1502 Memphis Ave #32 · Spirit Lake, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable, spacious, mostly furnished, and close to everything that makes Spirit Lake enjoyable—homes like this don’t come along often. Located in A & K Mobile Home Court, this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offers 1,216 sq. ft. with a smart, comfortable floor plan that feels open, functional, and larger than expected. Built in 2000, it features inviting living spaces, an eat-in kitchen with abundant cabinet storage, generous countertop space, and a highly functional layout that makes everyday living easy. The private primary suite offers its own bath plus a walk-in closet, while an additional bedroom includes a beautiful bunk bed setup featuring full-size mattresse
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Eat-in kitchen
- Built 2000
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $240 monthly fee; Located in A&K Mobile Home Park
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Mobile home; One story / single level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Gravel road; Leased land
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $704 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $71k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 1.6% in Spirit Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#69 in IA, #1,522 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Spirit Lake Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #59 of 289 in IA (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 295 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dickinson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.92%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $33,357
- Equity at exit
- $10,735
- IRR
- 45.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $87,508
- Equity at exit
- $6,225
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51360
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,825 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$240
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $704
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2125 Royal Ave Spirit Lake, IA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 913 | $1,825 | $2.00 | 43d | 81 | 0.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $240 · $2,880/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $72,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $72,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$72,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$1,080
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,752
- − Management
- −$1,752
- − HOA
- −$2,880
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable income
- $7,948
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,908
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,542/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 26 photos
This mobile home presents as needing moderate repairs and maintenance, with average condition overall. Upgrades to paint, landscaping, flooring, and appliances would significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — slight wear
- Minor interior paint — some wear
- Minor landscaping — overgrowth
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value
- Both replace worn flooring — improves comfort and aesthetics
- Both update kitchen appliances — modernizes kitchen and enhances functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior paint · some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · overgrowth | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Both replace worn flooring — improves comfort and aesthetics ↑
- Both update kitchen appliances — modernizes kitchen and enhances functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spirit Lake Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1927000
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,797
- Composite
- 64.57/100
- National rank
- #535
- State rank
- #59 of 289 in IA
Livability — Spirit Lake
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #1522
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spirit Lake, IA
- City population
- 8,561
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,561
Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,133 people
- By 2030
- 18,610 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 19,456 · +7.3%
- By 2050
- 20,307 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 23,155 · +27.7%
- By 2100
- 24,449 · +34.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Iranian 8% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.0) · D 29.5% · R 69.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.4pp · 2024: -40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.0 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+18.0 2008: R+5.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.60%
- Current HPI
- 209.6205
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $72,000 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…