Duplex
8 Cotton Pl · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great opportunity in the historic Cradock neighborhood! This well-maintained duplex is perfect for an owner-occupant—live in one side and rent the other—or a strong investment to lease both units. Previously rented at $1,150/month, with potential rents up to $1,250. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Unit 8 (right side) features a remodeled kitchen with quartz countertops, updated baths with LVP flooring, and new carpet. Unit 10 (left side) boasts refinished hardwood floors, newer LVP and carpet, along with a recently updated kitchen and baths. Both units include a cozy layout and large fenced backyards. Located in historic Cradock, known for its charming tree-lined streets
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Updated baths
- New carpet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and off-street parking for units; 240 sq ft garage
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Duplex; Side-by-side layout; Slab foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Back fenced yard; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic; Vinyl; Concrete; Wood
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 bathroom; Unit 2: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Unit 1 heating: Other; Unit 2 heating: Heat pump and Other; Window/wall cooling
- Interior features: Family room; Utility room; Sun porch; Cable TV hookup; Separate meters for all units
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $349/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,661/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 534% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $215k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.93%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $267,119
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -19.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1502 Victory Blvd | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 1,900 (+14%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $168 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $164,202
- Equity at exit
- $193,689
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.54×
- Total profit
- $454,071
- Equity at exit
- $417,698
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23702
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,661 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,238/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$559
- Net cashflow
- $699
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $820 | -5% $759 | +0% $699 | +5% $638 | +10% $577 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $488 | -5% $594 | +0% $699 | +5% $804 | +10% $909 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $807 | -0.5pp $753 | base $699 | +0.5pp $643 | +1.0pp $586 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,660 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,330 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,330 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,661 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Monmouth St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,450 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 10 Parkside Pl Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,095 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 134 Monmouth St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,450 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 35 Fairview Cir S Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2750 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 251 Independence St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1294 | $2,550 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2509 Smithfield Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,345 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 213 Beacon Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1409 Wilcox Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2810 Roanoke Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1314 Summit Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2304 Nashville Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1061 Saint Julian Dr Chesapeake, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $2,550 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 108 Marcy St Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1114 Woodland Terrace Dr Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1223 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 207 Falcon Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1720 | $3,000 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-05-18status Under Contract 843-char remark
-
2026-05-12historical Active Under Contract 843-char remark
-
2026-05-04$215,000 Active 843-char remark
-
2026-04-13historical
-
2026-03-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-20price $239,900
-
2026-01-31price $249,900
-
2025-12-31$264,000 Active
-
2023-02-14historical
-
2023-02-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-01-11$181,700 Active
-
2023-01-11historical
-
2022-12-05status Active
-
2022-11-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-11-03price $187,400
-
2022-10-11status Active
-
2022-10-08historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-09-30$191,400 Active
-
2021-10-28soldstatus $110,000
-
2021-10-28soldstatus $110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,238 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,238 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,932
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,238
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,555
- − Management
- −$2,555
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $5,212
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,251
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,133/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,485
- Household income
- $48,835
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 534.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.70%
- Current HPI
- 340.0817
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+95.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $215,000 REINMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-03-24 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $239,900 REINMLS
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $249,900 REINMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listed $264,000 REINMLS
- 2023-02-14 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2023-02-01 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2023-01-11 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2023-01-11 Listed $181,700 REINMLS
- 2022-12-05 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2022-11-23 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2022-11-03 Price Changed $187,400 REINMLS
- 2022-10-11 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2022-10-08 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2022-09-30 Listed $191,400 REINMLS
- 2021-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,238 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…