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605 Holly St
B- Composite 67.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

605 Holly St · Angleton, TX 77515
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,790 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1960 9,583 sqft lot Est $240k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.

Key facts

  • Enclosed garage
  • Two living areas
  • Built-in hutch

Tags

TWO LIVING AREASBUILT-IN HUTCHGALLEY STYLE KITCHENBREAKFAST AREAENCLOSED GARAGELARGE INSIDE LAUNDRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.0% in Angleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in TX, #4,520 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Angleton ISD (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #375 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Westside El (math 52% / reading 44%, grade D, #971 of 4,322 statewide, top 23%, 1,010 students, 78% FRL); Angleton J H School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #911 of 1,662 statewide, top 56%, 1,561 students, 68% FRL); Angleton H S (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,066 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 932 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
8.86%
Cash-on-cash
9.18%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,860
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
618 W Peach St 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,794 (+0%) 0mo $199,990 $111 89
127 N Erskine St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,766 (-1%) 0mo $145,000 $82 71
8318 Amethyst Valley Ln 0.42mi 4/3.0 1,687 (-6%) 6mo $309,888 $184 58
3119 Emerald Hills Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,629 (-9%) 1mo $199,290 $122 56
708 Western Ave 0.44mi 4/2.5 1,658 (-7%) 21mo $189,900 $115 44
629 W Locust St 0.45mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,580 (-12%) 21mo $249,900 $158 31
1009 Western Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,563 (-13%) 14mo $260,000 $166 26
324 E Kiber St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-12%) 16mo $210,000 $134 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-3,746
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$23,479
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77515

Home prices YoY
-5.1%
Active inventory
932
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,859 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$298 /mo · $3,576/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$321

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,452
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $406 -5% $364 +0% $321 +5% $279 +10% $236
Rent -10% $174 -5% $248 +0% $321 +5% $395 +10% $468
Rate -1.0pp $397 -0.5pp $359 base $321 +0.5pp $282 +1.0pp $243

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2025-06-13
    soldstatus Sold 606-char remark
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.

  2. 2025-06-13
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.

  3. 2025-05-29
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.

  4. 2025-05-29
    status Pending 606-char remark
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.

  5. 2025-05-19
    listed $150,000 Active
  6. 2025-05-14
    listed $150,000 Active 606-char remark
    Show marketing remark (606 chars)

    This is a great property near Westside Elementary. Has a formal living, kitchen has a breakfast area with built-in desk. There is a den area with space for a large dining table and a built-in hutch. the enclosed garage area has a laundry room just off the kitchen and the enclosed garage area as an optional room and between that room is a large laundry room and an attached area for split bedroom #4 or an Office with an exterior door to the back yard. This nice brick home is in an established neighborhood close to school and 288. About 1790 sq. ft. on slab, about . 22 acre lot. Re-Roofed 10/26/2015.

  7. 2025-05-09
    historical
  8. 2025-04-09
    listed $139,000 Active
  9. 2025-03-28
    historical
  10. 2025-03-18
    price $146,800
  11. 2025-02-15
    listed $159,999 Active
  12. 2023-11-18
    historical $1,250
  13. 2023-11-18
    historical
  14. 2023-11-07
    listed $1,250
  15. 2023-11-06
    status Active
  16. 2023-10-28
    historical $1,250
  17. 2023-10-27
    status Option Pending
  18. 2023-10-20
    listed $1,250
  19. 2023-10-18
    status Active
  20. 2023-10-06
    historical $1,250
  21. 2023-10-04
    historical
  22. 2023-09-29
    price $1,250
  23. 2023-09-28
    price $166,750
  24. 2023-09-19
    listed $1,400
  25. 2023-06-28
    listed $170,000 Active
  26. 2019-12-11
    historical
  27. 2019-06-11
    listed $109,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,576 · $298/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,576 · $298/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,306
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$3,576
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,784
− Management
−$1,784
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$1,644
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$395
After-tax cash flow
$3,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Angleton ISD
NCES district ID
4808310
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,670
Composite
35.01/100
National rank
#5046
State rank
#375 of 826 in TX

Livability — Angleton

Score
74/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#4520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Angleton, TX
County
Brazoria County · 374,982 people
City population
34,088
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
34,088
Household income
$88,787
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
785.0

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.59%
Current HPI
288.7286
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.6% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-06-13 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Pending BCBR
  • 2025-05-29 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-05-19 Listed $150,000 BCBR
  • 2025-05-14 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-09 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $139,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-03-28 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Price Changed $146,800 HARMLS
  • 2025-02-15 Listed $159,999 HARMLS
  • 2023-11-18 Rental Removed $1,250 HARMLS
  • 2023-11-18 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-11-07 Listed for Rent $1,250 HARMLS
  • 2023-11-06 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-10-28 Rental Removed $1,250 HARMLS
  • 2023-10-27 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-10-20 Listed for Rent $1,250 HARMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-10-06 Rental Removed $1,250 HARMLS
  • 2023-10-04 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-09-29 Price Changed $1,250 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-28 Price Changed $166,750 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-19 Listed for Rent $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2023-06-28 Listed $170,000 HARMLS
  • 2019-12-11 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2019-06-11 Listed $109,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,576 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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