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358 Glem Dr
D Composite 40.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

358 Glem Dr · Thomasville, GA 31757
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · Manufactured public records · 100 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2001 1.33 ac lot $84/sqft · 24% below area Est $233k · 23% under ↓ 49% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great mobile home on 1.33 acres in Thomas County. This 4BR/2Bath home has wonderful open space, nice kitchen, fireside living room and den. Primary bedroom is HUGE with its own bathroom and walk-in closet. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look.

Key facts

  • Open space
  • Walk-in closet
  • Fireside living room

Tags

1.33 ACRESOPEN SPACEFIRESIDE LIVING ROOMDENPRIMARY BEDROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (9.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (33.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
  • Thomas County (rural): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #97 of 174 in GA (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Garrison-Pilcher Elementary School (781 students, 93% FRL); Thomas County Middle School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 1,714 students, 93% FRL); Thomas County Central High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,517 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 58% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,593 (33.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.39%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$232,866
List price
$179,000
Delta
-23.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-35,455
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-39,456
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31757

Home prices YoY
-16.5%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,196 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $374/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$-100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,322
Max offer price $161,391
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2 -5% $-49 +0% $-100 +5% $-354 +10% $-416
Rent -10% $-194 -5% $-147 +0% $-100 +5% $-52 +10% $-5
Rate -1.0pp $-10 -0.5pp $-54 base $-100 +0.5pp $-146 +1.0pp $-193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $179,000 Pending 100 DOM
  2. 2026-05-07
    price $179,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Great mobile home on 1.33 acres in Thomas County. This 4BR/2Bath home has wonderful open space, nice kitchen, fireside living room and den. Primary bedroom is HUGE with its own bathroom and walk-in closet. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look.

  3. 2026-02-17
    listed $189,000 Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Great mobile home on 1.33 acres in Thomas County. This 4BR/2Bath home has wonderful open space, nice kitchen, fireside living room and den. Primary bedroom is HUGE with its own bathroom and walk-in closet. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look.

  4. 2019-02-14
    historical
  5. 2019-01-24
    listed $87,000
  6. 2000-01-01
    soldstatus $349,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$374 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,647 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$1,273/yr (+$106/mo · 340.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,351
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$374
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,148
− Management
−$1,148
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$4,448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,068
After-tax cash flow
$-129/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thomas County
NCES district ID
1304890
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,341
Composite
24.95/100
National rank
#7565
State rank
#97 of 174 in GA

Livability — Thomasville

Score
71/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#6678

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
22,962
Population (ZIP)
11,787

Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,303 people
By 2030
45,052 · -0.6%
By 2040
44,034 · -2.8%
By 2050
42,310 · -6.6%
By 2075
37,569 · -17.1%
By 2100
30,676 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Thomas

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.49%
Current HPI
215.5408
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-48.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $179,000 TABRMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $189,000 TABRMLS
  • 2019-02-14 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2019-01-24 Listed $87,000 CATRS
  • 2000-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $349,300 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $374 · -6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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