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2833 Wishkah Rd
B Composite 70.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

2833 Wishkah Rd · Aberdeen, WA 98520
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,628 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1923 0.51 ac lot $89/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bench Drive area value with some serious potential. This 4-bed, 1-bath fixer comes with ample land for future development. The main level has a living room, kitchen, primary bedroom, full bath, and utility room and the upper level has three bedrooms. Basement area is recorded as 600 sq. ft. , but appears to be larger. The house needs work, and the price reflects that. Offered as-is for the buyer ready to roll up their sleeves and unlock the opportunity. Square footage per county records; additional finished space not reflected in public records. Buyer to verify all measurements. Buyer is responsible for the remaining personal property.

Key facts

  • Ample land
  • Utility room
  • Kitchen

Tags

AMPLE LANDLIVING ROOMKITCHENUTILITY ROOMBASEMENT AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 99' x 188' x 111' x 233' (about 0.5122 acres); Zoned: City
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 4 vehicles (uncovered)
  • Utilities: Public water (City of Aberdeen); Sewer connected (City of Aberdeen); Electric power (Grays Harbor PUD); Cable and internet via Comcast
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Entry on main level; Built on lot; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built on lot (no year provided)
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior; Paved lot; Property has a view; Basement unfinished

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (no eating space indicated)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Three additional bedrooms on the upper level (total 4 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with bathtub and shower on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace with pellet stove; French doors; Jetted tub; Water heater (electric, located in basement)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Utility room on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $701 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.1% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#73 in WA, #1,320 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-, employment F.
  • Aberdeen School District (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #222 of 291 in WA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Robert Gray Elementary (260 students, 81% FRL); Miller Junior High (718 students, 68% FRL); J M Weatherwax High School (916 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $145k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.10%
Cash-on-cash
20.72%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$320,056
List price
$145,000
Delta
-53.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2751 Bench Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,612 (-1%) 17mo $375,000 $233 70
2625 Bench Dr 0.30mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,774 (+9%) 2mo $205,000 $116 63
3003 Wishkah Rd 0.44mi 4/1.0 1,764 (+8%) 8mo $250,000 $142 58
2717 Bench Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,808 (+11%) 9mo $308,500 $171 56
2316 Wishkah Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-4%) 10mo $339,000 $216 56
2736 Riverview Dr 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,816 (+12%) 12mo $319,000 $176 56
2747 Highland Dr 0.18mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,765 (+8%) 21mo $323,000 $183 53
1100 Hayes St 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,624 (-0%) 15mo $315,000 $194 48
2014 Young St 0.59mi 4/2.0 1,560 (-4%) 17mo $370,000 $237 48
24 Baretich Rd 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,764 (+8%) 16mo $293,000 $166 42
726 10th Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,867 (+15%) 9mo $341,000 $183 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$23,999
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$90,380
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98520

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
266
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,071 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,368/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$435
Net cashflow
$701

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,183
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $783 -5% $742 +0% $701 +5% $660 +10% $619
Rent -10% $538 -5% $619 +0% $701 +5% $783 +10% $865
Rate -1.0pp $774 -0.5pp $738 base $701 +0.5pp $664 +1.0pp $625

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
801 Olympic Sq Aberdeen, MD 2.0–3.0 2.0 1344 $2,267 $1.69 45d 3 0.78mi
908 E 1st St Aberdeen, WA 3.0 1.0 1608 $2,100 $1.31 45d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $145,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    pricedays on market $145,000 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,900 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,900 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
  17. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  18. 2026-04-29
    listed $149,900 Active
  19. 2018-04-13
    soldstatus $40,000 Sold
  20. 2018-03-31
    status Pending
  21. 2018-03-29
    listed $36,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,368 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,421 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$53/yr (+$4/mo · 3.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 61% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,850
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,368
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,988
− Management
−$1,988
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$6,440
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,546
After-tax cash flow
$6,868/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aberdeen School District
NCES district ID
5300030
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,896
Composite
36.13/100
National rank
#9477
State rank
#222 of 291 in WA

Livability — Aberdeen

Score
81/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#1320

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aberdeen, WA
County
Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
City population
24,888
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
Population (ZIP)
24,888
Household income
$58,153
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
635.0

Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,443 people
By 2030
63,255 · -4.8%
By 2040
56,466 · -15.0%
By 2050
50,516 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,296 · -40.9%
By 2100
31,142 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.75%
Current HPI
207.7393
Rent YoY
▲ 4.35%
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+302.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Price Changed $145,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-29 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $149,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-13 Sold (MLS) $40,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-31 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-29 Listed $36,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,368 · +116.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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