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13 Starwood Dr
B Composite 70.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

13 Starwood Dr · Brighton, NY 14625
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured · 45 Days on market
Built 1967 Good condition $90/sqft · 10% above area Est $59k · 10% over ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a rare opportunity to own a beautifully remodeled manufactured home in one of Monroe County's most desirable communities, the Penfield Farms/Windward Community. Why rent when you can own in this sought-after area, offering access to the top-rated Penfield School District? Priced to sell, you can purchase this home without the frustration of delayed negotiations. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home spans 732 sq. ft. , efficiently designed for modern living with luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant white shaker cabinetry, and all-new stainless-steel appliances. Nestled on a prime lot overlooking a tranquil wooded area, this home features a completely updated exterior with brand-new OSB sheat

Key facts

  • Updated exterior
  • Enclosed patio
  • Parking

Tags

REMODELED MANUFACTURED HOMEUPDATED EXTERIORMAINTENANCE-FREE VINYL SIDINGENERGY-EFFICIENT WINDOWSFRESHLY COATED RUBBER ROOFENCLOSED PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Has land lease ($861)
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical
  • Home design: Single-wide mobile home; One story; Resale property; Vagabond make
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Spray foam insulation; PEX plumbing; Membrane/rubber/rolled roof
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Blacktop driveway; Patio; Owned propane tank; Shed(s) and storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Oil forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Kitchen and family room combined; Bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Propane water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 3.9% in Brighton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#89 in NY, #1,379 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-.
  • Penfield Central School District (suburban): math 77% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #67 of 590 in NY (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $62,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.41%
Cap rate
20.87%
Cash-on-cash
52.05%
DSCR
3.32
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$58,850
List price
$64,900
Delta
10.28%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13 Starwood Dr 0.00mi 2/1.0 720 (0%) 0mo $64,900 $90 100
3 Starwood Dr 0.05mi 2/1.0 720 (0%) 8mo $26,000 $36 91
36 Patio Dr 0.19mi 2/1.0 720 (0%) 3mo $20,000 $28 88
40 Norhill Dr 0.10mi 2/1.5 732 (+2%) 7mo $60,000 $82 85
19 Elderberry Cir 0.20mi 2/1.0 720 (0%) 18mo $62,599 $87 76
82 Gennis Dr 0.28mi 2/1.0 700 (-3%) 18mo $46,000 $66 67
7 Skyview Dr 0.14mi 2/1.0 809 (+12%) 8mo $10,000 $12 66
17 Sebastian Dr 0.18mi 2/2.0 824 (+14%) 23mo $45,000 $55 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.0%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$39,706
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
55.5%
Equity multiple
6.47×
Total profit
$99,311
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14625

Home prices YoY
-15.3%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,565 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $974/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$788

Break-even live

Break-even rent $568
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $833 -5% $811 +0% $788 +5% $766 +10% $743
Rent -10% $665 -5% $726 +0% $788 +5% $850 +10% $912
Rate -1.0pp $821 -0.5pp $805 base $788 +0.5pp $771 +1.0pp $754

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18 Brook Hill Ln Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 841 $1,915 $2.28 3d 1 0.98mi
234 W Commercial St Unit 2 East Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 640 $1,100 $1.72 44d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $64,900 Pending 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-04-23
    historical
  7. 2026-04-23
    listed $64,900 Active 1528-char remark
  8. 2026-01-09
    price $69,900
  9. 2025-12-09
    listed $72,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,785
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$974
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,503
− Management
−$1,503
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$8,958
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,150
After-tax cash flow
$7,308/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully remodeled manufactured home in a desirable community is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a great opportunity for both resale and rental due to its location and updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and value of the home.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor touch-ups can improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract more renters and ensure a comfortable living environment.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and value of the home.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor touch-ups can improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract more renters and ensure a comfortable living environment.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penfield Central School District
NCES district ID
3622710
Math proficiency
77% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$74,802
Composite
68.37/100
National rank
#347
State rank
#67 of 590 in NY

Livability — Brighton

Score
81/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#1379

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute B- Cost of living C+ Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
38,703
Population (ZIP)
10,667

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Subsaharan African 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.69%
Current HPI
275.9721
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $64,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-06-07 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $64,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $69,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $72,900 UNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…