🔨 Auction
11120 Wilkins Run Rd NE · Marne, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +1.2/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Court Ordered Sale by Private Selling Officer. Auction ends on April 7, 2026. All information we have on the property is included. We have no additional information, property condition is unknown. NO SHOWINGS, NO trespassing for any reason. Information is thought to be correct but not guaranteed. 10% Buyer Premium added to the high bid, $5,000 deposit is due within 24 hours of bidding end.
Key facts
- 45.42 acre lot
- Built 1996
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#696 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Licking Valley Local (rural): math 56% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #360 of 656 in OH (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 609444.0% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.36% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- -17.30%
- DSCR
- 0.23
- GRM
- 22.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $406,296
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10647 Wilkins Run Rd NE | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 2,004 (-2%) | 0mo | $396,000 | $198 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -52.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.51×
- Total profit
- $-172,261
- Equity at exit
- $60,580
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.57×
- Total profit
- $-292,414
- Equity at exit
- $35,129
Cash invested: $113,763 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43055
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 204
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,479 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$508 /mo · $6,094/yr
- Insurance
- −$169
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $-1,640
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $101,574
- Closing costs
- $12,189
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-03-30historical
-
2026-03-30$1 Active
-
2020-11-19historical
-
2020-11-02$35,287 Active
-
2006-10-31historical
-
2005-08-29$265,000
-
2005-01-28historical
-
2004-08-27$279,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,743
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,759
- − Property taxes
- −$6,094
- − Insurance
- −$2,031
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,419
- − Management
- −$1,419
- − Depreciation
- −$11,820
- Taxable loss
- −$27,800
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,672
- After-tax cash flow
- $-13,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Licking Valley Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904801
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,968
- Composite
- 47.23/100
- National rank
- #2315
- State rank
- #360 of 656 in OH
Livability — Marne
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #696
- US rank
- #12428
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Licking County · 109,194 people
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,281
- Household income
- $63,974
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2269.0
Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,210 people
- By 2030
- 180,917 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 183,885 · +3.2%
- By 2050
- 182,985 · +2.7%
- By 2075
- 178,377 · +0.1%
- By 2100
- 161,075 · -9.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Licking
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.54%
- Current HPI
- 247.9425
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.63%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-87.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $1 CBRMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2020-11-19 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2020-11-02 Listed $35,287 CBRMLS
- 2006-10-31 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2005-08-29 Listed $265,000 CBRMLS
- 2005-01-28 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2004-08-27 Listed $279,900 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,530 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…