6934 Neston Dr · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$133,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice townhouse, very spacious, nice little back patio area. Perfect for investors.
Key facts
- Double door entrance
- Covered patio
- Garage parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing/funding; For sale (not a short sale)
- HOA & community: Subdivision: Camelot II
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Rear-entry parking
- Utilities: Water: SAWS (city water); Sewer: CPS; Gas: CPS; Electric: CPS; Garbage service: Tiger
- Home design: Pre-owned single-family home; Front faces south
- Construction: Approximately 52 years old; Brick and wood exterior; Slab foundation; Composition and metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Street paved, curbs and alley
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (12 x 10); Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level with walk-in closet (15 x 12); Bedroom 2 (13 x 11); Bedroom 3 (13 x 8)
- Flooring: Carpeting; Ceramic tile; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom; Master bath with tub/shower combination (8 x 5)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central A/C plus 3+ window A/C units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Garage door opener; City garbage service; Cable TV available; High-speed internet; All window coverings remain; 1 living area; Separate dining room; Breakfast bar; All bedrooms on upper level
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Utility room (main level, approx. 4 x 5)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $133k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $133k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- North East ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #276 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Montgomery El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 263 students, 92% FRL); Roosevelt H S (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,096 of 1,632 statewide, top 68%, 2,599 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the North East ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $920 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.68%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $123,872
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7122 Brecon | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,584 (+1%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $88 | 85 |
| 6828 Stockport | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (+6%) | 3mo | $89,000 | $53 | 79 |
| 6810 Stockport | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,562 (-0%) | 22mo | $120,000 | $77 | 71 |
| 6814 Neston Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (+12%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $79 | 70 |
| 6803 Oldham | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-4%) | 14mo | $164,700 | $110 | 69 |
| 6907 Neston #1 | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,393 (-11%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $68 | 66 |
| 7716 Glen Mdws | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,584 (+1%) | 23mo | $139,000 | $88 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-8,763
- Equity at exit
- $19,831
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,408
- Equity at exit
- $11,499
Cash invested: $37,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78239
- Home prices YoY
- -5.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,496 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$697
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,911/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $269
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,250
- Closing costs
- $3,990
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6918 Stockport San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $1,050 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 7923 Langport San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 7138 Brecon San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $1,065 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6814 Oldham San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7904 Mallow San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1135 | $1,145 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 8318 Tuxford San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 7809 Sarepto San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $950 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 6733 Montgomery Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $860 | $0.75 | 44d | 2 | 0.30mi |
| 7210 John Palmer Dr Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1426 | $1,700 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7210 John Palmer Dr Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1426 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 6831 De Palma San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $1,539 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 6831 De Palma San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $1,569 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 6811 Avila San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,555 | $1.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8259 Montgomery Oak San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 44d | 5 | 0.37mi |
| 6607 Benhill San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 8310 Hastings San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1315 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 8215 Littleport San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7222 Glen Hvn San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,350 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7318 Glen Trl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,900 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 7614 Glen Hurst San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7210 Glen Cross San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2014 | $2,300 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8350 Hastings San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7326 Glen Trl San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,549 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7662 Oak Chase San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 11d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7664 Oak Chase San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7658 Oak Chase San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7660 Oak Chase San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 11d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7650 Oak Chase Unit 7650 San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 9034 (15/16) Glen Shadow Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $1,400 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9034 (15/16) Glen Shadow Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6721 Brothers Ln Unit 6721 San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7636 Oak Chase Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,255 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6721 Brothers Ln San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 8d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8219 Glen Lark San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,250 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6923 Glen Fair San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1632 | $1,725 | $1.06 | 8d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7042 Glen Mist San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $950 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7648 Windsor Oaks San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,295 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7237 Glen Bay San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7331 Glen Hts San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,390 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7613 Oak Chase San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $133,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $133,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $133,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $133,000 New 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $133,000 New 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $133,000 New 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $133,000 New 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $133,000 New 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 629-char remark
-
2026-06-07$133,000 New 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,911 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,434 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- +$522/yr (+$44/mo · 27.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,450
- − Property taxes
- −$1,911
- − Insurance
- −$665
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,436
- − Management
- −$1,436
- − Depreciation
- −$3,869
- Taxable income
- $1,180
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,949/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North East ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4832940
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,715
- Composite
- 38.1/100
- National rank
- #4276
- State rank
- #276 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,609
- Household income
- $70,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 488.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 30% Two or more races 20% Black 16% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 24% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.13%
- Current HPI
- 242.1272
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.05%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+153.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $133,000 LERA
- 2019-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-03-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-03-13 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2017-02-17 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2017-02-17 Listed $55,000 LERA
- 2007-04-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-04-16 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2007-04-02 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2007-01-13 Listed $52,500 LERA
- 2001-09-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1978-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,911 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…