3107 5th Ave · Des Moines, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There's something magnetic about this hillside bungalow - maybe it's the front porch made for people-watching, or the way the neighborhood hums with creative energy just south of Highland Park's Uptown revival. Inside, you'll find a space that feels collected, not curated - where vintage meets everyday comfort and good vibes come standard. It's the kind of home that invites you to slow down, settle in, and start your next story. Sold as-is, ready for someone who sees beauty in character and possibility.
Key facts
- 5,025 sq ft lot
- Built 1911
- Listed 204 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.1% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Des Moines Independent Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #289 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $115k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.66%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,338
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -29.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2915 4th St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,042 (-4%) | 1mo | $161,500 | $155 | 88 |
| 2915 3rd St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (-5%) | 2mo | $173,000 | $168 | 84 |
| 3109 4th St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,156 (+7%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $143 | 79 |
| 3122 1st St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,088 (+1%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $124 | 77 |
| 2919 1st St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,153 (+7%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $117 | 76 |
| 3118 1st St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,161 (+8%) | 5mo | $112,500 | $97 | 73 |
| 2701 Cornell St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-2%) | 4mo | $163,000 | $154 | 70 |
| 1015 Euclid Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,168 (+8%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $51 | 53 |
| 3421 Amherst St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,197 (+11%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $171 | 46 |
| 3633 Bowdoin St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-11%) | 2mo | $75,300 | $78 | 43 |
| 3507 Bowdoin St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (-13%) | 2mo | $168,000 | $179 | 43 |
| 1126 Seneca Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 918 (-15%) | 1mo | $204,900 | $223 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,389
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $40,272
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50313
- Rents YoY
- 13.1%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,088/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $152
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3410 5th Ave Des Moines, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,550 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3623 Cambridge St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,145 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3103 E 7th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1914 10th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,050 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1914 10th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,050 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4124 3rd St Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,595 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1438 9th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $745 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1314 Harrison Ave Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,195 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2411 Welbeck Rd #11 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $745 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2411 Welbeck Rd #7 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $845 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 915 E Washington Ave Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1457 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1714 College Ave Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,050 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2501 24th St Unit 101 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2501 24th St Apt 106 Des Moines, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,245 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2501 24th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $795 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2501 24th St Apt 107 Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,045 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2501 24th St Unit 113 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $945 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2501 24th St Unit 111 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $760 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2501 24th St Unit 121 Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $115,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Pending 508-char remark
Show marketing remark (508 chars)
There's something magnetic about this hillside bungalow - maybe it's the front porch made for people-watching, or the way the neighborhood hums with creative energy just south of Highland Park's Uptown revival. Inside, you'll find a space that feels collected, not curated - where vintage meets everyday comfort and good vibes come standard. It's the kind of home that invites you to slow down, settle in, and start your next story. Sold as-is, ready for someone who sees beauty in character and possibility.
-
2026-03-29price $115,000 508-char remark
Show marketing remark (508 chars)
There's something magnetic about this hillside bungalow - maybe it's the front porch made for people-watching, or the way the neighborhood hums with creative energy just south of Highland Park's Uptown revival. Inside, you'll find a space that feels collected, not curated - where vintage meets everyday comfort and good vibes come standard. It's the kind of home that invites you to slow down, settle in, and start your next story. Sold as-is, ready for someone who sees beauty in character and possibility.
-
2025-10-24$135,000 Active 508-char remark
Show marketing remark (508 chars)
There's something magnetic about this hillside bungalow - maybe it's the front porch made for people-watching, or the way the neighborhood hums with creative energy just south of Highland Park's Uptown revival. Inside, you'll find a space that feels collected, not curated - where vintage meets everyday comfort and good vibes come standard. It's the kind of home that invites you to slow down, settle in, and start your next story. Sold as-is, ready for someone who sees beauty in character and possibility.
-
2020-06-10soldstatus $75,000
-
2017-05-08soldstatus $34,500 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great opportunity at a home priced well below assessed value in NFC lending area. Home may be eligible for up to 10k in grants through local Neighborhood Financing Corporation. 3 beds, 1 bath, large kitchen, with a mud room at the back of the house. Large deck in back yard with off street parking. Recently upgraded 96%, 2 stage high efficiency furnace, and newer ac unit.
-
2017-01-10$36,500 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great opportunity at a home priced well below assessed value in NFC lending area. Home may be eligible for up to 10k in grants through local Neighborhood Financing Corporation. 3 beds, 1 bath, large kitchen, with a mud room at the back of the house. Large deck in back yard with off street parking. Recently upgraded 96%, 2 stage high efficiency furnace, and newer ac unit.
-
2005-02-16soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,088 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,088 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,839
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,088
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,187
- − Management
- −$1,187
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $14
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,819/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Des Moines Independent Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908970
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,905
- Composite
- 37.83/100
- National rank
- #4331
- State rank
- #289 of 289 in IA
Livability — Des Moines
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #1432
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Des Moines, IA
- County
- Polk County · 453,298 people
- City population
- 203,612
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,440
- Household income
- $68,361
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 454.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 548,042 people
- By 2030
- 588,557 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 670,629 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 752,830 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 955,069 · +74.3%
- By 2100
- 1,115,436 · +103.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Portuguese 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.17%
- Current HPI
- 285.5708
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.11%
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+253.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — DMMLS
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $115,000 DMMLS
- 2025-10-24 Listed $135,000 DMMLS
- 2020-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2017-05-08 Sold (MLS) $34,500 DMMLS
- 2017-01-10 Listed $36,500 DMMLS
- 2005-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,088 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…