2315 Brown St · Alton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you need lots of space and are willing to do some hands on work, you may want to look at this....Five bedrooms, 4 baths, and right in the middle of everything! Main level offers a living room, dining room, breakfast room, sitting room, office, eat-in kitchen, 1/2 bath and laundry. Main level primary bedroom and 3/4 bath. The upstairs has 4 additional bedrooms as well as a bonus room, full bath and half bath. Full basement, with gas furnace installed in 2019 and hot water heater installed in 2018. 2 car detached garage. Fenced back yard, covered porches, and sitting on approx. 1.5 acre lot (lot runs behind the fencing as well. Selling As Is with a possible short sale.
Key facts
- 0.57 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#701 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.77%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $213,877
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -25.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1621 Shurtleff Ct | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,652 (-6%) | 10mo | $239,000 | $90 | 54 |
| 863 Washington Ave | 0.39mi | 5/3.0 | 2,400 (-15%) | 10mo | $179,900 | $75 | 49 |
| 2717 Judson Ave | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,464 (-12%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $85 | 48 |
| 1734 Seminary St | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,487 (-12%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $84 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-10,045
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $42,017
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62002
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,737 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$363 /mo · $4,361/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $194 | -5% $149 | +0% $103 | +5% $58 | +10% $13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-34 | -5% $35 | +0% $103 | +5% $172 | +10% $240 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $184 | -0.5pp $144 | base $103 | +0.5pp $62 | +1.0pp $20 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 37 events
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2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-04-07$160,000 Active 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
If you need lots of space and are willing to do some hands on work, you may want to look at this....Five bedrooms, 4 baths, and right in the middle of everything! Main level offers a living room, dining room, breakfast room, sitting room, office, eat-in kitchen, 1/2 bath and laundry. Main level primary bedroom and 3/4 bath. The upstairs has 4 additional bedrooms as well as a bonus room, full bath and half bath. Full basement, with gas furnace installed in 2019 and hot water heater installed in 2018. 2 car detached garage. Fenced back yard, covered porches, and sitting on approx. 1.5 acre lot (lot runs behind the fencing as well. Selling As Is with a possible short sale.
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2022-05-24soldstatus $172,000
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2022-05-22status Pending 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Five bedroom four bath home located in the heart of Alton. Main level living room, dining room, breakfast room, sitting room, office, eat in kitchen, 1/2 bath and laundry. Main level master bedroom with 3/4 bath. Upstairs offer four additional bedrooms as well as a bonus room, full bath and a 1/2 bath. Two car detached garage. Covered front porch. Fenced in yard. Zoned HVAC. Lot size is 1.5 acres (lot runs behind the fenced area). New gas furnace installed in 2019. Hot water heater installed in 2018. Basement drylocked in 2019. Home is being sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Home has passed Alton Occupancy. This home qualifies for a loan program that offers 100% financing.
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2022-05-20soldstatus Closed 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Five bedroom four bath home located in the heart of Alton. Main level living room, dining room, breakfast room, sitting room, office, eat in kitchen, 1/2 bath and laundry. Main level master bedroom with 3/4 bath. Upstairs offer four additional bedrooms as well as a bonus room, full bath and a 1/2 bath. Two car detached garage. Covered front porch. Fenced in yard. Zoned HVAC. Lot size is 1.5 acres (lot runs behind the fenced area). New gas furnace installed in 2019. Hot water heater installed in 2018. Basement drylocked in 2019. Home is being sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Home has passed Alton Occupancy. This home qualifies for a loan program that offers 100% financing.
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2022-04-12historical Active Under Contract 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Five bedroom four bath home located in the heart of Alton. Main level living room, dining room, breakfast room, sitting room, office, eat in kitchen, 1/2 bath and laundry. Main level master bedroom with 3/4 bath. Upstairs offer four additional bedrooms as well as a bonus room, full bath and a 1/2 bath. Two car detached garage. Covered front porch. Fenced in yard. Zoned HVAC. Lot size is 1.5 acres (lot runs behind the fenced area). New gas furnace installed in 2019. Hot water heater installed in 2018. Basement drylocked in 2019. Home is being sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Home has passed Alton Occupancy. This home qualifies for a loan program that offers 100% financing.
