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950 Hancock
C- Composite 53.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

950 Hancock · West Crossett, AR 71635
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1957 0.37 ac lot $83/sqft · 50% above area Est $55k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New Legal to be given after survey. .37 A lot for Country living but located close to town, this cozy home is just waiting for newlyweds or couple to retire. It is move-in-ready featuring a cozy living room, dining room combo that is open to the kitchen that has a stove and refrigerator, three bedrooms, one bath with shower over bathtub and a large laundry room with a sink. It features a front porch, a great neighborhood and a large yard. It has three window units, new roof, new windows, vinyl siding, flooring and bath. One you must see.

Key facts

  • Cozy living room
  • Move-in-ready
  • Front porch

Tags

MOVE-IN-READYCOZY LIVING ROOMDINING ROOM COMBOLARGE LAUNDRY ROOMFRONT PORCHLARGE YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($873 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#230 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Crossett School District (town): math 19% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #213 of 238 in AR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ashley County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.94%
Cash-on-cash
13.04%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,258
List price
$75,000
Delta
35.73%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$2,355
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$20,671
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71635

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$873 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $440/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $584
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $75,000 Under Contract 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 67 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-04-06
    listed $75,000 New Listing 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    New Legal to be given after survey. .37 A lot for Country living but located close to town, this cozy home is just waiting for newlyweds or couple to retire. It is move-in-ready featuring a cozy living room, dining room combo that is open to the kitchen that has a stove and refrigerator, three bedrooms, one bath with shower over bathtub and a large laundry room with a sink. It features a front porch, a great neighborhood and a large yard. It has three window units, new roof, new windows, vinyl siding, flooring and bath. One you must see.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$440 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$480 · $40/mo
Expected delta
+$40/yr (+$3/mo · 9.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,471
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$440
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$838
− Management
−$838
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$1,598
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$383
After-tax cash flow
$2,354/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crossett School District
NCES district ID
0504800
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$37,682
Composite
16.73/100
National rank
#9162
State rank
#213 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Crossett

Score
61/100
State rank
#230
US rank
#17362

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,368

Population outlook (Ashley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,757 people
By 2030
17,541 · -6.5%
By 2040
15,243 · -18.7%
By 2050
13,136 · -30.0%
By 2075
8,901 · -52.5%
By 2100
5,626 · -70.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashley

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.2% · R 73.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.9pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+43.2 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+25.4 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.73%
Current HPI
125.616
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $75,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $440 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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