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1129 E Palestine St
B Composite 74.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$87,000

1129 E Palestine St · Mexia, TX 76667
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1957 7,144 sqft lot $75/sqft · 24% below area Est $114k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor-friendly opportunity being SOLD AS-IS, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in an established area of Mexia offers 1,160 square feet of living space on a 7,144 sq ft lot with plenty of potential to add value. The layout provides a solid foundation with tile flooring throughout the main areas for durability and easy upkeep, while the living space flows into a breakfast bar that connects naturally to the kitchen. The kitchen features built-in shelving and a functional setup that can be reimagined to suit your vision. Outside, the spacious yard gives you room to expand, create outdoor living areas, or enhance the overall appeal, and the covered carport adds everyday convenience. Whether you are looking for your next investment, rental property, or a project to make your own, this home presents a practical opportunity in a location with access to local shops, schools, and main roads for commuting. Schedule a showing to see the potential firsthand.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Covered carport
  • Tile flooring

Tags

TILE FLOORINGBREAKFAST BARBUILT-IN SHELVINGSPACIOUS YARDCOVERED CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.6% in Mexia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#458 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Mexia ISD (town): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #696 of 826 in TX (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Limestone County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,780 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
10.59%
Cash-on-cash
15.33%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,010
List price
$87,000
Delta
-23.69%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
610 N Bailey St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,170 (+1%) 2mo $85,000 $73 78
805 E Palestine St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,244 (+7%) 4mo $85,000 $68 58
1122 E Palestine St 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,320 (+14%) 20mo $135,000 $102 58
203 S Red River St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,218 (+5%) 3mo $110,000 $90 54
815 E Sumpter St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,064 (-8%) 3mo $52,000 $49 51
1005 E Evergreen St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,316 (+13%) 1mo $84,999 $65 49
920 E Evergreen St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,002 (-14%) 11mo $59,900 $60 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$5,781
Equity at exit
$12,972
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$30,797
Equity at exit
$7,522

Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76667

Home prices YoY
-8.9%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,239 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$456
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$311

Break-even live

Break-even rent $845
Max offer price $87,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,750
Closing costs
$2,610
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $87,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $87,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $87,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $87,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $87,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $87,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $87,000 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $87,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $87,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $73,000 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $73,000 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $73,000 Active 59 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $73,000 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $73,000 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $73,000 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $73,000 Active 53 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    price $95,000 957-char remark
    Show marketing remark (957 chars)

    Investor-friendly opportunity being SOLD AS-IS, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in an established area of Mexia offers 1,160 square feet of living space on a 7,144 sq ft lot with plenty of potential to add value. The layout provides a solid foundation with tile flooring throughout the main areas for durability and easy upkeep, while the living space flows into a breakfast bar that connects naturally to the kitchen. The kitchen features built-in shelving and a functional setup that can be reimagined to suit your vision. Outside, the spacious yard gives you room to expand, create outdoor living areas, or enhance the overall appeal, and the covered carport adds everyday convenience. Whether you are looking for your next investment, rental property, or a project to make your own, this home presents a practical opportunity in a location with access to local shops, schools, and main roads for commuting. Schedule a showing to see the potential firsthand.

  18. 2026-04-03
    listed $109,000 Active 957-char remark
    Show marketing remark (957 chars)

    Investor-friendly opportunity being SOLD AS-IS, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in an established area of Mexia offers 1,160 square feet of living space on a 7,144 sq ft lot with plenty of potential to add value. The layout provides a solid foundation with tile flooring throughout the main areas for durability and easy upkeep, while the living space flows into a breakfast bar that connects naturally to the kitchen. The kitchen features built-in shelving and a functional setup that can be reimagined to suit your vision. Outside, the spacious yard gives you room to expand, create outdoor living areas, or enhance the overall appeal, and the covered carport adds everyday convenience. Whether you are looking for your next investment, rental property, or a project to make your own, this home presents a practical opportunity in a location with access to local shops, schools, and main roads for commuting. Schedule a showing to see the potential firsthand.

  19. 2025-10-06
    soldstatus
  20. 2021-08-23
    soldstatus Sold 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    A quaint property on the inside of the city limits. It is three bedroom, two full baths, 1 garage, and a carport. It has a privacy wood fence in the back yard. The yard is well kept with plants in the flower beds. It has a built in dry bar in the living room. The bathrooms have shower tubs and lots of room in each. This is a great starter home or a family home. Come see.

  21. 2021-08-23
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    A quaint property on the inside of the city limits. It is three bedroom, two full baths, 1 garage, and a carport. It has a privacy wood fence in the back yard. The yard is well kept with plants in the flower beds. It has a built in dry bar in the living room. The bathrooms have shower tubs and lots of room in each. This is a great starter home or a family home. Come see.

  22. 2021-07-26
    status Pending 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    A quaint property on the inside of the city limits. It is three bedroom, two full baths, 1 garage, and a carport. It has a privacy wood fence in the back yard. The yard is well kept with plants in the flower beds. It has a built in dry bar in the living room. The bathrooms have shower tubs and lots of room in each. This is a great starter home or a family home. Come see.

  23. 2021-07-20
    price $60,000 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    A quaint property on the inside of the city limits. It is three bedroom, two full baths, 1 garage, and a carport. It has a privacy wood fence in the back yard. The yard is well kept with plants in the flower beds. It has a built in dry bar in the living room. The bathrooms have shower tubs and lots of room in each. This is a great starter home or a family home. Come see.

  24. 2021-05-05
    listed $69,900 Active 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    A quaint property on the inside of the city limits. It is three bedroom, two full baths, 1 garage, and a carport. It has a privacy wood fence in the back yard. The yard is well kept with plants in the flower beds. It has a built in dry bar in the living room. The bathrooms have shower tubs and lots of room in each. This is a great starter home or a family home. Come see.

  25. 2006-06-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,100 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,100 · $175/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,865
− Mortgage interest
−$4,873
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$435
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,189
− Management
−$1,189
− Depreciation
−$2,531
Taxable income
$2,548
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$612
After-tax cash flow
$3,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mexia ISD
NCES district ID
4830420
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$37,464
Composite
22.48/100
National rank
#8101
State rank
#696 of 826 in TX

Livability — Mexia

Score
68/100
State rank
#458
US rank
#9265

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mexia, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,494

Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,396 people
By 2030
23,214 · -0.8%
By 2040
22,829 · -2.4%
By 2050
22,516 · -3.8%
By 2075
22,088 · -5.6%
By 2100
20,354 · -13.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 24% Black 21%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 23%

Political lean MEDSL · Limestone

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.2% · R 78.1%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -56.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.9 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+52.3 2012: R+40.7 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.91%
Current HPI
161.8191
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+35.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $95,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $109,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-10-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-08-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-08-23 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-07-26 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-07-20 Price Changed $60,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-05-05 Listed $69,900 NTREIS
  • 2006-06-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,100 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…