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2022-04-08price $172,000 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Five bedroom four bath home located in the heart of Alton. Main level living room, dining room, breakfast room, sitting room, office, eat in kitchen, 1/2 bath and laundry. Main level master bedroom with 3/4 bath. Upstairs offer four additional bedrooms as well as a bonus room, full bath and a 1/2 bath. Two car detached garage. Covered front porch. Fenced in yard. Zoned HVAC. Lot size is 1.5 acres (lot runs behind the fenced area). New gas furnace installed in 2019. Hot water heater installed in 2018. Basement drylocked in 2019. Home is being sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Home has passed Alton Occupancy. This home qualifies for a loan program that offers 100% financing.
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2022-04-01status Active 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Five bedroom four bath home located in the heart of Alton. Main level living room, dining room, breakfast room, sitting room, office, eat in kitchen, 1/2 bath and laundry. Main level master bedroom with 3/4 bath. Upstairs offer four additional bedrooms as well as a bonus room, full bath and a 1/2 bath. Two car detached garage. Covered front porch. Fenced in yard. Zoned HVAC. Lot size is 1.5 acres (lot runs behind the fenced area). New gas furnace installed in 2019. Hot water heater installed in 2018. Basement drylocked in 2019. Home is being sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Home has passed Alton Occupancy. This home qualifies for a loan program that offers 100% financing.
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2022-03-10historical Active Under Contract 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Five bedroom four bath home located in the heart of Alton. Main level living room, dining room, breakfast room, sitting room, office, eat in kitchen, 1/2 bath and laundry. Main level master bedroom with 3/4 bath. Upstairs offer four additional bedrooms as well as a bonus room, full bath and a 1/2 bath. Two car detached garage. Covered front porch. Fenced in yard. Zoned HVAC. Lot size is 1.5 acres (lot runs behind the fenced area). New gas furnace installed in 2019. Hot water heater installed in 2018. Basement drylocked in 2019. Home is being sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Home has passed Alton Occupancy. This home qualifies for a loan program that offers 100% financing.
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2022-03-05$174,900 Active 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Five bedroom four bath home located in the heart of Alton. Main level living room, dining room, breakfast room, sitting room, office, eat in kitchen, 1/2 bath and laundry. Main level master bedroom with 3/4 bath. Upstairs offer four additional bedrooms as well as a bonus room, full bath and a 1/2 bath. Two car detached garage. Covered front porch. Fenced in yard. Zoned HVAC. Lot size is 1.5 acres (lot runs behind the fenced area). New gas furnace installed in 2019. Hot water heater installed in 2018. Basement drylocked in 2019. Home is being sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Home has passed Alton Occupancy. This home qualifies for a loan program that offers 100% financing.
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2019-05-29soldstatus $147,000
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2019-05-20status Pending
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2019-05-20soldstatus Closed
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2019-03-26historical Active Under Contract
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2019-03-20$149,900 Active
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2018-07-16soldstatus $136,000
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2018-06-29soldstatus $136,000
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2018-06-29soldstatus Closed
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2018-06-25status Pending
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2018-05-15historical Active Under Contract
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2018-05-14status Pending
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2018-05-03$139,000 Active
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2018-05-03$139,000
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2015-02-19soldstatus $140,000
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2010-10-19soldstatus $125,000
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2009-06-22soldstatus $64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,361 · $363/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,361 · $363/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,846
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$4,361
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,668
- − Management
- −$1,668
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$1,267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$304
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,543/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alton CUSD 11
- NCES district ID
- 1703600
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,257
- Composite
- 11.34/100
- National rank
- #9710
- State rank
- #544 of 620 in IL
Livability — Alton
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #14289
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alton, IL
- County
- Madison County · 189,064 people
- City population
- 29,543
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,543
- Household income
- $61,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.43%
- Current HPI
- 194.7313
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $160,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-22 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-12 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-08 Price Changed $172,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-01 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-10 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-05 Listed $174,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-20 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-20 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-26 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-20 Listed $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-29 Sold (MLS) $136,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-29 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-25 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-15 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-14 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-03 Listed $139,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-03 Listed $139,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2010-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2024): $4,361 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…