605 Holly St · Angleton, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.
Key facts
- Enclosed garage
- Two living areas
- Built-in hutch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.0% in Angleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in TX, #4,520 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Angleton ISD (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #375 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westside El (math 52% / reading 44%, grade D, #971 of 4,322 statewide, top 23%, 1,010 students, 78% FRL); Angleton J H School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #911 of 1,662 statewide, top 56%, 1,561 students, 68% FRL); Angleton H S (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,066 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 932 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.18%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $239,860
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618 W Peach St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,794 (+0%) | 0mo | $199,990 | $111 | 89 |
| 127 N Erskine St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,766 (-1%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $82 | 71 |
| 8318 Amethyst Valley Ln | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 | 1,687 (-6%) | 6mo | $309,888 | $184 | 58 |
| 3119 Emerald Hills Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,629 (-9%) | 1mo | $199,290 | $122 | 56 |
| 708 Western Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 | 1,658 (-7%) | 21mo | $189,900 | $115 | 44 |
| 629 W Locust St | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,580 (-12%) | 21mo | $249,900 | $158 | 31 |
| 1009 Western Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,563 (-13%) | 14mo | $260,000 | $166 | 26 |
| 324 E Kiber St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-12%) | 16mo | $210,000 | $134 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,746
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $23,479
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77515
- Home prices YoY
- -5.1%
- Active inventory
- 932
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,859 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,576/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $321
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $406 | -5% $364 | +0% $321 | +5% $279 | +10% $236 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $174 | -5% $248 | +0% $321 | +5% $395 | +10% $468 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $397 | -0.5pp $359 | base $321 | +0.5pp $282 | +1.0pp $243 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2025-06-13soldstatus Sold 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.
-
2025-06-13soldstatus
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.
-
2025-05-29status Pending
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.
-
2025-05-29status Pending 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.
-
2025-05-19$150,000 Active
-
2025-05-14$150,000 Active 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.
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2025-05-09historical
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2025-04-09$139,000 Active
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2025-03-28historical
-
2025-03-18price $146,800
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2025-02-15$159,999 Active
-
2023-11-18historical $1,250
-
2023-11-18historical
-
2023-11-07$1,250
-
2023-11-06status Active
-
2023-10-28historical $1,250
-
2023-10-27status Option Pending
-
2023-10-20$1,250
-
2023-10-18status Active
-
2023-10-06historical $1,250
-
2023-10-04historical
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2023-09-29price $1,250
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2023-09-28price $166,750
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2023-09-19$1,400
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2023-06-28$170,000 Active
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2019-12-11historical
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2019-06-11$109,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,576 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,576 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,306
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$3,576
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,784
- − Management
- −$1,784
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,644
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$395
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,461/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Angleton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808310
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,670
- Composite
- 35.01/100
- National rank
- #5046
- State rank
- #375 of 826 in TX
Livability — Angleton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Angleton, TX
- County
- Brazoria County · 374,982 people
- City population
- 34,088
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,088
- Household income
- $88,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 785.0
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.59%
- Current HPI
- 288.7286
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+37.6% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-13 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2025-05-29 Pending — BCBR
- 2025-05-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-05-19 Listed $150,000 BCBR
- 2025-05-14 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
- 2025-05-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-04-09 Listed $139,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-28 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-03-18 Price Changed $146,800 HARMLS
- 2025-02-15 Listed $159,999 HARMLS
- 2023-11-18 Rental Removed $1,250 HARMLS
- 2023-11-18 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2023-11-07 Listed for Rent $1,250 HARMLS
- 2023-11-06 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2023-10-28 Rental Removed $1,250 HARMLS
- 2023-10-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-10-20 Listed for Rent $1,250 HARMLS
- 2023-10-18 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2023-10-06 Rental Removed $1,250 HARMLS
- 2023-10-04 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2023-09-29 Price Changed $1,250 HARMLS
- 2023-09-28 Price Changed $166,750 HARMLS
- 2023-09-19 Listed for Rent $1,400 HARMLS
- 2023-06-28 Listed $170,000 HARMLS
- 2019-12-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2019-06-11 Listed $109,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,576 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…