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128 NW 18th Ave NW 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

128 NW 18th Ave NW · Center Point, AL 35215
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,681 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 181 Days on market
Built 1952 0.50 ac lot Est $180k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely remodeled turnkey investment property with Section 8 tenant paying $1,000/month.

Key facts

  • 0.5 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1952

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $100,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$179,867) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.3% in Center Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#193 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Center Point Elementary School (618 students, 82% FRL); Center Point High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 774 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 49% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 2% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.08%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$179,867
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
400 16th Ct NW 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,670 (-1%) 9mo $100,000 $60 70
201 Sun Valley Rd 0.32mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,699 (+1%) 8mo $170,000 $100 67
222 Polly Reed Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,662 (-1%) 8mo $179,000 $108 65
441 NW 15th Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,668 (-1%) 5mo $145,000 $87 63
316 20th Ave NW 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,540 (-8%) 3mo $164,900 $107 61
408 Tupelo Rd 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,470 (-13%) 5mo $140,000 $95 54
348 17th Ave NW 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-13%) 4mo $175,000 $120 54
504 Lakeside Cir 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,555 (-8%) 2mo $210,000 $135 51
432 Argonne Dr NE 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,566 (-7%) 8mo $101,700 $65 48
613 Tupelo Rd 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,568 (-7%) 10mo $120,000 $77 46
550 Lakeside Cir 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,526 (-9%) 7mo $209,900 $138 44
1605 NW 5th Way 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,450 (-14%) 5mo $175,000 $121 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$4,797
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$31,434
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,299 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,584/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$329

Break-even live

Break-even rent $884
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
305 18th Ct NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1270 $1,100 $0.87 44d 1 0.14mi
113 19th Ave NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,250 $0.89 11d 1 0.15mi
1905 2nd St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1258 $1,395 $1.11 44d 1 0.19mi
1628 1st St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1124 $1,150 $1.02 44d 1 0.23mi
107 Sterling Ct NW Center Point, AL 2.0 1.5–2.0 1026 $1,062 $1.04 3d 4 0.24mi
405 18th Ave NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,299 $1.12 44d 1 0.24mi
1617 3rd Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1404 $1,150 $0.82 24d 1 0.40mi
1712 4th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1182 $1,150 $0.97 24d 1 0.40mi
1720 2nd St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 44d 1 0.44mi
424 Tupelo Way Center Point, AL 4.0 2.0 1233 $1,300 $1.05 44d 1 0.53mi
457 Tupelo Way Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1658 $995 $0.60 21d 1 0.58mi
428 15th Ter NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1528 $1,795 $1.17 3d 1 0.59mi
434 15th Ter NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1053 $1,200 $1.14 44d 1 0.61mi
1736 6th St NW Center Point, AL 4.0 2.0 1830 $1,550 $0.85 44d 1 0.70mi
1732 6th St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,250 $0.96 3d 1 0.70mi
1612 Glenwood St NW Center Point, AL 4.0 3.0 1344 $1,480 $1.10 24d 1 0.74mi
213 Meadwood Dr NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1194 $995 $0.83 44d 1 0.77mi
2245 3rd St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,100 $0.95 24d 1 0.81mi
319 23rd Ave NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1284 $1,395 $1.09 44d 1 0.82mi
1827 Carson Rd Unit 7 Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.5 1332 $950 $0.71 24d 1 0.83mi
1827 Carson Rd Unit 1 Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.5 1332 $1,125 $0.84 44d 1 0.83mi
500 15th Ave NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,050 $0.97 3d 1 0.84mi
239 Lake Drive Cir NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1159 $1,125 $0.97 3d 1 0.85mi
241 Lake Drive Cir NE Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1358 $1,025 $0.75 2d 1 0.85mi
2229 3rd St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1215 $1,125 $0.93 24d 1 0.88mi
236 E Haven Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1926 $1,495 $0.78 12d 1 0.88mi
324 13th Ter NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1418 $1,295 $0.91 24d 1 0.91mi
2245 3rd St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,100 $0.96 24d 1 0.95mi
1317 Hatfield Ln Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 2028 $1,300 $0.64 24d 1 0.95mi
1356 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,105 $1.04 44d 1 0.97mi
108 13th Ave NW Center Point, AL 4.0 2.0 1444 $1,265 $0.88 24d 1 0.98mi
405 13th Ct NW Center Point, AL 4.0 1.5 1248 $1,415 $1.13 21d 1 0.99mi
2320 5th St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,150 $1.05 44d 1 0.99mi
1333 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,275 $1.21 44d 1 1.00mi
224 13th Ave NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1213 $1,273 $1.05 21d 1 1.01mi
621 15th Ave NW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1070 $1,200 $1.12 16d 1 1.02mi
413 20th Ct NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1540 $1,375 $0.89 44d 1 1.04mi
1328 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,050 $0.84 16d 1 1.04mi
1237 Linwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1066 $995 $0.93 44d 1 1.05mi
400 13th Ave NW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $890 $0.81 44d 1 1.08mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-02
    price $100,000
  3. 2026-04-02
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-12
    status Pending
  5. 2025-10-30
    price $119,500
  6. 2025-10-30
    status Active
  7. 2025-10-20
    status Pending
  8. 2025-09-17
    listed $125,000 Active
  9. 2018-11-27
    soldstatus $99,000 91-char remark
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    Completely remodeled turnkey investment property with Section 8 tenant paying $1,000/month.

  10. 2018-11-27
    listed $99,000 91-char remark
    Show marketing remark (91 chars)

    Completely remodeled turnkey investment property with Section 8 tenant paying $1,000/month.

  11. 2018-11-02
    soldstatus $99,120

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,584 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,584 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,594
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,584
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,505
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$601
After-tax cash flow
$3,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Center Point

Score
63/100
State rank
#193
US rank
#15671

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Center Point, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
43,903
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,903
Household income
$52,793
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
1729.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.97%
Current HPI
215.0607
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $100,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-10-30 Price Changed $119,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-10-30 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-10-20 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-09-17 Listed $125,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-11-27 Listed $99,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-11-27 Sold (MLS) $99,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $99,120 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,584 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…