Triplex
98 Church St · Oakland, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Strong cash flow and a great rental history make this three unit Oakland property a smart investment. Two one-bedroom units and one two-bedroom unit, all currently rented. The numbers work and with an owner-occupant purchase, you could live rent free while your tenants cover the mortgage.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×1bd/1.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $334/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 1.8% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#37 in ME, #3,871 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- RSU 18 (rural): math 88% / reading 89% proficiency, ranked #36 of 112 in ME (top 32%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 460 units permitted in Kennebec County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Kennebec County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $240k implies a 823% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.89%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,701
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- 18.99%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 E East School St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,856 (-15%) | 18mo | $265,000 | $143 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $194,449
- Equity at exit
- $216,211
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.77×
- Total profit
- $522,335
- Equity at exit
- $466,267
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04963
- Home prices YoY
- 25.1%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 19.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,539/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$662
- Net cashflow
- $1,002
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,138 | -5% $1,070 | +0% $1,002 | +5% $934 | +10% $866 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $753 | -5% $877 | +0% $1,002 | +5% $1,126 | +10% $1,251 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,123 | -0.5pp $1,063 | base $1,002 | +0.5pp $939 | +1.0pp $876 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $2,100 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,050 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,050 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,050 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,150 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $240,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $240,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $240,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $240,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-02-19$240,000 Active 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Strong cash flow and a great rental history make this three unit Oakland property a smart investment. Two one-bedroom units and one two-bedroom unit, all currently rented. The numbers work and with an owner-occupant purchase, you could live rent free while your tenants cover the mortgage.
-
2016-03-03soldstatus $26,000 Sold 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Three unit building in the heart of Oakland. First floor offers two spacious one bedroom apartments with full baths. Second floor offers a larger two bedroom apartment-- entire second floor. Walking distance to shopping, restaurants, and library. See attachment for room dimensions.
-
2016-02-04status Pending 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Three unit building in the heart of Oakland. First floor offers two spacious one bedroom apartments with full baths. Second floor offers a larger two bedroom apartment-- entire second floor. Walking distance to shopping, restaurants, and library. See attachment for room dimensions.
-
2016-01-23price $28,500 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Three unit building in the heart of Oakland. First floor offers two spacious one bedroom apartments with full baths. Second floor offers a larger two bedroom apartment-- entire second floor. Walking distance to shopping, restaurants, and library. See attachment for room dimensions.
-
2015-12-23$32,500 Active 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Three unit building in the heart of Oakland. First floor offers two spacious one bedroom apartments with full baths. Second floor offers a larger two bedroom apartment-- entire second floor. Walking distance to shopping, restaurants, and library. See attachment for room dimensions.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,402 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- +$862/yr (+$72/mo · 56.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,539
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,024
- − Management
- −$3,024
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $8,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,061
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 18
- NCES district ID
- 2314779
- Math proficiency
- 88% ▲ 53.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 89% ▲ 32.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,125
- Composite
- 75.2/100
- National rank
- #139
- State rank
- #36 of 112 in ME
Livability — Oakland
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #3871
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakland, ME
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,375
Population outlook (Kennebec County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 115,421 people
- By 2030
- 111,852 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 103,757 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 95,710 · -17.1%
- By 2075
- 78,172 · -32.3%
- By 2100
- 59,500 · -48.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kennebec
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 50.2% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: 14.8pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+13.5 2008: D+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 76.94%
- Current HPI
- 383.7687
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+638.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Listed $240,000 MREIS
- 2016-03-03 Sold (MLS) $26,000 MREIS
- 2016-02-04 Pending — MREIS
- 2016-01-23 Price Changed $28,500 MREIS
- 2015-12-23 Listed $32,500 MREIS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,539 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…