3901 Lake Rd #158 · West Sacramento, CA 95691

$50,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 750 sqft · Manufactured · 4 Days on market

Built 1970

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This single-wide mobile home with an additional pop-out provides an excellent opportunity for affordable homeownership. The small pop-out provides extra living area, giving the home a more open feel than a traditional single-wide. Featuring two bedrooms and one bath, the home is designed for easy living with the efficient layout making the most of every square foot. The manageable size creates a comfortable and functional space that is easy to maintain. Located in a clean well-kept community with pride of ownership throughout. This home is located near the pool, spa, and clubhouse. Enjoy practical living without the upkeep and expense of a larger property. If you're seeking value, convenience, and comfortable living, this home is worth a look.

Key facts

• Extra living area
• Near spa
• Additional pop-out

Tags

• ADDITIONAL POP-OUT
• EXTRA LIVING AREA
• EFFICIENT LAYOUT
• CLEAN WELL-KEPT COMMUNITY
• NEAR THE POOL
• NEAR SPA

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Carport; 2 garage spaces; Assigned space number 158 (space rent $2)
• Utilities: Public sewer; Water listed as Other (see remarks); Other utilities (see remarks)
• Home design: Manufactured home on leased land; 750 living area (listed)
• Exterior features: Roof listed as Other (see remarks)

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central forced air heating; Window/wall air conditioning unit
• Interior features: Carpet and tile flooring; Eat-in kitchen

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#164 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A-; Watch: cost of living F.
• Washington Unified (suburban): math 30% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #197 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 721 units permitted in Yolo County in 2024 (260 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Yolo County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
4. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
5. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.89% ✓
• Cap rate: 34.89%
• Cash-on-cash: 102.13%
• DSCR: 5.54
• GRM: 2.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 5.69×
• Total profit: $65,625
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 11.44×
• Total profit: $146,204
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95691

• Home prices YoY: -35.0%
• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 151
• Price-to-rent: 2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,946 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$62 /mo · $750/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$409
• Net cashflow: $1,191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $50,000 Active 2 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   remarks 699-char remark
5. 2026-06-17
   listed $50,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major 26% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 31 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,347
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$750
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,868
• − Management: −$1,868
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $14,356
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,445
• After-tax cash flow: $10,852/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Washington Unified
• NCES district ID: 0641580
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▲ 12.00%
• Median HH income: $55,207
• Composite: 37.79/100
• National rank: #4339
• State rank: #197 of 517 in CA

Livability — West Sacramento

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #164
• US rank: #5389

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: West Sacramento, CA
• County: Yolo County · 212,115 people
• City population: 55,039
• Metro: Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
• Population (ZIP): 40,143
• Household income: $104,750
• Rent vs Own: 34.2% rent · 65.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1109.0

Population outlook (Yolo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 242,183 people
• By 2030: 257,662 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 288,050 · +18.9%
• By 2050: 318,202 · +31.4%
• By 2075: 392,736 · +62.2%
• By 2100: 438,150 · +80.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: White 45% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 17% Asian 14% Black 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 24%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 69% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Yolo

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+36.2) · D 66.3% · R 30.1% · Other 3.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: 0.0pp no change · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 36.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+36.2 2020: D+41.4 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+33.2 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -170.47%
• Current HPI: 316.9399
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.87%
• Metro: Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Listed $50,000 MLSListings
• 2026-06-15 Listed $50,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR