16175 John Morris Rd., Site 011 11 Plan · Iona, FL 33908

$115,995

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 490 sqft · Manufactured · 611 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.8/30.0
• DSCR +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.4/10.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Beautiful flooring
• Brand-new property
• Move in ready

Tags

• BRAND-NEW PROPERTY
• MOVE IN READY
• UPGRADED COUNTER TOPS
• BEAUTIFUL FLOORING
• CONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $115,995

Exterior

• Home design: Plan inventory type; Plan name: 16175 John Morris Rd 11
• Exterior features: Located at 16175 John Morris Rd, Fort Myers, FL 33908

Interior

• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: Studio/efficiency layout (1 bedroom, 1 bathroom)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $116k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $116k).
• Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.1% in Iona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1244 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $802 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 611 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $102,075 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 611 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.83%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.06%
• DSCR: 1.40
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.78×
• Total profit: $-7,048
• Equity at exit: $17,295

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.97×
• Total profit: $-960
• Equity at exit: $10,029

Cash invested: $32,479 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33908

• Home prices YoY: -32.8%
• Rents YoY: -1.2%
• Active inventory: 1244
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,325 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$608
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$145 /mo · $1,740/yr
• Insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$278
• Net cashflow: $245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,015

Max offer price $115,995

Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $325	-5% $285	+0% $245	+5% $205	+10% $165
Rent	-10% $140	-5% $193	+0% $245	+5% $297	+10% $350
Rate	-1.0pp $304	-0.5pp $275	base $245	+0.5pp $215	+1.0pp $184

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $28,999
• Closing costs: $3,480
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-17
   days on market $115,995 Active 611 DOM
2. 2026-06-16
   days on market $115,995 Active 610 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $115,995 Active 609 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $115,995 Active 607 DOM
5. 2026-06-09
   days on market $115,995 Active 603 DOM
6. 2026-06-07
   days on market $115,995 Active 601 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $115,995 Active 595 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $115,995 Active 594 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,900
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,498
• − Property taxes: −$1,740
• − Insurance: −$580
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,272
• − Management: −$1,272
• − Depreciation: −$3,374
• Taxable income: $1,164
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$279
• After-tax cash flow: $2,662/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lee
• NCES district ID: 1201080
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $49,518
• Composite: 41.49/100
• National rank: #3458
• State rank: #42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Iona

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #359
• US rank: #6253

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Iona, FL
• County: Lee County · 788,662 people
• Metro: Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
• Population (ZIP): 37,423
• Household income: $75,396
• Rent vs Own: 28.3% rent · 71.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1944.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 871,946 people
• By 2030: 955,468 · +9.6%
• By 2040: 1,113,587 · +27.7%
• By 2050: 1,256,891 · +44.1%
• By 2075: 1,560,270 · +78.9%
• By 2100: 1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -102.22%
• Current HPI: 209.7595
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.18%
• Metro: Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B