By 2030
296,630 · +10.7%
By 2040
354,560 · +32.3%
By 2050
414,616 · +54.7%
By 2075
562,158 · +109.8%
By 2100
678,828 · +153.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Black 11% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazos

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.15%
Current HPI
195.2885
Rent YoY
▲ 6.24%
Metro
College Station-Bryan, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) BCSRMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-10 Pending BCSRMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Contingent BCSRMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $175,000 BCSRMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
  • 2012-07-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-04-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,533 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…