358 Glem Dr · Thomasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great mobile home on 1.33 acres in Thomas County. This 4BR/2Bath home has wonderful open space, nice kitchen, fireside living room and den. Primary bedroom is HUGE with its own bathroom and walk-in closet. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look.
Key facts
- Open space
- Walk-in closet
- Fireside living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (9.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (33.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Thomas County (rural): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #97 of 174 in GA (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Garrison-Pilcher Elementary School (781 students, 93% FRL); Thomas County Middle School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 1,714 students, 93% FRL); Thomas County Central High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,517 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 58% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.39%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $232,866
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -23.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-35,455
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-39,456
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31757
- Home prices YoY
- -16.5%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,196 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $374/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $-100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2 | -5% $-49 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-354 | +10% $-416 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-194 | -5% $-147 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-52 | +10% $-5 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-10 | -0.5pp $-54 | base $-100 | +0.5pp $-146 | +1.0pp $-193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $179,000 Pending 100 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $179,000 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Great mobile home on 1.33 acres in Thomas County. This 4BR/2Bath home has wonderful open space, nice kitchen, fireside living room and den. Primary bedroom is HUGE with its own bathroom and walk-in closet. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look.
-
2026-02-17$189,000 Active 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Great mobile home on 1.33 acres in Thomas County. This 4BR/2Bath home has wonderful open space, nice kitchen, fireside living room and den. Primary bedroom is HUGE with its own bathroom and walk-in closet. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look.
-
2019-02-14historical
-
2019-01-24$87,000
-
2000-01-01soldstatus $349,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $374 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,647 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,273/yr (+$106/mo · 340.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,351
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$374
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,148
- − Management
- −$1,148
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$4,448
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,068
- After-tax cash flow
- $-129/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomas County
- NCES district ID
- 1304890
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,341
- Composite
- 24.95/100
- National rank
- #7565
- State rank
- #97 of 174 in GA
Livability — Thomasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #6678
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 22,962
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,787
Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,303 people
- By 2030
- 45,052 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 44,034 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,310 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 37,569 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 30,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Thomas
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.49%
- Current HPI
- 215.5408
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
-48.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $179,000 TABRMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $189,000 TABRMLS
- 2019-02-14 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2019-01-24 Listed $87,000 CATRS
- 2000-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $349,300 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $374 · -6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…