🏷️ Likely Rental
128 NW 18th Ave NW · Center Point, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely remodeled turnkey investment property with Section 8 tenant paying $1,000/month.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1952
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.3% in Center Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#193 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, employment F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Center Point Elementary School (618 students, 82% FRL); Center Point High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 774 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 49% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 2% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.08%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,867
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 16th Ct NW | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,670 (-1%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $60 | 70 |
| 201 Sun Valley Rd | 0.32mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,699 (+1%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $100 | 67 |
| 222 Polly Reed Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (-1%) | 8mo | $179,000 | $108 | 65 |
| 441 NW 15th Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,668 (-1%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $87 | 63 |
| 316 20th Ave NW | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,540 (-8%) | 3mo | $164,900 | $107 | 61 |
| 408 Tupelo Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (-13%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $95 | 54 |
| 348 17th Ave NW | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-13%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $120 | 54 |
| 504 Lakeside Cir | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,555 (-8%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $135 | 51 |
| 432 Argonne Dr NE | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (-7%) | 8mo | $101,700 | $65 | 48 |
| 613 Tupelo Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,568 (-7%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $77 | 46 |
| 550 Lakeside Cir | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,526 (-9%) | 7mo | $209,900 | $138 | 44 |
| 1605 NW 5th Way | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (-14%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $121 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $4,797
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $31,434
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35215
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,299 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,584/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $329
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 18th Ct NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,100 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 113 19th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 11d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1905 2nd St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,395 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1628 1st St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,150 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 107 Sterling Ct NW Center Point, AL | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1026 | $1,062 | $1.04 | 3d | 4 | 0.24mi |
| 405 18th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,299 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1617 3rd Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1712 4th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1182 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1720 2nd St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 424 Tupelo Way Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 457 Tupelo Way Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1658 | $995 | $0.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 428 15th Ter NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,795 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 434 15th Ter NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1736 6th St NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $1,550 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1732 6th St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1612 Glenwood St NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1344 | $1,480 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 213 Meadwood Dr NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1194 | $995 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2245 3rd St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 319 23rd Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,395 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1827 Carson Rd Unit 7 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $950 | $0.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1827 Carson Rd Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $1,125 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 500 15th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 239 Lake Drive Cir NE Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1159 | $1,125 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 241 Lake Drive Cir NE Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1358 | $1,025 | $0.75 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2229 3rd St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,125 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 236 E Haven Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1926 | $1,495 | $0.78 | 12d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 324 13th Ter NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $1,295 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2245 3rd St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1317 Hatfield Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2028 | $1,300 | $0.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1356 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,105 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 108 13th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,265 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 405 13th Ct NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,415 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2320 5th St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1333 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 224 13th Ave NE Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1213 | $1,273 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 621 15th Ave NW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 413 20th Ct NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $1,375 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1328 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,050 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1237 Linwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1066 | $995 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 400 13th Ave NW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $890 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-02price $100,000
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-03-12status Pending
-
2025-10-30price $119,500
-
2025-10-30status Active
-
2025-10-20status Pending
-
2025-09-17$125,000 Active
-
2018-11-27soldstatus $99,000 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Completely remodeled turnkey investment property with Section 8 tenant paying $1,000/month.
-
2018-11-27$99,000 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Completely remodeled turnkey investment property with Section 8 tenant paying $1,000/month.
-
2018-11-02soldstatus $99,120
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,584
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,505
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$601
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Center Point
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #193
- US rank
- #15671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Center Point, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 43,903
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,903
- Household income
- $52,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1729.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.97%
- Current HPI
- 215.0607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+0.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $100,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-12 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $119,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-30 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-20 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $125,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-11-27 Listed $99,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-11-27 Sold (MLS) $99,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $99,120 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,584 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…